灰色理论在边坡岩体变形预测中的应用

英文篇名：Application of Grey Theory in Slope Rock Mass Deformation Forecasting
中文刊名：有色金属(矿山部分)
英文刊名：Nonferrous Metals(Mining Section)
作者：韦寒波 ; 高谦
英文作者：WEI Hanbo ; GAO Qian(Civil and Environmental Engineering School ; University of Science and Technology Beijing ; Beijing 100083 ; China )
中文关键词：边坡 ; 变形预测 ; 灰色理论 ; GPS
英文关键词：slope ; deformation forecast ; grey theory ; GPS
出版日期：2008-03-15
机构：北京科技大学土木与环境工程学院,北京科技大学土木与环境工程学院北京100083,北京100083
年：2008
期：02
出版单位：有色金属(矿山部分)

摘要

边坡工程中,由于材料的非连续性、非均质性以及对结构认识的不完全性,难以用确定的函数形式对边坡变形趋势进行描述。应用灰色系统的原理和方法,对边坡的变形发展进行预测是一种有效手段。本文结合GPS变形监测所获得的原始数据,建立灰色预测GM(1,1)模型,分析边坡岩体变形趋势与边坡稳定性。结果显示:灰色预测的变形数据与实测变形数据关联度较好,灰色理论用于边坡岩体变形预测是切实可行的。
In slope projects,a definite function is unavailable to describe the trend of slope deformation due to the discontinuity and heterogeneity of rockmass material and incomplete knowledge to slope structure.By using the monitored deformation data,however,the grey system theory can be applied to forecast the development of slope deformation.The original deformation data which come from GPS monitoring are used to establish the grey forecasting model GM (1,1).Then,this model is used to analyse the trend of slope rockmass deformation and the stability of slope.The results show that the correlation of deformation data from grey forecast to deformation data from actual monitoring is better.The application of the grey theory in forecast of of slope rockmass deformation is feasible.

引文

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