冲击地压危险性综合评价的突变级数法研究
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摘要
基于突变理论和模糊数学相结合的突变级数法,提出了冲击地压危险性评价的新指标—突变级数;通过综合考虑冲击地压危险性影响因素,建立了新的冲击地压危险性评价模型;在对各影响要素进行了无量纲化和归一化处理的基础上,利用煤矿现场数据对模型进行了样本学习,确定了不同冲击危险等级的突变级数,并结合已有数据对模型进行了验证。将评价模型应用于工程实例,并与其它主要评价方法比对,结果表明:该方法评判结果准确,精度较高,具有良好的实用价值。
In this paper,based on the catastrophe progression method which combining the catastrophe theory and the fuzzy mathematics,a new catastrophe progression index to evaluate rock burst was proposed.Meanwhile,by comprehensive considering of the influence factors of rock burst risk,a new evaluation model of rock burst was built.In addition,after the nondimensionalization and normalization processing of the influencing factors,the sample learning on the model was conducted according to the field data in coal mine,the catastrophe progressions of different burst risk grades were ascertained,and the model was verified by using the existing data.Finally,the evaluation model was applied to engineering practice,and was compared with other evaluation methods.The results show that this method has accuracy evaluation results,high precision and good practical value.
In this paper,based on the catastrophe progression method which combining the catastrophe theory and the fuzzy mathematics,a new catastrophe progression index to evaluate rock burst was proposed.Meanwhile,by comprehensive considering of the influence factors of rock burst risk,a new evaluation model of rock burst was built.In addition,after the nondimensionalization and normalization processing of the influencing factors,the sample learning on the model was conducted according to the field data in coal mine,the catastrophe progressions of different burst risk grades were ascertained,and the model was verified by using the existing data.Finally,the evaluation model was applied to engineering practice,and was compared with other evaluation methods.The results show that this method has accuracy evaluation results,high precision and good practical value.
引文
[1]钱鸣高,石平五.矿山压力与岩层控制[M].徐州:中国矿业大学出版社,2003.
[2]齐庆新,窦林名.冲击地压理论与技术[M].徐州:中国矿业大学出版社,2008.
[3]潘一山,李中华,章梦涛.我国冲击地压分布、类型、机理及防治研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2003,22(11):1844-1851.PAN Yi-shan,LI Zhong-hua,ZHANG Meng-tao.Distribution,Type,Mechanism and Prevention ofRockbrust in China[J].Chinese Journal of RockMechanics and Engineering,2003,22(11):1844-1851.
[4]窦林名,何学秋.冲击矿压防治理论与技术[M].徐州:中国矿业大学出版社,2001.
[5]尹光志,代高飞,闫河,等.冲击地压预测的遗传神经网络方法[J].岩土力学,2003(6):1016-1020.YIN Guang-zhi,DAI Gao-fei,YAN He,et al.Predictionof rockburst by genetic algorithm-neural network[J].Rock and Soil Mechanics,2003(6):1016-1020.
[6]王超.基于未确知测度理论的冲击地压危险性综合评价模型及应用研究[D].徐州:中国矿业大学安全工程学院,2011.
[7]朱顺泉,徐国祥.上市公司财务状况的突变级数评价模型及其实证研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2003,18(3):11-14.ZHU Shun-quan,XU Guo-xiang.Catastrophe progres-sion evaluation model on financial situation of listedcompany and its empirical study[J].Statistics and In-formation Forum,2003,18(3):11-14.
[8]高科,李夕兵,宫凤强.基于突变级数法的边坡地震稳定性综合评价[J].地下空间与工程学报,2009,5(2):406-412.GAO Ke,LI Xi-bing,GONG Feng-qiang.Integrationevaluation on seismic stability of slopes based on catas-trophe progression method[J].Chinese Journal of Un-derground Space and Engineering,2009,5(2):406-412.
[9]梁桂兰,徐卫亚,何育智,等.突变级数法在边坡稳定综合评判中的应用[J].岩土力学,2008,29(7):1895-1899.LIANG Gui-lan,XU Wei-ya,HE Yu-zhi,et al.Application of catastrophe progression method to com-prehensive evaluation of slope stability[J].Rock and SoilMechanics,2008,29(7):1895-1899.
[10]闫莎莎,张文泉.基于突变级数法的矿区地表开采沉陷损害等级预测研究[J].山东科技大学学报,2010,29(4):40-45.YAN Sha-sha,ZHANG Wen-quan.The prediction ondamage grade of surface subsidence induced by miningbased on catastrophe progression method[J].Journal ofShandong University of Science and Technology,2010,29(4):40-45.
[11]黄奕龙.突变级数法在水资源持续利用评价中的应用[J].干旱环境监测,2001,15(3):167-170.HUANG Yi-long.Application of catastrophe progressionmethod to sustainable usage of water resource[J].AridEnvironment Monitoring,2001,15(3):167-170.
[12]李思平,孙连英.基于非线性理论的边坡稳定性评价模型[J].水文地质工程地质,2002(2):11-14.LI Si-ping,SUN Lian-ying.Evaluation model of slopestability based on nonlinear theory[J].Hydrogeology andEngineering Geology,2002(2):11-14.
[13]陈云峰,孙殿义,陆根法.突变级数法在生态适宜度评价中的应用:以镇江新区为例[J].生态学报,2006,26(8):2587-2593.CHEN Yun-feng,SUN Dian-yi,LU Gen-fa.Applicationof catastrophe progression method in ecological suitabil-ity assessment:a case study on Zhenjiang new area[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2006,26(8):2587-2593.
[2]齐庆新,窦林名.冲击地压理论与技术[M].徐州:中国矿业大学出版社,2008.
[3]潘一山,李中华,章梦涛.我国冲击地压分布、类型、机理及防治研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2003,22(11):1844-1851.PAN Yi-shan,LI Zhong-hua,ZHANG Meng-tao.Distribution,Type,Mechanism and Prevention ofRockbrust in China[J].Chinese Journal of RockMechanics and Engineering,2003,22(11):1844-1851.
[4]窦林名,何学秋.冲击矿压防治理论与技术[M].徐州:中国矿业大学出版社,2001.
[5]尹光志,代高飞,闫河,等.冲击地压预测的遗传神经网络方法[J].岩土力学,2003(6):1016-1020.YIN Guang-zhi,DAI Gao-fei,YAN He,et al.Predictionof rockburst by genetic algorithm-neural network[J].Rock and Soil Mechanics,2003(6):1016-1020.
[6]王超.基于未确知测度理论的冲击地压危险性综合评价模型及应用研究[D].徐州:中国矿业大学安全工程学院,2011.
[7]朱顺泉,徐国祥.上市公司财务状况的突变级数评价模型及其实证研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2003,18(3):11-14.ZHU Shun-quan,XU Guo-xiang.Catastrophe progres-sion evaluation model on financial situation of listedcompany and its empirical study[J].Statistics and In-formation Forum,2003,18(3):11-14.
[8]高科,李夕兵,宫凤强.基于突变级数法的边坡地震稳定性综合评价[J].地下空间与工程学报,2009,5(2):406-412.GAO Ke,LI Xi-bing,GONG Feng-qiang.Integrationevaluation on seismic stability of slopes based on catas-trophe progression method[J].Chinese Journal of Un-derground Space and Engineering,2009,5(2):406-412.
[9]梁桂兰,徐卫亚,何育智,等.突变级数法在边坡稳定综合评判中的应用[J].岩土力学,2008,29(7):1895-1899.LIANG Gui-lan,XU Wei-ya,HE Yu-zhi,et al.Application of catastrophe progression method to com-prehensive evaluation of slope stability[J].Rock and SoilMechanics,2008,29(7):1895-1899.
[10]闫莎莎,张文泉.基于突变级数法的矿区地表开采沉陷损害等级预测研究[J].山东科技大学学报,2010,29(4):40-45.YAN Sha-sha,ZHANG Wen-quan.The prediction ondamage grade of surface subsidence induced by miningbased on catastrophe progression method[J].Journal ofShandong University of Science and Technology,2010,29(4):40-45.
[11]黄奕龙.突变级数法在水资源持续利用评价中的应用[J].干旱环境监测,2001,15(3):167-170.HUANG Yi-long.Application of catastrophe progressionmethod to sustainable usage of water resource[J].AridEnvironment Monitoring,2001,15(3):167-170.
[12]李思平,孙连英.基于非线性理论的边坡稳定性评价模型[J].水文地质工程地质,2002(2):11-14.LI Si-ping,SUN Lian-ying.Evaluation model of slopestability based on nonlinear theory[J].Hydrogeology andEngineering Geology,2002(2):11-14.
[13]陈云峰,孙殿义,陆根法.突变级数法在生态适宜度评价中的应用:以镇江新区为例[J].生态学报,2006,26(8):2587-2593.CHEN Yun-feng,SUN Dian-yi,LU Gen-fa.Applicationof catastrophe progression method in ecological suitabil-ity assessment:a case study on Zhenjiang new area[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2006,26(8):2587-2593.
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