人力资本、社会资本与受灾居民灾后恢复研究——以汶川地震灾后恢复为例
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摘要
汶川地震已近两周年了。受灾居民是否从地震灾害的冲击中恢复过来?影响受灾居民灾后恢复的决定因素如何?本文利用2010年1月在六个重灾县(市)收集的1000余户受灾家庭样本的问卷数据,对受灾居民灾后恢复情况及其影响因素进行研究。结果表明:近6成的受灾居民经济状况已恢复到灾前水平;宏观社会资本(突出表现在信任上)对灾后恢复具有显著的正向影响;受灾程度对灾后恢复产生显著的负面影响;人力资本对灾后恢复的影响不显著;其他因素如常住地、民族等也对灾后恢复产生显著影响。本文基于研究结果,提出相应的政策建议。
Wenchuan Earthquake has been two years.Have the affected residents recovered from the impact of the disaster? How do the determined factors influence the post-disaster recovery of the affected residents? Using the questionnaire data from over 1000 samples of the affected families from six heavily-stricken counties(cities) in Jan.2010,we conduct researches on the recovery of the a ffected residents and the influential factors.The results show that:the economic situation of around sixty percent of the affected residents has been restored to pre-disaster levels;macro social capital(especially reflected in trust) has significant positive effects on the recovery;the extent of the disaster has a significant negative impact on the recovery;the impact of human capital on th e recovery is not significant;other factors,such as permanent residence,natio nality etc.,have significant impact on the recovery.Based on the findings,this article gives appropriate policy recommendations.
引文
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