灾害间接经济损失的计量
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摘要
本文研究了三种灾害间接经济损失的计量,即间接停减产损失、中间投入积压增加损失和投资溢价损失。利用了城市投入──产出表所表达的产业关联关系估计了由于生产的联锁性造成灾害的进一步损失。并用上海市的实际数据对地震的间接经济损失作了预测计量。
There are three types of indirect cost of disaster damage described in this paper,namely indirect cost of shutting down or slowing production due to the linkage of industrial sectors,the cost of pulling up of intermediate products and the cost of investment premium.The input-output data are used to show up the linkage of the sectors.As an illustration,the paper forecasts the indirect cost due to the seismic disaster in Shanghai city.
引文
1肖光先.地震损失的预测方法.地震学刊,19872肖光先.震后灾害损失快速评估.灾害学,1991(4)3尹之潜等.震害与地震损失的估计方法.地震工程与工程振动,19904钱祝,何建树.城市震害的特点与对策.灾害学,1991(3)5尹之潜.地震灾害损失预测研究地震工程与工程振动,19916P.Dasgugta,A.SenandS.Marglin,GuidelineforProjectEvaluation,UNIDO,NewYork,19727I.M.D.LittleandJ.Mlrrlees,ProjectAppraisalandPlanningforDevelopingCountries,Heinemann,London,19748国家计委.建设项目经济评价方法与参数(第二版).北京:中国计划出版社,19939黄渝祥费用—效益分析.上海:同济大学出版社,1987

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