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2020年安徽省非常规水源可利用量预测
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摘要
在分析安徽省非常规水源开发利用现状的基础上,对2020年工业、生态及市政非常规水源可利用量进行了预测。其中,采用万元工业增加值取水量预测法预测工业用水量;采用单位绿化面积指标法预测生态用水量;采用道路面积指标法预测市政杂用水量。结果表明:2020年安徽省可用于工业、生态(河道外)和市政杂用水的非常规水源量为35.20亿m3,占总需水量的23.65%,其中用于工业发展的非常规水源量为23.80亿m3,占工业总需水量的67.61%,用于生态发展和市政杂用的非常规水源利用量分别为6.10亿、5.30亿m3,均可以实现100%替代常规水源。根据预测结果可知,非常规水源将成为未来安徽省缓解缺水矛盾的重要环节,有利于缓解全省经济社会发展面临的水资源紧缺问题。
        Based on the development and utilization status of unconventional water resources in Anhui Province,we forecasted the unconventional water resources for industry,ecology and municipal administration in 2020. Among them,industrial water consumption was forecasted by water withdrawal prediction method of industrial added value ten thousand yuan. The ecological water quantity was forecasted by unit green area index method; municipal miscellaneous water was predicted by road area index method. Results showed that the unconventional water resource quantity for industry,ecology and municipal administrationwas 3 520 million cubic meters in Anhui Province in 2020,accounting for23. 7% of the total water demand. Among them,unconventional water resource quantity for industry development was 2 380 million cubic meters,accounting for 67. 6% of the total industrial water demand. Unconventional water resource quantities for ecological development and miscellaneous municipal use were 610 million and 530 million cubic meters,respectively. Thus,100% replacement of conventional water was realized. Forecast results showed that unconventional water resources would become an important link to alleviate the water shortage problem in Anhui Province in future,and was helpful to solve the problem of water shortage during economic and social development in Anhui Province.
引文
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