基于层次分析法的盐穴储气库选址评价方法研究
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摘要
随着我国盐岩地下储气库大规模兴建的开始,如何对各目标盐矿区进行储气库库址的评价和优选已成为国内储气库建设面临的首要问题。在对盐穴储气库选址的影响因素进行详细归类和分析的基础上,应用层次分析法建立盐穴储气库选址综合评价体系的目标层次结构模型,并结合专家调查法,确定了该模型中18项基本指标在整个选址评价体系中所占的权重。综合本领域专家的意见和相关的理论研究成果,提出了选址体系中各基本指标的适宜度等级划分标准,以及库址综合适宜度等级评价标准,综合各指标的权重计算结果,建立了目标库址综合建库适宜值P的计算公式,为我国盐穴储气库库址的评价和优选提供了可行方法和理论依据。将该方法应用于湖北云应盐矿的盐穴储气库库址评价中,评价结果与专家论证意见一致,表明了该方法的合理性。
The problem of site selection evaluation for salt cavern gas storage arises along with the rapid development of salt cavern gas storages.Based on the classification of the influence factors and the analysis of site selection for salt cavern gas storage,Analytic hierarchy process is used to build a layer structural model.Using expert investigation method,the importance weights of 18 influence factors are obtained.Then taking the advices of the experts on salt cavern gas storage building and the related research results into consideration,index suitability standards and synthetical evaluation standards of site selection evaluation for salt cavern gas storage are put forward.Combined with the importance weights of 18 influence factors,a formula is developed to calculate the synthetical appropriate value P of site selection.The results provide a feasible method and theory for the construction of salt cavern gas storage in China.Finally,this method is used to evaluate the suitability of building salt cavern in Yunying salt mine.The result is consistent with the expert opinions,which shows that this method is reasonable.
The problem of site selection evaluation for salt cavern gas storage arises along with the rapid development of salt cavern gas storages.Based on the classification of the influence factors and the analysis of site selection for salt cavern gas storage,Analytic hierarchy process is used to build a layer structural model.Using expert investigation method,the importance weights of 18 influence factors are obtained.Then taking the advices of the experts on salt cavern gas storage building and the related research results into consideration,index suitability standards and synthetical evaluation standards of site selection evaluation for salt cavern gas storage are put forward.Combined with the importance weights of 18 influence factors,a formula is developed to calculate the synthetical appropriate value P of site selection.The results provide a feasible method and theory for the construction of salt cavern gas storage in China.Finally,this method is used to evaluate the suitability of building salt cavern in Yunying salt mine.The result is consistent with the expert opinions,which shows that this method is reasonable.
引文
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[15]张云,刘长礼,叶浩,等.岩溶地区垃圾填埋场的选址评价探讨[J].中国地质,2008,35(1):163-181.ZHANG Yun,LIU Chang-li,YE Hao,et al.Research onsite selecting evaluation for garbage landfill in karstregion[J].Geology in China,2008,35(1):163-181.
[16]BEREST P,BROUARD B.Safety of salt caverns used forunderground storage[J].Oil&Gas Science andTechnology,2003,58(3):361-384.
[17]王清明.石盐矿床与勘查[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2007.
[18]郭波,龚时雨,谭云涛,等.项目风险管理[M].北京:电子工业出版社,2008.
[19]丁丽宏.基于改进的灰关联分析和层次分析法的边坡稳定性研究[J].岩土力学,2011,32(11):3437-3441.DING Li-hong.Research on estimation of slope stabilitybased on improved grey correlation analysis and analytichierarchy process[J].Rock and Soil Mechanics,2011,32(11):3437-3441.
[20]翟友成,曹文贵,王江营,等.基于不确定型层次分析法的边坡稳定模糊评判方法[J].岩土力学,2011,32(增刊2):539-543.ZHAI You-cheng,CAO Wen-gui,WANG Jiang-ying,et al.Fuzzy evaluation method of slope stability based onuncertain analytic hierarchy process[J].Rock and SoilMechanics,2011,32(Supp.2):539-543.
[21]许振浩,李术才,李利平,等.基于层次分析法的岩溶隧道突水突泥风险评估[J].岩土力学,2011,32(6):1757-1766.XU Zhen-hao,LI Shu-cai,LI Li-ping,et al.Riskassessment of water or mud inrush of karst tunnels basedon analytic hierarchy process[J].Rock and SoilMechanics,2011,32(6):1757-1766.
[2]丁国生,谢萍.利用地下盐穴实施战略石油储备[J].油气储运,2006,25(12):16-19.DING Guo-sheng,XIE Ping.Oil strategic reserve usingsalt cavern gas storage[J].Oil&Gas Storage andTransportation,2006,25(12):16-19.
[3]李建中.利用岩盐层建设盐穴地下储气库[J].天然气工业,2004,24(9):119-121.LI Jian-zhong.Build underground gas storage in beddedsalt rock[J].Natural Gas Industry,2004,24(9):119-121.
[4]尹雪英,杨春和,李银平.泥岩夹层对层状盐岩体中储库稳定性影响[J].岩土力学,2006,27(增刊):344-348.YIN Xue-ying,YANG Chun-he,LI Yin-ping.Influence ofmudstone interlayer on stability of oil storage inlaminated salt rock[J].Rock and Soil Mechanics,2006,27(Supp.):344-348.
[5]尹雪英,杨春和,陈剑文.金坛盐矿老腔储气库长期稳定型分析数值模拟[J].岩土力学,2006,27(6):869-874.YIN Xue-ying,YANG Chun-he,CHEN Jian-wen.Numerical simulation research on long-term stability ofgas storage in Jintan salt mine[J].Rock and SoilMechanics,2006,27(6):869-874.
[6]吴文,侯正猛,杨春和.盐岩中能源(石油和天然气)地下储存库稳定性评价标准研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(14):2497-2505.WU Wen,HOU Zheng-meng,YANG Chun-he.Investigation on evaluating criteria of stabilities forenergy(petroleum and natural gas)storage caverns inrock salt[J].Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics andEngineering,2005,24(14):2497-2505.
[7]任松,李小勇,姜德义,等.盐岩储气库运营期稳定性评价研究[J].岩土力学,2011,32(5):1465-1472.REN Song,LI Xiao-yong,JIANG De-yi,et al.Evaluatingstability of salt rock gas storage during operationperiod[J].Rock and Soil Mechanics,2011,32(5):1465-1472.
[8]郭印同,杨春和,付建军.盐岩三轴卸荷力学特性试验研究[J].岩土力学,2012,33(3):725-730,738.GUO Yin-tong,YANG Chun-he,FU Jian-jun.Experimental research on mechanical characteristics ofrock under triaxial unloading text[J].Rock and SoilMechanics,2012,33(3):725-730,738.
[9]杨春和,李银平,陈锋.层状盐岩力学理论与工程[M].北京:科学出版社,2009.
[10]朱坚鹏.基于层次分析法的会展中心选址评价体系[J].福建建筑,2008,(7):19-21.ZHU Jian-peng.The evaluation system of site selectionfor the exhibition center based on AHP[J].FujianArchitecture&Construction,2008,(7):19-21.
[11]年廷凯,郑德凤,栾茂田.城市固体废弃物卫生填埋场选址评价的模糊集方法[J].岩土力学,2004,25(4):574-578.NIAN Ting-kai,ZHENG De-feng,LUAN Mao-tian.Fuzzy sets theory for multi-objective system and itsapplication to site selection of municipal solid wasteslandfill[J].Rock and Soil Mechanics,2004,25(4):574-578.
[12]李渝生,黄润秋.5.12汶川大地震损毁城镇的震害效应与重建选址问题[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2009,28(7):1370-1376.LI Yu-sheng,HUANG Run-qiu.Earthquake damageeffects of towns and reconstruction site selection inWenchuan earthquake on May 12,2008[J].ChineseJournal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering,2009,28(7):1370-1376.
[13]邓纯净,谢正亮.基于层次分析法的高速铁路车站选址评价[J].交通科技与经济,2010,5(12):53-55,58.DENG Chun-jing,XIE Zheng-liang.High-speed railroadstation selected location appraisal based on analytichierarchy process[J].Technology&Economy in Areasof Communications,2010,5(12):53-55,58.
[14]任改娟,贡长青.基于层次分析法的秦皇岛市垃圾填埋场选址评价[J].中国环境管理干部学院学报,2009,19(2):31-34.REN Gai-juan,GONG Chang-qing.Evaluation of landfillsite selection with analytical hierarchy process inQinhuangdao city[J].Journal of EnvironmentalManagement College of China,2009,19(2):31-34.
[15]张云,刘长礼,叶浩,等.岩溶地区垃圾填埋场的选址评价探讨[J].中国地质,2008,35(1):163-181.ZHANG Yun,LIU Chang-li,YE Hao,et al.Research onsite selecting evaluation for garbage landfill in karstregion[J].Geology in China,2008,35(1):163-181.
[16]BEREST P,BROUARD B.Safety of salt caverns used forunderground storage[J].Oil&Gas Science andTechnology,2003,58(3):361-384.
[17]王清明.石盐矿床与勘查[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2007.
[18]郭波,龚时雨,谭云涛,等.项目风险管理[M].北京:电子工业出版社,2008.
[19]丁丽宏.基于改进的灰关联分析和层次分析法的边坡稳定性研究[J].岩土力学,2011,32(11):3437-3441.DING Li-hong.Research on estimation of slope stabilitybased on improved grey correlation analysis and analytichierarchy process[J].Rock and Soil Mechanics,2011,32(11):3437-3441.
[20]翟友成,曹文贵,王江营,等.基于不确定型层次分析法的边坡稳定模糊评判方法[J].岩土力学,2011,32(增刊2):539-543.ZHAI You-cheng,CAO Wen-gui,WANG Jiang-ying,et al.Fuzzy evaluation method of slope stability based onuncertain analytic hierarchy process[J].Rock and SoilMechanics,2011,32(Supp.2):539-543.
[21]许振浩,李术才,李利平,等.基于层次分析法的岩溶隧道突水突泥风险评估[J].岩土力学,2011,32(6):1757-1766.XU Zhen-hao,LI Shu-cai,LI Li-ping,et al.Riskassessment of water or mud inrush of karst tunnels basedon analytic hierarchy process[J].Rock and SoilMechanics,2011,32(6):1757-1766.
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