基于集对模型的地下工程塌方风险分析方法
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摘要
为度量和监控地下工程塌方风险态势,提出一种基于集对模型的地下工程塌方风险分析方法。通过归纳地下工程塌方灾害因素,建立地下工程塌方风险的层次化结构,应用变异系数法确定风险指标的权重值;以集对分析(SPA)的同异反联系度和距离测度为基础,构建地下工程塌方风险态势监控机制及分析模型。给出地下工程塌方风险态势度量工作步骤,确定地下工程塌方灾害风险集对势、贴近度和次序关系。最后,通过对塌方风险分析样本的集对计算,为有效防范塌方灾害由潜伏性向灾变性转化提供防范重点。
To Monitor and measure the landslide risk situation of underground engineering,a SPA model-based method for analysing landslide risk in underground engineering was put forward.Through inducing the landslide factors in underground engineering,the landslide risk hierarch mechanism was erected,whose factors' weight was determined by Variation Coefficient;Based on the Identity,Contrary,Difference connection degree of Set Pair Analysis and the distance measuring theory,risk control mechanism and analysis model was erected about landslide situation of underground engineering,which gave the steps about the underground engineering landslide measurements;And model determined the SPA force,subjected degree and sequence relation about the landslide risk situation of underground engineering.Finally,following the SPA analysis about the landslide risk case,the important units were gained for more monitoring and risk control,to effectively prevent the transformation from the latent status to the catastrophic status.
To Monitor and measure the landslide risk situation of underground engineering,a SPA model-based method for analysing landslide risk in underground engineering was put forward.Through inducing the landslide factors in underground engineering,the landslide risk hierarch mechanism was erected,whose factors' weight was determined by Variation Coefficient;Based on the Identity,Contrary,Difference connection degree of Set Pair Analysis and the distance measuring theory,risk control mechanism and analysis model was erected about landslide situation of underground engineering,which gave the steps about the underground engineering landslide measurements;And model determined the SPA force,subjected degree and sequence relation about the landslide risk situation of underground engineering.Finally,following the SPA analysis about the landslide risk case,the important units were gained for more monitoring and risk control,to effectively prevent the transformation from the latent status to the catastrophic status.
引文
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[10]赵克勤.集对分析及其初步应用[M].杭州:浙江科学技术出版社,2000.ZHAO Ke-qin.Set Pair Analysis and Applications[M].Hangzhou:Zhejiang Science and Technology Press,2000.
[11]龚士良.地质灾害防治集对论优态共存准则[J].灾害学,2009,24(3):16-21.GONG Shi-liang.Superior coexistence criterion of geological disaster control on set pair theory[J].Journal of Catastrop-hology,2009,24(3):16-21.
[12]杨尚阳,张龙杰,杨婵婵,等.基于集对分析同一度的公路路线方案优选模型[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2008,8(3):115-119.YANG Shang-yang,ZHANG Long-jie,YANG Chan-chan,et al.Highway route scheme optimization model based on iden-tical degree of set pair analysis[J].Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology,2008,8(3):115-119.
[13]魏连雨,张洋.集对分析在山区农村公路路侧危险等级评价中的应用[J].中国安全科学学报,2011,21(9):9-15.WEI Lian-yu,ZHANG Yang.Application of set pair analysis to the road-side risk rating evaluation of rural roads[J].China Safety Science Journal,2011,21(9):9-15.
[14]ZHOU Chao-xia,WANG Feng-shan.SPA model on usability of engineering equipment for earthquake emergency[C].2011 IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Computing and Intelligent Systems,2011:209-213.
[2]吴树仁.石菊松,张春山,等.地质灾害风险评估技术指南初论[J],地质通报,2009,28(8):995-1005.WU Shu-ren,SHI Ju-song,ZHANG Chun-shan,et al.Preliminary discussion on technical guideline for geohazard riskassessment[J].Geological Bulletin of China,2009,28(8):995-1 005.
[3]陈洁金,周峰,阳军生,等.山岭隧道塌方风险模糊层次分析[J].岩土力学,2009,30(8):2365-2370.CHEN Jie-jin,ZHOU Feng,YANG Jun-sheng,et al.Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process for risk evaluation of collapseduring construction of mountain tunnel[J].Rock and Soil Mechanics,2009,30(8):2 365-2 370.
[4]周建昆,吴坚.岩石公路隧道塌方风险事故树分析[J].地下空间与工程学报,2008,4(6):991-998.ZHOU Jian-kun,WU Jian.Fault tree analysis of the collapse risk in rock highway tunnel[J].Chinese Journal of Under-ground Space and Engineering,2008,4(6):991-998.
[5]WANG Feng-shan,HE Lei,LIU Meng,et al.A landslide risk early-warning method in urgent repair operations for earth-quake-damaged underground engineering[C].2010 IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Computing and Intelli-gent Systems,2010:576-579.
[6]龚士良.地震次生地质灾害风险评估集对态势分析[J].四川地质学报,2010,30(1):118-122.GONG Shi-liang.SPA of risk assessment of secondary disasters of earthquake[J].Acta Geological Sichuan,2010,30(1):118-122.
[7]连建发,慎乃齐,张杰坤.基于可拓方法的地下工程围岩评价研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2004,23(9):1450-1453.LIAN Jian-fa,SHEN Nai-qi,ZHANG Jie-kun.Research on surrounding rock evaluation of underground engineering basedon extension method[J].Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering,2004,23(9):1 450-1 453.
[8]谈小龙,徐卫亚,梁桂兰.可拓方法在岩石边坡整体安全评价中的应用[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2009,28(12):2 503-2 509.TAN Xiao-long,XU Wei-ya,LIANG Gui-lan.Application of extenics method to comprehensive safety evaluation of rockslope[J].Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering,2009,28(12):2 503-2 509.
[9]宫凤强,李夕兵,高科.地下工程围岩稳定性分类的突变系数法研究[J].中南大学学报:自然科学版,2008,39(5):1 081-1 086.GONG Feng-qiang,LI Xi-bing,GAO Ke.Catastrophe progression method for stability classification of underground engi-neering surrounding rock[J].Journal of Central South University:Science and Technology,2008,39(5):1 081-1 086.
[10]赵克勤.集对分析及其初步应用[M].杭州:浙江科学技术出版社,2000.ZHAO Ke-qin.Set Pair Analysis and Applications[M].Hangzhou:Zhejiang Science and Technology Press,2000.
[11]龚士良.地质灾害防治集对论优态共存准则[J].灾害学,2009,24(3):16-21.GONG Shi-liang.Superior coexistence criterion of geological disaster control on set pair theory[J].Journal of Catastrop-hology,2009,24(3):16-21.
[12]杨尚阳,张龙杰,杨婵婵,等.基于集对分析同一度的公路路线方案优选模型[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2008,8(3):115-119.YANG Shang-yang,ZHANG Long-jie,YANG Chan-chan,et al.Highway route scheme optimization model based on iden-tical degree of set pair analysis[J].Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology,2008,8(3):115-119.
[13]魏连雨,张洋.集对分析在山区农村公路路侧危险等级评价中的应用[J].中国安全科学学报,2011,21(9):9-15.WEI Lian-yu,ZHANG Yang.Application of set pair analysis to the road-side risk rating evaluation of rural roads[J].China Safety Science Journal,2011,21(9):9-15.
[14]ZHOU Chao-xia,WANG Feng-shan.SPA model on usability of engineering equipment for earthquake emergency[C].2011 IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Computing and Intelligent Systems,2011:209-213.
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