基于集对分析理论的洪水灾情综合评估方法
|
摘要
洪水灾情的评价工作对洪水灾害的分类管理具有重要的指导意义。为了提高洪水灾情评估的准确性,应用集对分析理论和方法,以受灾面积、受灾人口数、破坏房屋面积和经济损失作为评价因子,建立了灾情评估的集对分析模型,提出了基于集对分析理论的洪水灾情综合评估方法。集对分析是在一定的问题背景下,对集对中2个集合的确定性与不确定性以及确定性与不确定性的相互作用所进行的一种系统和数学分析,采用集对分析理论的洪水灾情综合评估方法得出的评价结果同灰色关联法、灰色聚类法、灰色模糊综合法、PCNN网络模型的评价结果进行了比较,表明其用于洪水灾情综合评价具有科学性和有效性。
The evaluation of flood disasters is of important guiding significance to the classified management of flood disasters.In order to enhance the accuracy of assessment,a comprehensive method for evaluation of flood disasters,which took the disaster area,the affected population,the destruction area of housing and the economic loss as evaluation factors,was established based on Set Pair Analysis(SPA) theory.This method was construeted by using sample values compared with the value of standard grade.Set pair analysis is a system and mathematical analysis on the certainty and uncertainty and the interaction between them of two sets of integrating in certain problem background.By sing this model,the situation of evaluation of flood disasters can be aceurately identified.The evaluation results were compared with grey relation method,grey clustering method,grey fuzzy synthesis,PCNN network model.This method was verified clearly through the practical example,and the rationality and validity were demonstrated.
The evaluation of flood disasters is of important guiding significance to the classified management of flood disasters.In order to enhance the accuracy of assessment,a comprehensive method for evaluation of flood disasters,which took the disaster area,the affected population,the destruction area of housing and the economic loss as evaluation factors,was established based on Set Pair Analysis(SPA) theory.This method was construeted by using sample values compared with the value of standard grade.Set pair analysis is a system and mathematical analysis on the certainty and uncertainty and the interaction between them of two sets of integrating in certain problem background.By sing this model,the situation of evaluation of flood disasters can be aceurately identified.The evaluation results were compared with grey relation method,grey clustering method,grey fuzzy synthesis,PCNN network model.This method was verified clearly through the practical example,and the rationality and validity were demonstrated.
引文
[1]杨聪辉,王宝华,付强.洪水灾情评价的脉冲耦合神经网络模型[J].灾害学,2010,25(3):12-15YANG Cong-hui,WANG Bao-hua,FU Jiang.Pulse-cou-pled Neural Network Model for Evaluation of Flood Disas-ters[J].Journal of catastrophology,2010,25(3):12-15
[2]王威,马东辉,苏经字,等.基于集对分析理论的钢筋混凝土结构地震损伤综合评估方法[J].北京工业大学学报,2009,35(2):191-196WANG Wei,MA Dong-hui,SU Jing-yu,et al.A ComPre-hensive Method for Seismic Damage Evaluation on RCStructure Basedon Set-Pair Analysis Theory[J].Journalof Beijing university of Technology,2009,35(2):191-196
[3]赵克勤.集对分析及初步应用[M].杭州:浙江科学技术出版社,2000
[4]邓云峰,郑双忠.城市突发公共时间应急能力评估—以南方某市为例[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2006,2(2):8-13DENG Yun-feng,ZHENG Shuang-zhong.Capability as-sessment for urban emergency incident readiness.[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology.2006,2(2):8-13
[5]邓云峰,郑双忠,刘铁民.突发灾害应急能力评估及其应急特点[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2005,1(5):56-58DENG Yun-feng,ZHENG Shuang-zhong,LIU Tie-ming.Review of disaster capability assessment and emergencysystem[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2005,1(5):56-58
[6]李宏男,何浩祥.利用能力谱法对结构地震损伤评估简化方法[J].大连理工大学学报,2004,44(2):267-270LI Hong-nan,HE Hao-xiang.Asimplified approach forseismic damage assessment based on capacity spectrummethod[J].Journal of Dalian University of Technology,2004,44(2):267-270
[7]贾华.层次分析法中权重算法的一种改进[J].测绘信息与工程,1995(3):25-30JIA Hua.Improvement on priority weights algohtrithm[J].Wtusm Bulletin of Science and Technoloy,1995(3):25-30
[8]蒋新守,范久波,张继权,等.基于GIS的松花江干流暴雨洪涝灾害风险评估[J].灾害学,2009,24(3):51-56JIANG Xin-yu,FAN Jiu-bo,ZHANG Ji-quan,et al.GIS-based Risk Assessment on Rain and Flood Disastersof Songhua River[J].Journal of catastrophology,2009,24(3):51-56
[9]刘合香,徐庆娟.区域洪涝灾害风险的模糊综合评价与预测[J].灾害学,2007,22(4):38-42LIU He-xiang,XU Qing-juan.Fuzzy Valuation and Fore-cast ofRegionalFlood andW aterlogging Risk[J].Journalof catastrophology,2007,22(4):38-42
[10]黄韬,江诗咏.模糊综合评价法在液氯运输过程安全性评估的应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2007,3(6):58-64HUANG Tao,JIANG Shi-yong.Applying fuzzy compre-hensive evaluation method on road transport system ofliq-uid chlorine[J].Journal ofSafety Science and Tech-nol-ogy,2007,3(6):58-64
[2]王威,马东辉,苏经字,等.基于集对分析理论的钢筋混凝土结构地震损伤综合评估方法[J].北京工业大学学报,2009,35(2):191-196WANG Wei,MA Dong-hui,SU Jing-yu,et al.A ComPre-hensive Method for Seismic Damage Evaluation on RCStructure Basedon Set-Pair Analysis Theory[J].Journalof Beijing university of Technology,2009,35(2):191-196
[3]赵克勤.集对分析及初步应用[M].杭州:浙江科学技术出版社,2000
[4]邓云峰,郑双忠.城市突发公共时间应急能力评估—以南方某市为例[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2006,2(2):8-13DENG Yun-feng,ZHENG Shuang-zhong.Capability as-sessment for urban emergency incident readiness.[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology.2006,2(2):8-13
[5]邓云峰,郑双忠,刘铁民.突发灾害应急能力评估及其应急特点[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2005,1(5):56-58DENG Yun-feng,ZHENG Shuang-zhong,LIU Tie-ming.Review of disaster capability assessment and emergencysystem[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2005,1(5):56-58
[6]李宏男,何浩祥.利用能力谱法对结构地震损伤评估简化方法[J].大连理工大学学报,2004,44(2):267-270LI Hong-nan,HE Hao-xiang.Asimplified approach forseismic damage assessment based on capacity spectrummethod[J].Journal of Dalian University of Technology,2004,44(2):267-270
[7]贾华.层次分析法中权重算法的一种改进[J].测绘信息与工程,1995(3):25-30JIA Hua.Improvement on priority weights algohtrithm[J].Wtusm Bulletin of Science and Technoloy,1995(3):25-30
[8]蒋新守,范久波,张继权,等.基于GIS的松花江干流暴雨洪涝灾害风险评估[J].灾害学,2009,24(3):51-56JIANG Xin-yu,FAN Jiu-bo,ZHANG Ji-quan,et al.GIS-based Risk Assessment on Rain and Flood Disastersof Songhua River[J].Journal of catastrophology,2009,24(3):51-56
[9]刘合香,徐庆娟.区域洪涝灾害风险的模糊综合评价与预测[J].灾害学,2007,22(4):38-42LIU He-xiang,XU Qing-juan.Fuzzy Valuation and Fore-cast ofRegionalFlood andW aterlogging Risk[J].Journalof catastrophology,2007,22(4):38-42
[10]黄韬,江诗咏.模糊综合评价法在液氯运输过程安全性评估的应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2007,3(6):58-64HUANG Tao,JIANG Shi-yong.Applying fuzzy compre-hensive evaluation method on road transport system ofliq-uid chlorine[J].Journal ofSafety Science and Tech-nol-ogy,2007,3(6):58-64
版权所有：© 2023 中国地质图书馆 中国地质调查局地学文献中心