建筑安全应急管理的模糊动态响应研究
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摘要
本文针对安全应急管理的现状及存在问题,分析涉房屋安全突发事件的起因、来源、性质、影响和危害程度等特征,对突发事件提出相应的动态分级的思路和方法,运用三角模糊数的动态应急模型,实现对房屋安全突发事件分类、分级、分期的界定与管理。案例分析表明,给出的模型能够指导应急管理的决策者快速评定突发事件的状况,准确的选择应对方案,快捷高效的提高应变能力和反应速度。
The paper gives a dynamic emergency model used in the incident management on the building safety.According to the present condition on the emergency management and the characters on the building's safety incidents,the dynamic classification method is introduced,and the basic theory is triangular fuzzy method.A case shows that the model is helpful for the emergency managers to make decision quickly and accurately.The method is a feasible model,at the same time,many problems need to be studied further.
The paper gives a dynamic emergency model used in the incident management on the building safety.According to the present condition on the emergency management and the characters on the building's safety incidents,the dynamic classification method is introduced,and the basic theory is triangular fuzzy method.A case shows that the model is helpful for the emergency managers to make decision quickly and accurately.The method is a feasible model,at the same time,many problems need to be studied further.
引文
[1]袁春燕.城镇房屋安全管理与综合防灾体系研究[D].西安:西安建筑科技大学,2008.
[2]吴宗之,刘茂.重大事故应急预案分级、分类体系及其基本内容[J].中国安全科学学报,2003.1.
[3]吕欣驰.城市火灾等级划分和救援力量预案编制[D].公安部沈阳消防研究所,2003.11.
[4]杨静,陈建明,赵红.应急管理中的突发事件分类分级研究[J].管理评论,2005.
[5]Carlsson,C..Fuzzy multiple criteria for decision support systems.In:J.Kacprzyk(ed.).Management Decision Support Systemsusing Fuzzy Sets and Possibility Theory,1985.48～61.
[6]黄崇福,史培军.城市地震灾害风险评价的数学模型[J].自然灾害学报,1995,4(2):30～37.
[2]吴宗之,刘茂.重大事故应急预案分级、分类体系及其基本内容[J].中国安全科学学报,2003.1.
[3]吕欣驰.城市火灾等级划分和救援力量预案编制[D].公安部沈阳消防研究所,2003.11.
[4]杨静,陈建明,赵红.应急管理中的突发事件分类分级研究[J].管理评论,2005.
[5]Carlsson,C..Fuzzy multiple criteria for decision support systems.In:J.Kacprzyk(ed.).Management Decision Support Systemsusing Fuzzy Sets and Possibility Theory,1985.48～61.
[6]黄崇福,史培军.城市地震灾害风险评价的数学模型[J].自然灾害学报,1995,4(2):30～37.
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