质疑“短期临震预报是世界性难题”的论点——致美国地震学家露西尔·琼斯的公开信(中译文)
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摘要
引文
[1]傅承义.关于地震发生的几点认识.地震战线,1971(8)
[2]Gornei V E,Salman A G.Infrared radiation of the earth-Index of Earthquake Activity.Soviet Union Science Bulletin,1988,Vol.301,No.1pp.67-69(in Russia)
[3]王纯莹.利用时空内插及资料正规化辅助地震前热异常现象之侦测.国立台湾大学地理环境资源研究所,2005:1-108
[4]Qiang Zuji.Satellite-Based Prediction of Earthquakes.Newsletter,2001.EARSeL(European Association of Remote Sensing Laboratories)21-24
[5]强祖基,赁常恭,李玲芝,等.地球排气与森林火灾和地震活动.地学前缘,2001,8(2):235-245
[6]Qiang Zuji,Xu Xiudeng and Dian Changgong.Impending Earthquake Satellite Thermal infrared and Ground Temperature Increase Anomalies.Chinese Science Bulletin,1991,36(22):1894-1900
[7]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong et al.Monitoring and predicting earthquakes using satellite remote sensing tech-niques,Remote sensing to combat natural disasters.Report of the United Nations/ESCAP/UNDRO workshop on the Applications of Space Techniques to Combat Natural Disasters,1991:102-108
[8]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong.Thermal Infrared Anomaly-Precursor&Impending Earthquakes.Chinese Science Bulletin,1991,36(4):320-323
[9]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong,Wang Xuanji et al.Satellite Thermal Infrared Anomalous Temperature Increase and Impending Earthquake Precursor.Chinese Science Bulletin,1992,37(19):1642-1646
[10]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong et al.The Thermal Infrared Anomaly of Meteorological satellite-Precursor of Im-pending Earthquakes.Proceeding of the Ninth Thematic Conference on Geologic Remote Sensing,1993:8-11,February Pasadena,California,USA1001-1013Environmental research Institute of Michigan USA
[11]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong et al.The Application of Remote Sensing to Impending Earthquake Prediction.44th Congress of the IAF,1993Re:IAF-93-B.5.103.Graz,Austria
[12]Qiang Zuji,Kong Lingchang,Dian Changgong,et al.Terrestrial Degassing,Thermal lnfrared Anomaly and Earthquakes.Chinese Science Bulletin,1993,38(13):1108-1113
[13]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong et al.Satellite Thermal Infrared Temperature Increase Precursor-Short Term and Impending Earthquake PredictionEnvironmental Assessment of Geological Hazards.Proceedings of Space Con-gress1995,53-57.Munich,Germany:European Space Report
[14]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong et al.Remote Sensing,Instantaneous Crust Movement and Short-term and Immi-nent Precursor.The12International Conference and Workshops on Applied Geologic Remote Sensing,1997,Vol.Ⅱ,157-164,17-19November,Denver,Colorado.USA
[15]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong,Guo Manhong,Zhao Yong.The temperature increase of the earth's detected by satellite in the infrared band before the strong earthquake swarms in Samal Island of the Philippines.Asia-Pa-cific Remote Sensing and GIS Journal,1997,10,1,10-14Tailand
[16]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong,Li Linzhi,et al.Satellite Thermal Infrared Anomal and Earthquake Prediction in Advance and in Short-term.Dedicated to the30thInternational Geological Congress.The Selected papers of earthquake prediction in China,SSB.1996.Seismological Press.186-194
[17]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong,Li Linzhi,et al.1997.Satellite Thermal infrared anomaly and earthquake pre-diction in advance and in short-term.In:The Selected Papers of Proceedings of12th International Conference.Applied Geologic Remote Sensing II,Denver USA,17-19
[18]Qiang Zuji,Lingchang Kong,Lanzhe Zheng,et al.An experimental study on temperature increasing mecha-nism of satellite thermo-infrared.Acta Seismologica Sinica,1997,10(2):247-252
[19]Qiang Zuji,Xu Xiu-Deng,Dian Changgong.Thermal Infrared Anomaly Precursor of Impending Earthquakes.Pure and Applied Geophysics,1997,149:159-171
[20]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong,Li Lingzhi,et al.Satellite thermal infrared brightness temperature anomaly im-age-short-term and impending earthquake precursors.China Science,1999,28(3):313-324
[21]Qiang Z.Interactive comment on“Stimulated infrared emission from rocks:assessing a stress indicator by F.T.Freund eEdiscussions,2006
[22]Qiang Z,Zhao X,Xie HZeng Z.Satellite thermal infrared stress field and earthquake prediction in short-term and imminent.S33B1314AGU Fall Meeting
[23]强祖基,姚清林,魏乐军,赵勇,郭坚峰,曾佐勋,谢红接.震前卫星红外热环形应力场特征.地球学报,2008,29(4):486-494
[24]NRSCC.Information supplied by the National Remote Sensing Center of China.Earthquake Prediction in Chi-na,CEOS Special Report on Successful Applications of EO Satellite Date,1995,Printed in the United King-dom
[25]CSIRO&CEOS.Resources in Earth Observation,1cases studies,disaster mitigation,Earthquake Prediction in China(CD).Laser dick CD-ROM,Produced by the CSIRO Office of Space Science.1996.Australia
[26]Saraf A K and Choudhury S.Earthquakes and Thermal Anomalies,Geospatial Today,2003,2(2):18-20
[27]Saraf A K and Choudhury S.Satellite Detects Surface Thermal Anomalies Associated with the Algerian Earth-quakes of May,2003.Int.J.of Remote Sensing,2004,26(13):2705-2713
[28]Saraf A K and Choudhury S.NOAA-AVHRR detects thermal Anomaly associated with26January2001Bhiy earthquakes,Gujarat,India.Int.J.of Remote Sensing,2005,26(6):1065-1073
[29]Saraf A.K.Choudbury S.Satellite Detects surface thermal anomalies associated with the Algerian earthquakes of May2003.Int.J.Remote Sens.,2005,26(13):2705-2713
[30]Saraf A.K.Choudbury S.Thermal remote sensing technique in the study of Pre-earthquake thermal anoma-lies.J.Indian Geophys.Union,2005,9(3):197-207
[31]Saraf A.K.Choudbury S.SSM/I applications in studys of thermal anomalies Associated with earthquakes.Int.J.Geoinf,2005,2(3):197-207
[32]Saraf A.K.Cloudhury S.Dasgupta S.Rawat V.Does a major earthquake precede a thermal anomaly.Int.J.Geoinf.,2007
[33]Saraf A.K.,Rawat V.,Banerjee P.,Croudhwy S.,Panda S.K.Dasgupta S.,Das J.D.Satellite detection of earthquake thermal infrared precursors in Iran.Nat Hazards2008D0110.1007/S11069-007-9201
[34]Tronin A A,Masashi H,Molchanov O A.Thermal IR satellite data application for earthquake research in Ja-pan and China.Journal of Geodynamics,2002,23:519-534
[35]Tronin A A.Satellite thermal surrey:a newtool for the study of seismoactive regions.Int:J Remote Sensing,1996,17(8):1439-1455
[36]Tronin Andrew.Satellite Thermal Survey Application Earthquake Prediction Atmospheric and Ionospheric Elec-tromagnetic Associated with Earthquakes Ed.M.Hayakawa,pp717-746.by Terra Scientific Publishing Com-pany(TERRAPUB),Tokyo
[37]Salman A,Egan W G,Tronin A A.Infrared remote sensing of seismic disturbances.In:Polarization and Re-mote Sensing.SPIE,San Diego CA,1992:208-218
[38]Tramutali V,Cuomo V,Filizzola C,Pergola N,Pietrapertosa C.Assessing the potential of thermal infrared satellite surveys for monitoring seismically active area:The case of Kocaeli(Izmit)earthquake,August17,1999.Remote Sensing of Environment,2005,96:409-426
[39]Filizzola C,Nirgola N,Pietrapertosa C,Tramutali V.Robust satellite technique for seismically active areas monitoring:a sensitivity analysis on September7,1999.Athensis earthquake.Physics and Chemistery of the Earth,2004,29:517-527
[40]Freund F et al.Positive hole-type charge carriers in oxide materials.In:Levinson,L.M.(Ed.),Grain Boundaries and Interfacial Phenomena in Electronic Materials.American Ceramic Society,Cincinnati,OH:1994:263-278
[41]Freund F et al.Stimlated infrared emission from rocks:assessing a stress indicator[J/OL],eEarth Discuss
[42]Freund F,Boruchi,J G.Charge carrier generation and charge cloud propagation following100m/s impacts on igneous rocks.In:Hayakawa,M(Ed),Atmosphere and Ionospheric Electromagnetic Phenomena Associated with Earthquakes.Terra Sci.Publ.,Tokyo.1999:839-857
[43]Freund F.Charge generation and propagation in igneous rocks.J.Geodyn,2002,33:545-572
[44]Freund F.Rocks that Crackle and Sparkle and Glow-Strange Pre-Earthquake Phenomena.J.Science,2003(17):37-71
[45]Freund M M,Freund F,Batllo F.Highly mobile oxygen holes in magnesium oxide.Phys.Rev.Lett.1989,63:2096-2099
[46]Ouzounov D,Freund F.Mid-infrared emission prior to strong earthquakes analyzed by remote sensing data.Advances in Space Research,2004(33):268-273
[47]Vincent R K.Fundamentals of Geological and Environmental Remote Sensing.Prentice Hall,NewYork400.(Pages127-130of Chapter5deal with imaging of gases,pages264-266of Chapter9discuss methane escaping from landfills,and pages306-315of Chapter10deal with the subject of imaging methane to improve remote de-tection of earthquake precursors)
[48]Liu S J,Wu L X.Study on mechanism of satellite IR anomaly before tectonic earthquake.25th IEEE Interna-tional Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium,Proceedings,2005,Vols1-8:5060-5063
[49]Wu LX,Liu SJ,Wu YH,Wang CY.Precursors for rock fracturing and failure-Part II:IRR T-Curve abnor-malities.Int J Rock Mech Mining Sci,2006,43(3):483-493
[2]Gornei V E,Salman A G.Infrared radiation of the earth-Index of Earthquake Activity.Soviet Union Science Bulletin,1988,Vol.301,No.1pp.67-69(in Russia)
[3]王纯莹.利用时空内插及资料正规化辅助地震前热异常现象之侦测.国立台湾大学地理环境资源研究所,2005:1-108
[4]Qiang Zuji.Satellite-Based Prediction of Earthquakes.Newsletter,2001.EARSeL(European Association of Remote Sensing Laboratories)21-24
[5]强祖基,赁常恭,李玲芝,等.地球排气与森林火灾和地震活动.地学前缘,2001,8(2):235-245
[6]Qiang Zuji,Xu Xiudeng and Dian Changgong.Impending Earthquake Satellite Thermal infrared and Ground Temperature Increase Anomalies.Chinese Science Bulletin,1991,36(22):1894-1900
[7]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong et al.Monitoring and predicting earthquakes using satellite remote sensing tech-niques,Remote sensing to combat natural disasters.Report of the United Nations/ESCAP/UNDRO workshop on the Applications of Space Techniques to Combat Natural Disasters,1991:102-108
[8]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong.Thermal Infrared Anomaly-Precursor&Impending Earthquakes.Chinese Science Bulletin,1991,36(4):320-323
[9]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong,Wang Xuanji et al.Satellite Thermal Infrared Anomalous Temperature Increase and Impending Earthquake Precursor.Chinese Science Bulletin,1992,37(19):1642-1646
[10]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong et al.The Thermal Infrared Anomaly of Meteorological satellite-Precursor of Im-pending Earthquakes.Proceeding of the Ninth Thematic Conference on Geologic Remote Sensing,1993:8-11,February Pasadena,California,USA1001-1013Environmental research Institute of Michigan USA
[11]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong et al.The Application of Remote Sensing to Impending Earthquake Prediction.44th Congress of the IAF,1993Re:IAF-93-B.5.103.Graz,Austria
[12]Qiang Zuji,Kong Lingchang,Dian Changgong,et al.Terrestrial Degassing,Thermal lnfrared Anomaly and Earthquakes.Chinese Science Bulletin,1993,38(13):1108-1113
[13]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong et al.Satellite Thermal Infrared Temperature Increase Precursor-Short Term and Impending Earthquake PredictionEnvironmental Assessment of Geological Hazards.Proceedings of Space Con-gress1995,53-57.Munich,Germany:European Space Report
[14]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong et al.Remote Sensing,Instantaneous Crust Movement and Short-term and Immi-nent Precursor.The12International Conference and Workshops on Applied Geologic Remote Sensing,1997,Vol.Ⅱ,157-164,17-19November,Denver,Colorado.USA
[15]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong,Guo Manhong,Zhao Yong.The temperature increase of the earth's detected by satellite in the infrared band before the strong earthquake swarms in Samal Island of the Philippines.Asia-Pa-cific Remote Sensing and GIS Journal,1997,10,1,10-14Tailand
[16]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong,Li Linzhi,et al.Satellite Thermal Infrared Anomal and Earthquake Prediction in Advance and in Short-term.Dedicated to the30thInternational Geological Congress.The Selected papers of earthquake prediction in China,SSB.1996.Seismological Press.186-194
[17]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong,Li Linzhi,et al.1997.Satellite Thermal infrared anomaly and earthquake pre-diction in advance and in short-term.In:The Selected Papers of Proceedings of12th International Conference.Applied Geologic Remote Sensing II,Denver USA,17-19
[18]Qiang Zuji,Lingchang Kong,Lanzhe Zheng,et al.An experimental study on temperature increasing mecha-nism of satellite thermo-infrared.Acta Seismologica Sinica,1997,10(2):247-252
[19]Qiang Zuji,Xu Xiu-Deng,Dian Changgong.Thermal Infrared Anomaly Precursor of Impending Earthquakes.Pure and Applied Geophysics,1997,149:159-171
[20]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong,Li Lingzhi,et al.Satellite thermal infrared brightness temperature anomaly im-age-short-term and impending earthquake precursors.China Science,1999,28(3):313-324
[21]Qiang Z.Interactive comment on“Stimulated infrared emission from rocks:assessing a stress indicator by F.T.Freund eEdiscussions,2006
[22]Qiang Z,Zhao X,Xie HZeng Z.Satellite thermal infrared stress field and earthquake prediction in short-term and imminent.S33B1314AGU Fall Meeting
[23]强祖基,姚清林,魏乐军,赵勇,郭坚峰,曾佐勋,谢红接.震前卫星红外热环形应力场特征.地球学报,2008,29(4):486-494
[24]NRSCC.Information supplied by the National Remote Sensing Center of China.Earthquake Prediction in Chi-na,CEOS Special Report on Successful Applications of EO Satellite Date,1995,Printed in the United King-dom
[25]CSIRO&CEOS.Resources in Earth Observation,1cases studies,disaster mitigation,Earthquake Prediction in China(CD).Laser dick CD-ROM,Produced by the CSIRO Office of Space Science.1996.Australia
[26]Saraf A K and Choudhury S.Earthquakes and Thermal Anomalies,Geospatial Today,2003,2(2):18-20
[27]Saraf A K and Choudhury S.Satellite Detects Surface Thermal Anomalies Associated with the Algerian Earth-quakes of May,2003.Int.J.of Remote Sensing,2004,26(13):2705-2713
[28]Saraf A K and Choudhury S.NOAA-AVHRR detects thermal Anomaly associated with26January2001Bhiy earthquakes,Gujarat,India.Int.J.of Remote Sensing,2005,26(6):1065-1073
[29]Saraf A.K.Choudbury S.Satellite Detects surface thermal anomalies associated with the Algerian earthquakes of May2003.Int.J.Remote Sens.,2005,26(13):2705-2713
[30]Saraf A.K.Choudbury S.Thermal remote sensing technique in the study of Pre-earthquake thermal anoma-lies.J.Indian Geophys.Union,2005,9(3):197-207
[31]Saraf A.K.Choudbury S.SSM/I applications in studys of thermal anomalies Associated with earthquakes.Int.J.Geoinf,2005,2(3):197-207
[32]Saraf A.K.Cloudhury S.Dasgupta S.Rawat V.Does a major earthquake precede a thermal anomaly.Int.J.Geoinf.,2007
[33]Saraf A.K.,Rawat V.,Banerjee P.,Croudhwy S.,Panda S.K.Dasgupta S.,Das J.D.Satellite detection of earthquake thermal infrared precursors in Iran.Nat Hazards2008D0110.1007/S11069-007-9201
[34]Tronin A A,Masashi H,Molchanov O A.Thermal IR satellite data application for earthquake research in Ja-pan and China.Journal of Geodynamics,2002,23:519-534
[35]Tronin A A.Satellite thermal surrey:a newtool for the study of seismoactive regions.Int:J Remote Sensing,1996,17(8):1439-1455
[36]Tronin Andrew.Satellite Thermal Survey Application Earthquake Prediction Atmospheric and Ionospheric Elec-tromagnetic Associated with Earthquakes Ed.M.Hayakawa,pp717-746.by Terra Scientific Publishing Com-pany(TERRAPUB),Tokyo
[37]Salman A,Egan W G,Tronin A A.Infrared remote sensing of seismic disturbances.In:Polarization and Re-mote Sensing.SPIE,San Diego CA,1992:208-218
[38]Tramutali V,Cuomo V,Filizzola C,Pergola N,Pietrapertosa C.Assessing the potential of thermal infrared satellite surveys for monitoring seismically active area:The case of Kocaeli(Izmit)earthquake,August17,1999.Remote Sensing of Environment,2005,96:409-426
[39]Filizzola C,Nirgola N,Pietrapertosa C,Tramutali V.Robust satellite technique for seismically active areas monitoring:a sensitivity analysis on September7,1999.Athensis earthquake.Physics and Chemistery of the Earth,2004,29:517-527
[40]Freund F et al.Positive hole-type charge carriers in oxide materials.In:Levinson,L.M.(Ed.),Grain Boundaries and Interfacial Phenomena in Electronic Materials.American Ceramic Society,Cincinnati,OH:1994:263-278
[41]Freund F et al.Stimlated infrared emission from rocks:assessing a stress indicator[J/OL],eEarth Discuss
[42]Freund F,Boruchi,J G.Charge carrier generation and charge cloud propagation following100m/s impacts on igneous rocks.In:Hayakawa,M(Ed),Atmosphere and Ionospheric Electromagnetic Phenomena Associated with Earthquakes.Terra Sci.Publ.,Tokyo.1999:839-857
[43]Freund F.Charge generation and propagation in igneous rocks.J.Geodyn,2002,33:545-572
[44]Freund F.Rocks that Crackle and Sparkle and Glow-Strange Pre-Earthquake Phenomena.J.Science,2003(17):37-71
[45]Freund M M,Freund F,Batllo F.Highly mobile oxygen holes in magnesium oxide.Phys.Rev.Lett.1989,63:2096-2099
[46]Ouzounov D,Freund F.Mid-infrared emission prior to strong earthquakes analyzed by remote sensing data.Advances in Space Research,2004(33):268-273
[47]Vincent R K.Fundamentals of Geological and Environmental Remote Sensing.Prentice Hall,NewYork400.(Pages127-130of Chapter5deal with imaging of gases,pages264-266of Chapter9discuss methane escaping from landfills,and pages306-315of Chapter10deal with the subject of imaging methane to improve remote de-tection of earthquake precursors)
[48]Liu S J,Wu L X.Study on mechanism of satellite IR anomaly before tectonic earthquake.25th IEEE Interna-tional Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium,Proceedings,2005,Vols1-8:5060-5063
[49]Wu LX,Liu SJ,Wu YH,Wang CY.Precursors for rock fracturing and failure-Part II:IRR T-Curve abnor-malities.Int J Rock Mech Mining Sci,2006,43(3):483-493
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