地球表层变热异常与化石燃料开采相关性研究
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摘要
通过分析三大化石燃料的分布特点及其对地球地壳运动及地球表层温度稳定演化的影响,发现煤炭、石油、天然气因其丰富的储量、可观的地壳份量、广泛分布于陆地陆架地壳,以及与其周围柔性岩层构造和水资源共同对地壳自然微胀缩波动之"潮汐"运动和地球天体平衡稳定运转的调节润滑作用,成为维持地球表层温度稳定演化的重要作用因素。进一步通过分析20世纪初以来地球变热温度历史变化、1890年以来三大化石燃料开采量及累积量历史变化,进行了地球变热温度变化与化石燃料开采量及累积量增加变化的相关性研究,并探讨了化石燃料开采引起地球表层变热机制,得出结论:地球变热温度100多年历史变化与三大化石燃料的开采及历史积累有较强的正相关性。人类长期开采三大化石燃料是引起地球表层变热异常的重要因素。
The first technique is referred to as analyzing the distribution features of three-large fossil fuels of coal,oil and gas and impact of ones on earth crustal movements and stable evolution of epidermic temperatures.It was concluded that coal,oil and gas could be main effect factors in maintaining stable evolution of epidermic temperatures for their rich reserves,con siderable proportions of crust weight,wide distribution in continental and shelf crust,as well as effects of adjusting and lubricating commonly on "tidal"motion that is natural micro-fluctuation of crust expansion-contraction and the earth celestial balance and stable operation with flexible earth structures,flexible rock stratification and water resources around ones.The techniques further are referred to as analyzing historic the temperature-changes of the epidermis getting thermal since the be ginning of the 20-th century,the changes of the historic exploitation quantities and its accumulated quantities of three-large fossil fuels since 1890,and on these bases,studying correlation between the temperature-changes of the epidermis getting ther mal and the increment-changes of exploitation quantities and its accumulated quantities of three-large fossil fuels,further dis cussioning the mechanism of the earth's epidermis getting thermal caused by fossil fuels being exploited.The results indicated that there existed significant positive correlation between historical temperature-changes of the epidermis getting thermal in the last more than 100-years decades and exploitation quantities and its accumulated quantities of three-large fossil fuels.In conclusion,the three-large fossil fuels could be main affecting factors of the earth's epidermis getting thermal anomaly.
The first technique is referred to as analyzing the distribution features of three-large fossil fuels of coal,oil and gas and impact of ones on earth crustal movements and stable evolution of epidermic temperatures.It was concluded that coal,oil and gas could be main effect factors in maintaining stable evolution of epidermic temperatures for their rich reserves,con siderable proportions of crust weight,wide distribution in continental and shelf crust,as well as effects of adjusting and lubricating commonly on "tidal"motion that is natural micro-fluctuation of crust expansion-contraction and the earth celestial balance and stable operation with flexible earth structures,flexible rock stratification and water resources around ones.The techniques further are referred to as analyzing historic the temperature-changes of the epidermis getting thermal since the be ginning of the 20-th century,the changes of the historic exploitation quantities and its accumulated quantities of three-large fossil fuels since 1890,and on these bases,studying correlation between the temperature-changes of the epidermis getting ther mal and the increment-changes of exploitation quantities and its accumulated quantities of three-large fossil fuels,further dis cussioning the mechanism of the earth's epidermis getting thermal caused by fossil fuels being exploited.The results indicated that there existed significant positive correlation between historical temperature-changes of the epidermis getting thermal in the last more than 100-years decades and exploitation quantities and its accumulated quantities of three-large fossil fuels.In conclusion,the three-large fossil fuels could be main affecting factors of the earth's epidermis getting thermal anomaly.
引文
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[5]Hans-Holger Rogner.An Assessment of World Hydrocar-bon Resources[R].IISA,WP-96-56,1996:43.
[6]陈会年,张卫东,谢麟元,等.世界非常规天然气的储量及开采现状[J].断块油气田,2010,17(4):15-20.Chen Hui-nian,Zhang Wei-dong,Xie Lin-yuan,et al.Thereserves and mining status of unconventional natural gas[J].Fault-Block Oil&Gas Field,2010,17(4):15-20.(in Chi-nese)
[7]István Lakatos,Julianna Lakatos Szabó.Role of Conventionaland Unconventional Hydrocarbons in the 21st Century:Comparison of Resources,Reserves,Recovery Factors andTechnologies[R].SPE121775,2009:53-54.
[8]裴伟.地壳应力状态[M].北京:地震出版社,1978:14.Pei Wei.Crustal Stress'State[M].Beijing:Seismological Press,1978:14.(in Chinese)
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[10]王金甲,王震,刘春义.地球是一个即能膨胀又能收缩的统一体[A].中国自然辩证法研究会环境哲学专业委员会.第二届中国科学哲学及交叉学科研究生论坛论文集硕士卷[C].北京:中国自然辩证法研究会,2008:41-45.Wang Jin-jia,Wang Zhen,Liu Chunyi.Earth is a Contin-uum Which Could Be Inflated and Could Shrink[A].Envi-ronmental Philosophy Professional Committee Of CSDN/PNST.The Proceedings of the Second Session of GraduateForum for Chinese Scientific Philosophy and Interdisci-plinary:Master volume[C].Beijing:The Chinese Society forDialectics of Nature/Philosophy of Nature,Science andTechnology,2008:41-45.(in Chinese)
[11]杨学祥,陈殿友,李守春.干旱、地震与月球赤纬角变化[J].西北地震学报,1999,21(1):44-47.Yang Xue-xiang,Chen Dian-you,Li Shou-chun.Droughts,earthquakes and the changes of lunar declination angle[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal,1999,21(1):32-33.(inChinese)
[12]晓财.气候变暖的“奇谈怪论”[J].环境,2001(6):12.Xiao Cai.Warming“strange tales”[J].Environment,2001(6):12.(in Chinese)
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