航班延误责任鉴定专家系统的可拓推理模型
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摘要
航班延误纠纷的焦点在于延误责任的判定.建立影响因素作用范围的量化模型、各影响因素间相互作用的关系推理模型是构建航班延误分析专家系统需要解决的核心问题之一.在分析影响因素作用特性的基础上,利用可拓学相关关系、蕴含关系和传导变换的概念,给出延误因素的可拓表达方式,对四种基本的延误流程影响关系进行形式化和数量化的描述.定义了延误流程链的概念,建立传导变换推理分析规则确定主要的责任影响因素,根据传导效应计算各独立因素应承担的相应延误责任比例,对实现航班延误责任鉴定智能化处理具有重要的现实意义.
The focus of flight delay dissension is determination of delay liability,.The key problem in establishing flight delay analyze export system is to quantify the effect extension of impact factors and to set up effect relationship deduce model among impact factors.Based on the analysis of disturbance factors' mechanism,extennic expression of delay factors are given,four basic processes affection relationship are described by formalized and quantitative extenic method with correlative relation,contain relation and conduct transform.Delay process chain is defined,independent liability of disturbance factors are determined by analysis of conduct transform,the quantity of delay time independent factors should response for is counted by conduct effect,liabilities are calculated by proportion and formulation,it is significant in intelligentizing implementation of flight delay responsibility determination.
The focus of flight delay dissension is determination of delay liability,.The key problem in establishing flight delay analyze export system is to quantify the effect extension of impact factors and to set up effect relationship deduce model among impact factors.Based on the analysis of disturbance factors' mechanism,extennic expression of delay factors are given,four basic processes affection relationship are described by formalized and quantitative extenic method with correlative relation,contain relation and conduct transform.Delay process chain is defined,independent liability of disturbance factors are determined by analysis of conduct transform,the quantity of delay time independent factors should response for is counted by conduct effect,liabilities are calculated by proportion and formulation,it is significant in intelligentizing implementation of flight delay responsibility determination.
引文
[1]Yang Hui.Few problems on"the guideline on the economic compensations for flight delays"[J].Journal of Civil AviationUniversity of China,2005,23(1):49-53.
[2]Cai Wen,Yang-Chun-yan,Lin Wei-chu.The method of exten-sion engineering[M].Beijing:Sciences Press,1997.
[3]Cai Wen.Introduction of extenics[J].Systems Engineering-Theory&Practice,1998,18(1):76-84.
[4]Li Ming,Li Xu-hong.Analysis of traffic impact degree for ur-ban large-scale buildings based on multilevel extension assess-ment[J].Journal of Transportation Engineering and Informa-tion,2004,2(3):98-103.
[5]Jiang Chun,Tian Shan,Chen Hua-ran.Matter element model of multi-factorial evaluation and its application to earthquake pre-diction[J].Journal of Transportation Engineering and Informa-tion,1998,18(1):135-138.
[6]Cai Guo-liang,Wang Zuo-lei,Shi Xue-rong,et al.Extension multi-factorial evaluation method of the urban economy sustain-able development[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2004,34(10):44-49.
[7]Chen Guang-yu.The application study of the technological in-novation project based on extension engineering[J].Mathemat-ics in Practice and Theory,2005,35(2):37-42.
[8]Liu Song,Song Jia-sheng,Gao Chang-yuan.Research on the method of profit allocation based on virtual sunnly Chain[J].Management Sciences,2005,18(2):14-20.
[9]Wen Xian-ming.Extension multi-factor evaluation method of the countywide agriculture economy development[J].Systems Engineering,2005,23(5):115-119.
[10]Sun Hong,Li Yong.Utilizing PERT to optimize aircraft ground operation in airport[J].Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information,2004,2(1):45-49.
[1]杨惠.关于《航班延误经济补偿指导意见》的几个问题[J].中国民航学院学报,2005,23(1):49-53.
[2]蔡文,杨春燕,林伟初.可拓工程方法[M].北京:科学出版社,1997.
[3]蔡文.可拓学概述[J].系统工程理论与实践,1998,18(1):76-84.
[4]李铭,李旭宏.基于多级可拓评价的城市大型建筑物交通影响程度判定[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2004,2(3):98-103.
[5]蒋淳,田山,陈化然.中强地震预报综合评判物元模型及其应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,1998,18(1):135-138.
[6]蔡国梁,王作雷,史雪荣,等.城市经济可持续发展的综合评价[J].数学的实践与认识,2004,34(10):44-49.
[7]陈广宇.基于可拓学的技术创新项目评价应用研究[J].数学的实践与认识,2005,35(2):37-42.
[8]刘松,宋加升,高长元.基于虚拟供应链的可拓利益分配方法研究[J].管理科学,2005,18(2):14-20.
[9]文先明.县域农业经济发展多指标可拓综合评价方法[J].系统工程,2005,23(5):115-119.
[10]孙宏,李勇.应用网络计划技术优化飞机地面过站作业流程[J].交通运输工程与信息学报2004,2(1):45-49.
[2]Cai Wen,Yang-Chun-yan,Lin Wei-chu.The method of exten-sion engineering[M].Beijing:Sciences Press,1997.
[3]Cai Wen.Introduction of extenics[J].Systems Engineering-Theory&Practice,1998,18(1):76-84.
[4]Li Ming,Li Xu-hong.Analysis of traffic impact degree for ur-ban large-scale buildings based on multilevel extension assess-ment[J].Journal of Transportation Engineering and Informa-tion,2004,2(3):98-103.
[5]Jiang Chun,Tian Shan,Chen Hua-ran.Matter element model of multi-factorial evaluation and its application to earthquake pre-diction[J].Journal of Transportation Engineering and Informa-tion,1998,18(1):135-138.
[6]Cai Guo-liang,Wang Zuo-lei,Shi Xue-rong,et al.Extension multi-factorial evaluation method of the urban economy sustain-able development[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2004,34(10):44-49.
[7]Chen Guang-yu.The application study of the technological in-novation project based on extension engineering[J].Mathemat-ics in Practice and Theory,2005,35(2):37-42.
[8]Liu Song,Song Jia-sheng,Gao Chang-yuan.Research on the method of profit allocation based on virtual sunnly Chain[J].Management Sciences,2005,18(2):14-20.
[9]Wen Xian-ming.Extension multi-factor evaluation method of the countywide agriculture economy development[J].Systems Engineering,2005,23(5):115-119.
[10]Sun Hong,Li Yong.Utilizing PERT to optimize aircraft ground operation in airport[J].Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information,2004,2(1):45-49.
[1]杨惠.关于《航班延误经济补偿指导意见》的几个问题[J].中国民航学院学报,2005,23(1):49-53.
[2]蔡文,杨春燕,林伟初.可拓工程方法[M].北京:科学出版社,1997.
[3]蔡文.可拓学概述[J].系统工程理论与实践,1998,18(1):76-84.
[4]李铭,李旭宏.基于多级可拓评价的城市大型建筑物交通影响程度判定[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2004,2(3):98-103.
[5]蒋淳,田山,陈化然.中强地震预报综合评判物元模型及其应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,1998,18(1):135-138.
[6]蔡国梁,王作雷,史雪荣,等.城市经济可持续发展的综合评价[J].数学的实践与认识,2004,34(10):44-49.
[7]陈广宇.基于可拓学的技术创新项目评价应用研究[J].数学的实践与认识,2005,35(2):37-42.
[8]刘松,宋加升,高长元.基于虚拟供应链的可拓利益分配方法研究[J].管理科学,2005,18(2):14-20.
[9]文先明.县域农业经济发展多指标可拓综合评价方法[J].系统工程,2005,23(5):115-119.
[10]孙宏,李勇.应用网络计划技术优化飞机地面过站作业流程[J].交通运输工程与信息学报2004,2(1):45-49.
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