文安地震前天体引潮力和NCEP的异常现象
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摘要
利用天体引潮力对地震诱发作用计算模型和NCEP遥感数据提取异常增温信息,分析2006.7.4发生在我国河北文安Ms5.1级的地震原因。研究结果表明:此次地震发生在天体引潮力达到峰值时段,天体引潮力对地应力处于临界状态的活动断层具有明显的诱发作用;增温异常图像呈现出震前异常增温经历:起始→加强→高峰→衰减→平静的演变过程,该过程反映地震构造由初始微动→破裂→扩张破裂→应力积聚→地震爆发→平静的一般过程。
According to the fluctuation in time which extracted from astro-tidal-triggering mod-el,the paper used the data of NCEP(National Centers for Environmental Prediction) to analyze the temperature abnormal increase before the Ms5.1 earthquake that occurred in Wen'an,Hebei province of China on July 4,2006.The result indicated that the astro-tidal-triggering has a triggering effect on the activity of a fault only at the time when the terra stress is in criti-cal status.Meantime,the images of the temperature abnormal increase can clearly reflect the procession of the seismic fault activity in Wen'an:initial temperature rise→ enhancement→ reaching peak →attenuation →return to baseline,and the evolution of abnormal temperature changing maybe indicate the fault activities under tectonics stress:tectonic movement extrusion →rock micro-breakage →rock breaking enhancement →energy accumulation → shaking→ tranquil.
According to the fluctuation in time which extracted from astro-tidal-triggering mod-el,the paper used the data of NCEP(National Centers for Environmental Prediction) to analyze the temperature abnormal increase before the Ms5.1 earthquake that occurred in Wen'an,Hebei province of China on July 4,2006.The result indicated that the astro-tidal-triggering has a triggering effect on the activity of a fault only at the time when the terra stress is in criti-cal status.Meantime,the images of the temperature abnormal increase can clearly reflect the procession of the seismic fault activity in Wen'an:initial temperature rise→ enhancement→ reaching peak →attenuation →return to baseline,and the evolution of abnormal temperature changing maybe indicate the fault activities under tectonics stress:tectonic movement extrusion →rock micro-breakage →rock breaking enhancement →energy accumulation → shaking→ tranquil.
引文
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[2]Tsuruoka H,Masakazu O,Haruo S.Stat-istical test of the tidal triggering of earth-quakes,contribution of the ocean tide loading effect[J].Geophys.J.Int.,1995,122(1):183-194.
[3]刘德富,罗灼礼,彭克银.强烈地震前的OLR异常现象[J].地震,1997,17(2):126-132.
[4]马宗晋,傅征祥,张珍.1966-1976年中国九大地震[M].北京:地震出版社,1982.
[5]Gorny V I,Salman A G,Tronin A A,et al.The earth outgoing IR radiation as an indicator of seismic activity[J].Proc.A-cad.Sci.USSR,1988,30(1):67-69.
[6]QIANG,Z.,Xu,X.,and DIAN,C.Im-pending Earthquake Satellite Thermal Infrared and Ground Temperature In-crease Anomalies[J].Chinese Science Bulletin(Kexue Tongbao),1991,36(22):1895-1900.
[7]V.Tramutoli,et al.Assessing the poten-tial of thermal infrared satellite surveys for monitoring seismically active areas:The case of Kocaeli(Izmit)earthquake,August17,1999[J].Remote Sensing of Environment,2005,96(3～4):409-426.
[8]Mcnutt S R,Beavan R J.volcanic earth-quakes at Pavlof volcano correlated with the earth tide[J].Nature,1981,294:615-618.
[9]Kalnay E,Kanamitsu M,Kistler R,et al.The NCEP/NCAR40years reanalysis project[J].Bull.Amer.Meteor.Soc.,1996,77(3):437-471.
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