建筑物非线性变形动态预测的数据机理:自记忆模型
摘要
综合考虑建筑物沉降变形时间序列的单调增长的特殊性和非线性特征,利用动态数据反演建模方法和自记忆性方程,提出了一种随机与动力相结合的建筑物非线性变形预测的数据机理:自记忆模型.该方法将观测到的建筑物沉降位移时序数据视为描写建筑物变形非线性动力系统的特解,运用反演动力模式方法导出系统的微分方程,通过引入记忆函数,将制约动力系统的微分方程推演成一个差分-积分方程,从而建立建筑物沉降非线性变形预测的动力系统自记忆模型.由于该模型用历史资料估计记忆系数,蕴含了历史资料中对预测有用的信息,所以能很好地预测出系统极值,克服了以统计为基础的预报模型在做多步预测时预测值偏向平均值的缺点,较以往单一的确定论或随机统计论预测方法具有更高的拟合精度和预测准确率.将该方法用于实际工程建筑物沉降变形预测,证明了该模型的有效性及可行性.
引文
1齐康.建筑论文析.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:979-982
2周颖,孙耀南.精神病医院建筑的相关基础研究.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:1001-1013
3丁希莹.生成式计算机模拟解决多层板式住宅的规划布局.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:994-1000
4杨俊宴,陈雯.城市建设现代化水平评价模型研究.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:1020-1023
5Zhang H,Leimer H P.Low energy certificate——An exploration on optimization and evaluation of energy-efficient building envelope.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:1639-1644
6王建国,张愚,冯瀚.城市设计干预下基于用地属性相似关系的开发强度决策模型.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:983-993
7翁季,胡英奎,应文.道路照明可见度计算模型研究.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:1014-1019
8赵越喆,吴硕贤,邱坚珍,等.高胡的发音强度研究.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:1024-1028
9Tian W,Song W G,LüW,et al.Experiment and analysis on microscopic characteristics of pedestrian movement in building bottleneck.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:1730-1736
10Liu G H,Guo W,Li H N.An effective and practical method for solving an unnegligible problem inherent in the current calculation model for multi-support seismic analysis of structures.Sci China Tech Sci,2010,53:1774-1784
11王鼎,李杰.工程地震动的物理随机函数模型.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:356-364
12Li D S,Hu Q,Ou J P,et al.Fatigue damage characterization of carbon fiber reinforced polymer bridge cables:Wavelet transform analysis for clustering acoustic emission data.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:379-387
13Li X C,Wang Y X,Li G W,et al.Experimental investigation of vortex-induced vibrations of long free spans near seabed.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:698-704
14Ye J H,Zhang Z Q,Chu Y.Strength behavior and collapse of spatial-reticulated structures under multi-support excitation.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:1624-1638
15Rong H,Qian C X,Wang R X.A cementation method of loose particles based on microbe-based cement.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:1722-1729
16Li H J,Wang J R,Hu S-L J,et al.Model updating based on incomplete modal data.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:1737-1747
17淳庆,乐志,潘建伍.中国南方传统木构建筑典型榫卯节点抗震性能试验研究.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1153-1160
18徐世烺,尉文婷,宋世德.碳/玻璃纤维混合编织网增强混凝土电热性能的数值模拟与试验研究.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1271-1278
19Gu M,Quan Y.Across-wind loads and effects of super-tall buildings and structures.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:2531-2541
20Teng J,Li Z H,Ou J P,et al.Fiber damage analysis model for RC beam-column based on EEP super-convergent computation.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:2542-2548
21卢啸,陆新征,张万开,等.特大地震下超高层建筑的倒塌模拟.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1405-1416
22胡冉,陈益峰,周创兵.降雨入渗过程中土质边坡的固-液-气三相耦合分析.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1469-1482
23陈雯超,宋丽莉,植石群,等.不同下垫面的热带气旋强风阵风系数研究.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1449-1459
24李正农,罗叠峰,史文海,等.沿海高层建筑玻璃幕墙风致应力现场实测研究.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1439-1448
25Yang Q S,Tan F,Wang X F.Loading and wrinkling analysis of membrane structures.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:2597-2604
26Bai J L,Ou J P.Seismic failure mode improvement of RC frame structure based on multiple lateral load patterns of pushover analyses.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:2825-2833
27李亚,叶继红.基于非协调边界元法的膜结构-风耦合研究.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:630-644
28刘浩吾,张少杰,陈江,等.高混凝土坝气幕隔震控制的模拟分析理论与试验验证.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1417-1429
29田玉基,杨庆山,杨娜,等.北京气象塔湍流风速谱的统计模型.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1460-1468
30叶献国,王德才.结构动力分析实际地震动输入的选择与能量评价.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1430-1438
31Zheng S S,Wang B,Li L,et al.Study on seismic damage of SRHSC frame columns.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:2886-2895
32Deng Y,Ding Y L,Li A Q,et al.Fatigue reliability assessment for bridge welded details using long-term monitoring data.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:3371-3381
33鞠杨,刘红彬,刘金慧,等.活性粉末混凝土热物理性质的研究.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1584-1605
34Zhang X J,Xiong C H,Ding Y,et al.Variable-step integration method for milling chatter stability prediction with multiple delays.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:3137-3154
35孙泽信,庞逸群,黄腾.改进的灰色模型在建筑物沉降预测中的应用.测绘工程,2010,19:59-62
36王继刚,胡永辉.基于最小二乘支持向量机回归综合预测建筑物沉降.测绘科学,2010,35:96-97
37Liu D F,Wei X L,Sheng H Z.Prediction of remnant volatile matter in the semicokes from coal partial gasification.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:3017-3021
38高云龙,潘金艳,吉国力,等.基于Boosting梯度下降理论的时间序列建模方法.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:929-943
39朱一飞,杨成祥,陈晓梅.遗传算法在建筑物沉降预测中的应用.辽宁工程技术大学学报,2007,26:225-227
40毕龙珠.混沌时间序列在建筑物变形预测中的应用研究.硕士学位论文.西安:长安大学,2009
41Song B,Lee C H.A Favréaveraged transition prediction model for hypersonic flows.Sci China Tech Sci,2010,53:2049-2056
42Phienwej N,Thepparak S,Giao P H.Prediction of differential settlement of buildings induced by land subsidence from deep well pumping.Geotech Eng,2005,36:69-75
43陈向东,夏军,徐倩.灰色微分动态模型的自忆预报模式.中国科学E辑:技术科学,2009,39:341-350
44Ran Z.Multiscales and cascading in isotropic turbulence.Chin Sci Bull,2011,56:2889-2892
45Yang G T.Computational explosion mechanics and related progress.Chin Sci Bull,2011,56:3610-3613
46Cai G Q,Zhao C G,Liu Y,et al.Volume change behavior of unsaturated soils under non-isothermal conditions.Chin Sci Bull,2011,56:2495-2504
47曹鸿兴.动力系统自忆性原理——预报和计算应用.北京:地质出版社,2002
48张双虎,黄强,孙廷容.水文时间序列的系统自记忆模式研究.西北农林科技大学学报(自然科学版),2006,34:221-225
49刘湘平,谢学斌,罗一忠.边坡非线性位移预测的动力系统自记忆模型.岩土工程学报,2010,32:1535-1542
50Feng G L,Cao H X,Gao X Q,et al.Prediction of precipitation during summer monsoon with self-memorial model.Adv Atmos Sci,2001,18:701-709
2周颖,孙耀南.精神病医院建筑的相关基础研究.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:1001-1013
3丁希莹.生成式计算机模拟解决多层板式住宅的规划布局.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:994-1000
4杨俊宴,陈雯.城市建设现代化水平评价模型研究.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:1020-1023
5Zhang H,Leimer H P.Low energy certificate——An exploration on optimization and evaluation of energy-efficient building envelope.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:1639-1644
6王建国,张愚,冯瀚.城市设计干预下基于用地属性相似关系的开发强度决策模型.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:983-993
7翁季,胡英奎,应文.道路照明可见度计算模型研究.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:1014-1019
8赵越喆,吴硕贤,邱坚珍,等.高胡的发音强度研究.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:1024-1028
9Tian W,Song W G,LüW,et al.Experiment and analysis on microscopic characteristics of pedestrian movement in building bottleneck.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:1730-1736
10Liu G H,Guo W,Li H N.An effective and practical method for solving an unnegligible problem inherent in the current calculation model for multi-support seismic analysis of structures.Sci China Tech Sci,2010,53:1774-1784
11王鼎,李杰.工程地震动的物理随机函数模型.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:356-364
12Li D S,Hu Q,Ou J P,et al.Fatigue damage characterization of carbon fiber reinforced polymer bridge cables:Wavelet transform analysis for clustering acoustic emission data.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:379-387
13Li X C,Wang Y X,Li G W,et al.Experimental investigation of vortex-induced vibrations of long free spans near seabed.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:698-704
14Ye J H,Zhang Z Q,Chu Y.Strength behavior and collapse of spatial-reticulated structures under multi-support excitation.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:1624-1638
15Rong H,Qian C X,Wang R X.A cementation method of loose particles based on microbe-based cement.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:1722-1729
16Li H J,Wang J R,Hu S-L J,et al.Model updating based on incomplete modal data.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:1737-1747
17淳庆,乐志,潘建伍.中国南方传统木构建筑典型榫卯节点抗震性能试验研究.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1153-1160
18徐世烺,尉文婷,宋世德.碳/玻璃纤维混合编织网增强混凝土电热性能的数值模拟与试验研究.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1271-1278
19Gu M,Quan Y.Across-wind loads and effects of super-tall buildings and structures.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:2531-2541
20Teng J,Li Z H,Ou J P,et al.Fiber damage analysis model for RC beam-column based on EEP super-convergent computation.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:2542-2548
21卢啸,陆新征,张万开,等.特大地震下超高层建筑的倒塌模拟.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1405-1416
22胡冉,陈益峰,周创兵.降雨入渗过程中土质边坡的固-液-气三相耦合分析.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1469-1482
23陈雯超,宋丽莉,植石群,等.不同下垫面的热带气旋强风阵风系数研究.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1449-1459
24李正农,罗叠峰,史文海,等.沿海高层建筑玻璃幕墙风致应力现场实测研究.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1439-1448
25Yang Q S,Tan F,Wang X F.Loading and wrinkling analysis of membrane structures.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:2597-2604
26Bai J L,Ou J P.Seismic failure mode improvement of RC frame structure based on multiple lateral load patterns of pushover analyses.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:2825-2833
27李亚,叶继红.基于非协调边界元法的膜结构-风耦合研究.中国科学:技术科学,2010,40:630-644
28刘浩吾,张少杰,陈江,等.高混凝土坝气幕隔震控制的模拟分析理论与试验验证.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1417-1429
29田玉基,杨庆山,杨娜,等.北京气象塔湍流风速谱的统计模型.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1460-1468
30叶献国,王德才.结构动力分析实际地震动输入的选择与能量评价.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1430-1438
31Zheng S S,Wang B,Li L,et al.Study on seismic damage of SRHSC frame columns.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:2886-2895
32Deng Y,Ding Y L,Li A Q,et al.Fatigue reliability assessment for bridge welded details using long-term monitoring data.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:3371-3381
33鞠杨,刘红彬,刘金慧,等.活性粉末混凝土热物理性质的研究.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:1584-1605
34Zhang X J,Xiong C H,Ding Y,et al.Variable-step integration method for milling chatter stability prediction with multiple delays.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:3137-3154
35孙泽信,庞逸群,黄腾.改进的灰色模型在建筑物沉降预测中的应用.测绘工程,2010,19:59-62
36王继刚,胡永辉.基于最小二乘支持向量机回归综合预测建筑物沉降.测绘科学,2010,35:96-97
37Liu D F,Wei X L,Sheng H Z.Prediction of remnant volatile matter in the semicokes from coal partial gasification.Sci China Tech Sci,2011,54:3017-3021
38高云龙,潘金艳,吉国力,等.基于Boosting梯度下降理论的时间序列建模方法.中国科学:技术科学,2011,41:929-943
39朱一飞,杨成祥,陈晓梅.遗传算法在建筑物沉降预测中的应用.辽宁工程技术大学学报,2007,26:225-227
40毕龙珠.混沌时间序列在建筑物变形预测中的应用研究.硕士学位论文.西安:长安大学,2009
41Song B,Lee C H.A Favréaveraged transition prediction model for hypersonic flows.Sci China Tech Sci,2010,53:2049-2056
42Phienwej N,Thepparak S,Giao P H.Prediction of differential settlement of buildings induced by land subsidence from deep well pumping.Geotech Eng,2005,36:69-75
43陈向东,夏军,徐倩.灰色微分动态模型的自忆预报模式.中国科学E辑:技术科学,2009,39:341-350
44Ran Z.Multiscales and cascading in isotropic turbulence.Chin Sci Bull,2011,56:2889-2892
45Yang G T.Computational explosion mechanics and related progress.Chin Sci Bull,2011,56:3610-3613
46Cai G Q,Zhao C G,Liu Y,et al.Volume change behavior of unsaturated soils under non-isothermal conditions.Chin Sci Bull,2011,56:2495-2504
47曹鸿兴.动力系统自忆性原理——预报和计算应用.北京:地质出版社,2002
48张双虎,黄强,孙廷容.水文时间序列的系统自记忆模式研究.西北农林科技大学学报(自然科学版),2006,34:221-225
49刘湘平,谢学斌,罗一忠.边坡非线性位移预测的动力系统自记忆模型.岩土工程学报,2010,32:1535-1542
50Feng G L,Cao H X,Gao X Q,et al.Prediction of precipitation during summer monsoon with self-memorial model.Adv Atmos Sci,2001,18:701-709
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