同时考虑中介状态和失效相关时复杂抗震工程系统可靠性研究展望
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摘要
讨论了工程结构与系统失效相关性和广义可靠性理论的研究现状,分析了应用研究中凸现的局限性。在此基础上,考虑结构和系统具有"安全-中介-失效"的三级工作模式,提出具有中介状态工程系统的可靠性向量概念;根据地震荷载的单一随机扰动作用特点,引入相关性参数,结合模系运算和条件概率提出较为精确又能简化处理的抗震工程系统失效相关性实用方法;建立同时考虑中介状态和失效相关时多级递阶和网络抗震工程系统的可靠性向量模型及其实用分析方法。该理论适用于土木、建筑、水利、机械等各种工程结构与系统。
The state of study on the failuredependence and generalized reliability theory for engineering structures and systems is discussed. Some limitations of applied researches are analyzed. On the basis of above, the notion is proposed that structures and systems take on three work modes i.e. safety, intermediate and failure states. The concept of reliability vector of engineering structures and systems with intermediate state is brought forward. According to characteristic of structures acted by a stochastically disturbing source of seismic load, a practical method for dealing with failuredependence of aseismic engineering systems is advanced by introducing dependence parameter, rules of norm operation and conditional probability. Some practical analysis methods for reliability vector of multilevel hierarchical and network aseismic engineering systems with intermediate state and failuredependence are established.
The state of study on the failuredependence and generalized reliability theory for engineering structures and systems is discussed. Some limitations of applied researches are analyzed. On the basis of above, the notion is proposed that structures and systems take on three work modes i.e. safety, intermediate and failure states. The concept of reliability vector of engineering structures and systems with intermediate state is brought forward. According to characteristic of structures acted by a stochastically disturbing source of seismic load, a practical method for dealing with failuredependence of aseismic engineering systems is advanced by introducing dependence parameter, rules of norm operation and conditional probability. Some practical analysis methods for reliability vector of multilevel hierarchical and network aseismic engineering systems with intermediate state and failuredependence are established.
引文
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[3]王光远,王文泉.抗震结构的模糊可靠性分析[J].ActaMechanicsSinica,1986,2(4):17～21.
[4]ZhangPeng,WangGuangyuan,LuDagang.ReliabilityanalysisofengineeringstructuresandsystemswithintermediateStatebeforefailure[A].TheProceedingofInternationalConferenceonEngineeringandTechnologicalSciences2000[C].Beijing:ArchitectureIndustryPressofChina,2000.
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[6]王光远,张 鹏.具有中介状态的工程系统的可靠性分析[J].土木工程学报,,2001,34(2):13～17.
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[25]霍 达.模糊随机可靠度计算的验算点法[J].建筑结构学报,1993,14(6):33～39.
[26]刘玉彬,王光远.基于模糊随机变量的结构广义可靠度[J].哈尔滨建筑大学学报,1995,28(3):1～6.
[27]LiuYubin,WangGuangyuan.Fuzzyrandomreliabilityofstructuresbasedonfuzzyrandomvariables[J].FuzzySetsandSystems,1997,86(2):345～355.
[28]曹晋华.可靠性数学引论[M].北京:科学出版社,1986.
[29]王光远.失效相关工程系统的可靠性[J].地震工程与工程振动,1992,12(1):1～6.
[30]何钟怡.单一随机扰动源作用下工程结构的失效相关性问题[J].地震工程与工程振动,1994,14(2):76～85.
[31]张 鹏,王光远.失效相关下表决工程系统的可靠度[J].计算力学学报,2001,18(2):150～155.
[32]王光远,张 鹏.表决工程系统抗地震全局优化设计[J].建筑结构学报,2000,21(2):28～35.
[33]ZhangPeng,WangGuangyuan,LuDagag.Reliabilityofthevotingengineeringsystemunderfailure dependence[A].TheProceedingof1stInter[C].ConfonStructuralEngineering,1999.10.
[34]肖芳淳,张效雨,张 鹏.模糊分析设计在石油工业中的应用[M].北京:石油工业出版社,1993.
[35]王光远,张 鹏,等.工程结构与系统抗震优化设计的实用方法[M].北京:中国建筑工业出版社,1999.
[36]王光远,张 鹏,季天健.抗震结构全寿命预期总费用最小优化设计[J].土木工程学报,2003,36(3):10～27.
[2]王光远,王文泉,欧进萍.系统的广义可靠度[J].系统工程理论与实践,1988,8(1):24～27.
[3]王光远,王文泉.抗震结构的模糊可靠性分析[J].ActaMechanicsSinica,1986,2(4):17～21.
[4]ZhangPeng,WangGuangyuan,LuDagang.ReliabilityanalysisofengineeringstructuresandsystemswithintermediateStatebeforefailure[A].TheProceedingofInternationalConferenceonEngineeringandTechnologicalSciences2000[C].Beijing:ArchitectureIndustryPressofChina,2000.
[5]ZhangPeng,LuDagang,WangGuangyuan.Reliabilityanalysisofvotingengineeringsystemswithintermediatestatebeforefailure[J].InternationalJournalofAdvancesinSystemsScienceandApplications,2000,1(2):97～103.
[6]王光远,张 鹏.具有中介状态的工程系统的可靠性分析[J].土木工程学报,,2001,34(2):13～17.
[7]王光远,张 鹏,陈艳艳,等.工程结构及系统的模糊可靠性分析[M].南京:东南大学出版社,2001.
[8]张 鹏,王光远.简单系统的可靠性向量[A].力学2000学术大会论文集[C].北京:中国气象出版社,2000.
[9]张 鹏,王光远.考虑中介状态的机械系统的可靠性分析[J].机械设计,2001,18(专集):159～163.
[10]KaufmannA.Introductiontothetheoryoffuzzysubsets[M].AcademicPress,1975.235～243.
[11]FurataH,ShiraishiN.FuzzySetsandSystems,1984,12(2):205～213.
[12]ParkKS.IEEETransactionsonReliability,1987,R-36(1):129～132.
[13]陈 宏.成都电讯工程学院学报,1987,16(3):207～211.
[14]BarlowRE.TheoryofReliability[M].North Holland,1986.321～378.
[15]欧进萍,王光远.基于模糊破坏准则的抗震结构动力可靠性分析[J].地震工程与工程振动,1986,6(2):1～5.
[16]欧进萍,王光远.抗震结构的模糊随机振动与模糊动力可靠性分析[J].哈尔滨建筑工程学院学报,1986,19(2):1～6.
[17]王光远.工程软设计理论[M].北京:科学出版社,1992.
[18]OnisawaT.Fuzzytheoryinreliabilityanalysis[J].FuzzySetsandSystems,1989,29(2):250～251.
[19]LiangGS.Evaluatinghumanreliabilityusingfuzzyrelation[J].MicroelectronicsandReliability,1993,(1):63～80.
[20]AndrasBardossy,IstvanBogardi.Fuzzyfatiguelifeprediction[J].StructuralSafety,1989,6:25～28.
[21]ReddyRK,Haldar.Arandom fuzzyreliabilityanalysis[A].ProceedingsoftheFirstInternationalSymposiumonUncertaintyModelingandAnalysis[C].EditedbyBilalM.Ayyub,Maryland,1990.161～166.
[22]CaiKaiyuan,WenChuanyuan,ZhangMinglian.SurvivabilityindexforCCNS:ameasureoffuzzyreliability[J].Relia bilityEngineeringandSystemSafety,1991,33(1):71～99.
[23]CaiKaiyuan,WenChuanyuan,ZhangMinglian.Fuzzyreliabilitymodelingofgracefullydegradablecomputingsystems[J].ReliabilityEngineeringandSystemSafety,1991,33(1):141～157.
[24]蔡开元,文传源,张明廉.模糊可靠性理论中的基本概念[J].航空学报,1993,14(7):32～35.
[25]霍 达.模糊随机可靠度计算的验算点法[J].建筑结构学报,1993,14(6):33～39.
[26]刘玉彬,王光远.基于模糊随机变量的结构广义可靠度[J].哈尔滨建筑大学学报,1995,28(3):1～6.
[27]LiuYubin,WangGuangyuan.Fuzzyrandomreliabilityofstructuresbasedonfuzzyrandomvariables[J].FuzzySetsandSystems,1997,86(2):345～355.
[28]曹晋华.可靠性数学引论[M].北京:科学出版社,1986.
[29]王光远.失效相关工程系统的可靠性[J].地震工程与工程振动,1992,12(1):1～6.
[30]何钟怡.单一随机扰动源作用下工程结构的失效相关性问题[J].地震工程与工程振动,1994,14(2):76～85.
[31]张 鹏,王光远.失效相关下表决工程系统的可靠度[J].计算力学学报,2001,18(2):150～155.
[32]王光远,张 鹏.表决工程系统抗地震全局优化设计[J].建筑结构学报,2000,21(2):28～35.
[33]ZhangPeng,WangGuangyuan,LuDagag.Reliabilityofthevotingengineeringsystemunderfailure dependence[A].TheProceedingof1stInter[C].ConfonStructuralEngineering,1999.10.
[34]肖芳淳,张效雨,张 鹏.模糊分析设计在石油工业中的应用[M].北京:石油工业出版社,1993.
[35]王光远,张 鹏,等.工程结构与系统抗震优化设计的实用方法[M].北京:中国建筑工业出版社,1999.
[36]王光远,张 鹏,季天健.抗震结构全寿命预期总费用最小优化设计[J].土木工程学报,2003,36(3):10～27.
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