卫星热红外预报地震研究新进展
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摘要
作者将随机共振概念引进卫星热红外领域 ,在卫星图像上发现六种与地壳运动有关的异常现象 ,制定了卫星热红外预报全球 6级以上地震的 6项判别标志及其量化评分标准。本文通过卫星热红外的高新技术 ,开展了全球地壳运动微观动态的研究 ,成功预报了建台以来全球 80 %以上强震的时间和震级 ,可见 ,卫星热红外信息与宏观异常结合研究 ,一定会在人类减轻强震灾害方面发挥重要作用 !
The concept of stochastic resonance (SR) has been applied into the analysis of satellite thermal infrared images. Six kinds of anomalous phenomena related to crustal movement were recognized in satellite thermal infrared images. Six diagnostic indicators for the prediction of magnitude above 6.0 global earthquakes and their quantitative evaluation standards have been established. The microscopic behavior of global crustal movement is successfully controlled by using satellite thermal infrared imagery, and the occurrence time and magnitude of over 80% of global strong earthquakes occurred since the foundation of the observation station have been successfully predicted. It is believed that the combination of satellite thermal infrared information with macroscopic anomalous phenomena will play an important role in earthquake hazard reduction.
The concept of stochastic resonance (SR) has been applied into the analysis of satellite thermal infrared images. Six kinds of anomalous phenomena related to crustal movement were recognized in satellite thermal infrared images. Six diagnostic indicators for the prediction of magnitude above 6.0 global earthquakes and their quantitative evaluation standards have been established. The microscopic behavior of global crustal movement is successfully controlled by using satellite thermal infrared imagery, and the occurrence time and magnitude of over 80% of global strong earthquakes occurred since the foundation of the observation station have been successfully predicted. It is believed that the combination of satellite thermal infrared information with macroscopic anomalous phenomena will play an important role in earthquake hazard reduction.
引文
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[7]JohnClark.超导量子干涉仪(SQU ID).科学(中文版),1994,(12):23～29
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[9]徐好民.征兆地质学与地震预报.见地震科学联合基金会编,吴宁远、李树菁主编,地震科学整体观研究.北京,地震出版社,1993,202～206
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[2]徐秀登译、强祖基校.地球热红外辐射-地震活动性的标志.地质译丛,1991,(2):38～39
[3]强祖基、赁常恭等.卫星热红外图像亮温异常-短临震兆.中国科学,1998,28(6):564～573
[4]徐好民.地光探源.北京,地震出版社,1989,171～174
[5]郑文衡、王静瑶、张国安.随机共振及其在地震学研究中的应用前景.国际地震动态,1997,(1):5～6
[6]FrankMoss,KurtWiesenfeld.背景噪声的好处.科学(中文版),1995,(12):22～25
[7]JohnClark.超导量子干涉仪(SQU ID).科学(中文版),1994,(12):23～29
[8]徐好民.地壳现代构造运动研究的意义和方法.见徐好民著.地象资料.征兆地质学.地震预报,北京图书馆出版社,1998,71～80
[9]徐好民.征兆地质学与地震预报.见地震科学联合基金会编,吴宁远、李树菁主编,地震科学整体观研究.北京,地震出版社,1993,202～206
[10]徐好民.我的地震预报观.科技导报,1991,(6):18～22
[11]徐好民、陈彪.地震预报困难的核心问题及其对策,中国地球物理学会编,中国天灾综合预测研究—1998年全国重大自然灾害综合预测专家论坛(中国科协第三届全国减轻自然灾害学术研讨会论文集),北京,地震出版社,1998,104～108
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