汰内井水氡年变异常与台湾地区强震的关系

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英文篇名：The relation between abnormal annual variation of the hydro-radon in Tainei well ,Fujian,and the strong earthquakes in Taiwan area 中文刊名：华南地震 英文刊名：South China Journal of Seismology 作者：方宏芳 英文作者：Fang Hong-fang (Seismological Bureau of Zhangzhou ; Fujian Province ; Zhangzhou ; 363000 ; China) 中文关键词：前兆异常 ; 水氡 ; 汰内井 ; 年变动态 ; 层次跟踪 英文关键词：precursory anomaly ; hydro-radon ; Tainei well ; the annual variation ; the HTM method 出版日期：2001-09-30 机构：漳州市地震局 福建漳州363000 年：2001 期：03 出版单位：华南地震

摘要

通过对汰内井水氡多年年变动态的分析 ,发现台湾地区强震前后汰内井水氡值表现出持续高值、年变规律畸变等异常 ,这些异常多为中期与中短期异常 ,有时也有短临异常和震后效应 ;利用中国地震局“八五”攻关软件《SHEP》对汰内井 1987～ 1999年氡测值进行层次跟踪中期预测分析 ,发现其预测结果与台湾 1987年以来发生的 4次强震在时间上有较好的对应关系
By analyzing the annual variation of the hydro-radon in Tainei well, it has been found that there are some anomaly of hydro-radon before and after the strong earthquakes in Taiwan area, which appear to be that the values of the hydro-radon keep high level and the abnormal annual variation and so on. Most of them are short-medium term and medium term. However, sometimes they appear to be short-impending anomaly and post seismic effects. Based on the medium-term prediction and analysis on the values of the radon during 1987 to 1999 in Tainei well by using "SHEP" software and the HTM method, it has been discovered that the corresponding relationship in time between the prediction result and four strong shocks occurred in Taiwan area since 1987a.

引文

[1]国家地震局预测预防司.地下流体地震预报方法[M].北京:地震出版社,1997.
    [2]张素欣,郑云贞.昌黎井水氡、水位、降雨之间的相关分析[J].地震,1999,19(3):309-312