甘肃省黑河干流中游地区泉水动态特征及预报
|
摘要
在简述区域水文地质条件的基础上,依据1986～2007年泉水流量系列观测资料,详细论述了区内下降泉、上升泉的年内和多年动态变化特征,对比分析了1967年、1984年、2006年测区各泉域泉水量和泉水总量的时空分布规律和变化特征。利用已有的潜水二维流水量数学模型,推递并建立了利用泉点周围节点水头(水位)预报泉水流量的数学模型,并对测区泉水总量未来15年的变化趋势进行了预报。结果表明,在现状节水灌溉条件下,由于出山径流量的增加和地下水开采量的减少,未来黑河干流中游地区的泉水资源基本处于稳定状态。
On the basis of 1986-2007 year spring water current capacity series observed data,the paper in-troduced hydro-geological conditions in the region,elaborated the descending spring,the ascending spring of the region single year and multi-year dynamic change characteristics in detail,and provided the contrastive analysis measured area various quantities of spring water total quantity space and time distribution rule and the change characteristic in 1967,1984,2006.Using the existing diving two-dimensional current capacity mathematical model,then pilling hands over and establishing the mathematical model of using spring periphery node flood peak(water level) to forecast the spring water current capacity,and to measure that the area spring water total quantity 15 year change tendency has carried on the forecast in the future.The result indicated that the spring water re-sources will be at the steady state basically in the future the middle reaches of Heihe River trunk stream area under present situation saving water irrigation condition,because the amount increase of the stream flow flowing from the mountains and the groundwater exploitation decreasing.
On the basis of 1986-2007 year spring water current capacity series observed data,the paper in-troduced hydro-geological conditions in the region,elaborated the descending spring,the ascending spring of the region single year and multi-year dynamic change characteristics in detail,and provided the contrastive analysis measured area various quantities of spring water total quantity space and time distribution rule and the change characteristic in 1967,1984,2006.Using the existing diving two-dimensional current capacity mathematical model,then pilling hands over and establishing the mathematical model of using spring periphery node flood peak(water level) to forecast the spring water current capacity,and to measure that the area spring water total quantity 15 year change tendency has carried on the forecast in the future.The result indicated that the spring water re-sources will be at the steady state basically in the future the middle reaches of Heihe River trunk stream area under present situation saving water irrigation condition,because the amount increase of the stream flow flowing from the mountains and the groundwater exploitation decreasing.
引文
①丁宏伟,张荷生,王文科等。河西走廊地下水勘查报告,甘肃省地质调查院,2002。
[1]丁宏伟,高玉卓,何江海,等.黑河过正义峡河川径流量减少的原因及对策分析[J].中国沙漠,2001,21(1):62-66.
[2]丁宏伟.崔振卿.黑河干流中游地区泉水资源衰减原因及趋势分析[J].甘肃地质学报,2001,10(1):69-74.
[3]张龙,何江海.利用222Rn、EC及断面测流分析黑河中游地表水与地下水转化关系[J].甘肃地质,2008,17(1):88-91.
[4]宁宝英,何元庆,和献中,等.黑河流域水资源研究进展[J].中国沙漠,2008,28(6):1180-1185.
[5]丁宏伟,张荷生.近50年来河西走廊地下水资源变化及对生态环境的影响[J].自然资源学报,2002,17(6):691-697.
[6]丁宏伟,张举.河西走廊地下水水化学特征及其演化规律[J].干旱区研究,2005,22(3):24-28.
[7]冯嘉兴,丁宏伟,陈建生,等.张掖市甘州城区及外围地下水位上升原因分析[J].干旱区研究,2008,25(4):470-477.
[8]许广明,张燕君.西北地区大型内陆盆地地下水系统演化特征分析[J].自然资源学报,2004,19(6):701-706.
[9]王文科,孔金玲,王钊,等.关中盆地秦岭山前地下水库调蓄功能模拟研究[J].水文地质工程地质,2002,29(4):5-9.
[10]孙纳正.地下水流的数学模型和数值方法[M].北京:地震出版社.1981.
[11]潘世兵,王忠静,田伟.河西走廊地下水系统数值模拟中的几个问题探讨[J].水文地质工程地质,2002,29(5):59-61.
[12]张举,丁宏伟.灰色拓扑预测方法在黑河出山径流量预报中的应用[J].干旱区地理,2005,28(6):62-66.
[13]蓝永超,丁永建,,康尔泗,等.黑河流域水资源动态变化及其趋势的灰色Markov链预测[J].中国沙漠,2003,23(4):435-440.
[1]丁宏伟,高玉卓,何江海,等.黑河过正义峡河川径流量减少的原因及对策分析[J].中国沙漠,2001,21(1):62-66.
[2]丁宏伟.崔振卿.黑河干流中游地区泉水资源衰减原因及趋势分析[J].甘肃地质学报,2001,10(1):69-74.
[3]张龙,何江海.利用222Rn、EC及断面测流分析黑河中游地表水与地下水转化关系[J].甘肃地质,2008,17(1):88-91.
[4]宁宝英,何元庆,和献中,等.黑河流域水资源研究进展[J].中国沙漠,2008,28(6):1180-1185.
[5]丁宏伟,张荷生.近50年来河西走廊地下水资源变化及对生态环境的影响[J].自然资源学报,2002,17(6):691-697.
[6]丁宏伟,张举.河西走廊地下水水化学特征及其演化规律[J].干旱区研究,2005,22(3):24-28.
[7]冯嘉兴,丁宏伟,陈建生,等.张掖市甘州城区及外围地下水位上升原因分析[J].干旱区研究,2008,25(4):470-477.
[8]许广明,张燕君.西北地区大型内陆盆地地下水系统演化特征分析[J].自然资源学报,2004,19(6):701-706.
[9]王文科,孔金玲,王钊,等.关中盆地秦岭山前地下水库调蓄功能模拟研究[J].水文地质工程地质,2002,29(4):5-9.
[10]孙纳正.地下水流的数学模型和数值方法[M].北京:地震出版社.1981.
[11]潘世兵,王忠静,田伟.河西走廊地下水系统数值模拟中的几个问题探讨[J].水文地质工程地质,2002,29(5):59-61.
[12]张举,丁宏伟.灰色拓扑预测方法在黑河出山径流量预报中的应用[J].干旱区地理,2005,28(6):62-66.
[13]蓝永超,丁永建,,康尔泗,等.黑河流域水资源动态变化及其趋势的灰色Markov链预测[J].中国沙漠,2003,23(4):435-440.
版权所有：© 2023 中国地质图书馆 中国地质调查局地学文献中心