中国海上油气形势及展望
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摘要
经过20余年的开发,海上油、气产量己分别占全国20.4%、8.7%。南海北部石油产量在上世纪90年代上升最快并成为主产区,但1997年后呈波状快速下降。本世纪初渤海产量快速上升并成为主产区。2011年海上产量已出现降势,可能是今后转为相对稳产和下降的信号。为维持海上油气稳产/增产需大力进行新区新领域的战略接替。新区的现实接替区是南黄海,特别是南海北部陆坡深水—超深水区。新领域为南海北部到东海的中生界。
Offshore oil and gas production in China account for 20.4%and 8.7%of the nation's total respectively after development for more than twenty years.The northern South Sea contributed the most among all other waters during the 1990s but was replaced by the Bohan Bay after 1997 when the former started to decline sharply in its production.However,the production of the Bohai Bay had also started to drop in 2011,signaling a relatively production plateau or production decrease.Therefore,China needs to strengthen a strategic replacement of production and reserves in its sea waters through intensive exploration in South China Sea,especially the deep and ultra-deep waters in the continental slope of the northern part for replacement,and focusing on new domain being in the Mesozoic from the northern South China Sea to East China Sea.
Offshore oil and gas production in China account for 20.4%and 8.7%of the nation's total respectively after development for more than twenty years.The northern South Sea contributed the most among all other waters during the 1990s but was replaced by the Bohan Bay after 1997 when the former started to decline sharply in its production.However,the production of the Bohai Bay had also started to drop in 2011,signaling a relatively production plateau or production decrease.Therefore,China needs to strengthen a strategic replacement of production and reserves in its sea waters through intensive exploration in South China Sea,especially the deep and ultra-deep waters in the continental slope of the northern part for replacement,and focusing on new domain being in the Mesozoic from the northern South China Sea to East China Sea.
引文
[1]张抗,周总瑛,周庆凡.中国石油天然气发展战略[M].北京:地质出版社,石油工业出版社,中国石化出版社,2002:1-777.
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[4]张抗.油气田的生命周期和战术战略接替[M].北京:地质出版社,2000:1-289.
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[11]张功成,米立军,吴时国,等.深水区—南海北部大陆边缘盆地油气勘探新领域[J].石油学报,2007,28(2):15-21.
[12]金晓剑,赵英年,李健民,等.海洋石油工程领域“十一五”技术创新及“十二五”展望[J].中国海上油气,2011,23(5):285-292.
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[14]邓运华.试论中国近海两个盆地带找油与找气地质理论及方法的差异性[J].中国海上油气,2012,24(2):1-5.
[15]徐北煤.我国东部海相下白垩统发现及其地质意义[J].东海海洋,1991,9(1):38-43.
[16]郝沪军,汪端良,张向涛.珠江口盆地东部海相中生界识别及分布[J].中国海上油气,2004,16(2):84-88.
[17]姚永坚,高红芳。何家雄.南海东北部潮汕坳陷及邻区中生界烃源岩初步研究[J].天然气地球科学,2009,20(6):862-871.
[18]易海,张莉,林珍.南海北部中生界构造格局与盆地发育特征[J].石油实验地质,2012,34(4):385-394.
[19]刘宝明,刘海龄.南海及邻区中生界——新的油气勘探领域[J].海洋地质与第四纪地质,2011,31(2):165-170.
[2]张抗.中国油气产区战略接替形势与展望[J].石油勘探与开发,2012,39(5):513-523.
[3]朱伟林,米立军,钟锴,等.油气并举再攀高峰——中国近海2010年勘探回顾及“十二五”勘探展望[J].中国海上油气,2011,23(1):1-6.
[4]张抗.油气田的生命周期和战术战略接替[M].北京:地质出版社,2000:1-289.
[5]张抗.我国海上油气勘探战略问题的探讨[J].中国海洋油气(地质),1990,4(2):43-48.
[6]郭太观,刘春成,吕洪志,等.蓬莱19-3油田地质特征[J].石油勘探与开发,2001,28(2):26-28.
[7]王振峰,裴健翔.莺歌海盆地中深层黄流组高压气藏形成新模式——DF14井钻获强超压优质高产天然气层的意义[J].中国海上油气,2011,23(4):213-217.
[8]邹信波,罗东红,许庆华,等.海上特高含水老油田挖潜策略与措施[J].中国海上油气,2012,24(2):28-33.
[9]王丰,李慧君,张银国.南黄海崂山隆起地层属性及油气地质[J].海洋地质与第四纪地质,2010,30(2):95-102.
[10]林年添,高登辉,孙剑,等.南黄海盆地青岛坳陷二叠系、三叠系地震属性及其地质意义[J].石油学报,2012,33(6):987-995.
[11]张功成,米立军,吴时国,等.深水区—南海北部大陆边缘盆地油气勘探新领域[J].石油学报,2007,28(2):15-21.
[12]金晓剑,赵英年,李健民,等.海洋石油工程领域“十一五”技术创新及“十二五”展望[J].中国海上油气,2011,23(5):285-292.
[13]张抗.发展海工设备制造走向世界海洋石油市场[J].中外能源,2010,15(7):1-8.
[14]邓运华.试论中国近海两个盆地带找油与找气地质理论及方法的差异性[J].中国海上油气,2012,24(2):1-5.
[15]徐北煤.我国东部海相下白垩统发现及其地质意义[J].东海海洋,1991,9(1):38-43.
[16]郝沪军,汪端良,张向涛.珠江口盆地东部海相中生界识别及分布[J].中国海上油气,2004,16(2):84-88.
[17]姚永坚,高红芳。何家雄.南海东北部潮汕坳陷及邻区中生界烃源岩初步研究[J].天然气地球科学,2009,20(6):862-871.
[18]易海,张莉,林珍.南海北部中生界构造格局与盆地发育特征[J].石油实验地质,2012,34(4):385-394.
[19]刘宝明,刘海龄.南海及邻区中生界——新的油气勘探领域[J].海洋地质与第四纪地质,2011,31(2):165-170.
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