新疆昆仑地震的可公度性
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摘要
利用可公度性原理分析了近百年来在新疆昆仑地区发生的M≥7.0的地震,发现这些地震发生的时间具有可公度性,且它们基本上都发生在其时间轴上的可公度值点与其黄金分割点上。因而可以认为,可公度的扩张可为该地区大地震的预测提供一定的科学依据。
In the paper the occurrence of the earthquakes of M≥7.0 in Kunlun area of Xinjiang in recent century were analyzed by means of commensurable principle.The authors find that the occurrence of these earthquakes has the commensurability,and they all basically occurred in the commensurable point and points of golden section of the commensurable value of its time axis.The results indicate that the commensurable expansion can provide a scientific basis for the prediction of major earthquakes which will occur in the area.
In the paper the occurrence of the earthquakes of M≥7.0 in Kunlun area of Xinjiang in recent century were analyzed by means of commensurable principle.The authors find that the occurrence of these earthquakes has the commensurability,and they all basically occurred in the commensurable point and points of golden section of the commensurable value of its time axis.The results indicate that the commensurable expansion can provide a scientific basis for the prediction of major earthquakes which will occur in the area.
引文
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[2]Nietro MM.The Titius—Bode Law of Planetary Distances,Its history and theory[M].Pergamon Press,New York,1972.
[3]张钰哲.中国大百科全书天文系[M].北京.上海:中国大百科全书出版社,375.
[4]翁文波.预测论基础[M].北京:北京石油工业出版社,1984.
[5]王鼎昌.信息论的发展和意义[J],自然辩证法通讯,1981,2:35-40.
[6]郭增建,秦保燕,郭安宁.地气偶合与天灾预测[M],北京:地震出版社,1996:165-188.
[7]郭增建,胡辉,吴瑾冰.1999年9月21日台湾7.6级大震预报讨论[J],自然灾害学报,2000,429-34.
[8]陈顒,史培军.自然灾害[M],北京:北京师范大学出版社,2007.
[9]Engdahl B,Villasenr A.Global seisnicity:1900-1900[A]//Lee W HK,Kanamori H,Jennings PC.et al.International Handbook of Earthquakeand Engineering Seismology,Part A.Amsterdam:Academic Press,2002.
[10]时振梁.世界地震目录[M],北京:地震出版社,1981.
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