基于层次分析法的泄洪区选址及模拟分析研究
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摘要
针对具有突发性的溃决洪水,为保护下游重要城镇或设施,对洪水进行分流泄洪,在适当地方建立蓄洪区,可有效减少损失。利用层次分析法,将影响泄洪区选址的各个要素进行分权比较,并结合ArcGIS空间分析能力进行泄洪区的选址研究,然后利用基于元胞自动机框架构建的溃决洪水演进模型进行模拟分析,从而得到泄洪区的淹没效果,通过分析比较,判断泄洪区方案的可行性,为可能的救灾处理提供一定的辅助应急方案。
Aiming at eruptive floods and protection of the downstream important cities /towns and facilities,to discharge the flood and construct flood storage zone at appropriate locations is effective means to reduce flood loss.Based on the spatial analysis function in ArcGIS software,this paper first used the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) method to compare impact factors,which may affect the site selection of flood-discharge zones,and then used the numerical model of dam-break flood evolution based on cellular automata framework to implement simulation analysis of different scenarios.Through the analysis and comparison of different flood-discharge schemes,the feasibility of the scheme zone can thus be determined,which may provide certain support to emergency relief treatment plan.
Aiming at eruptive floods and protection of the downstream important cities /towns and facilities,to discharge the flood and construct flood storage zone at appropriate locations is effective means to reduce flood loss.Based on the spatial analysis function in ArcGIS software,this paper first used the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) method to compare impact factors,which may affect the site selection of flood-discharge zones,and then used the numerical model of dam-break flood evolution based on cellular automata framework to implement simulation analysis of different scenarios.Through the analysis and comparison of different flood-discharge schemes,the feasibility of the scheme zone can thus be determined,which may provide certain support to emergency relief treatment plan.
引文
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[2]张霖琳,张珺琳,刘道会,等.蒙洼泄洪区补偿机制存在的问题与对策分析[J].产业与科技论坛,2010,9(11):132-134.ZHANG Linlin,ZHANG Junlin,LIU Tao,et al.Herein leakage problems and countermeasures of floodplain compensation mechanisms[J].Industrial&Science Tribune,2010,9(11):132-134.(in Chinese)
[3]解家毕,丁留谦,张启义.冰碛湖溃决灾害评估及应急泄流技术[J].中国水利,2012(4):10-13.JIE Jiabi,DING Liuqian,ZHANG Qiyi.Moraine-dammed lake outburst hazard assessment and emergency discharge technology[J].China Water Resources,2012(4):10-13.(in Chinese)
[4]操阳.基于模糊层次分析法的连锁门店选址决策分析[J].商场现代化,2009(32):48-49.CAO Yang.Chain store location decision analysis based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy chain[J].Market Modernization,2009(32):48-49.(in Chinese)
[5]林娜,李志.基于GIS和遗传算法的物流配送中心选址研究[J].遥感信息,2010(5):110-114.LIN Na,LI Zhi.Study on location selection of logistics distribution center based on GIS and genetic algorithm[J].Remote Sensing Information,2010(5):110-114.(in Chinese)
[6]祝红英,顾华奇,桂新,等.基于ArcGIS的洪水淹没分析模拟及可视化[J].测绘通报,2009(5):66-67.ZHU Hongying,GU Huaqi,GUI Xin,et al.Analysis simulation and visualization of flood inundation based on ArcGIS[J].Bulletin of Surveying And Mapping,2009(5):66-67.(in Chinese)
[7]李小根,王宗敏.实时交互的多分辨率洪水演进模型[J].灌溉排水学报,2011,30(4):140-142.LI Xiaogen,WANG Zongmin.Real-time interactive multi-resolution flood routing model[J].Journal of Irrigation and Drainage,2011,30(4):140-142.(in Chinese)
[8]冶运涛,李丹勋,王兴奎,等.汶川地震灾区堰塞湖溃决洪水淹没过程三维可视化[J].水力发电学报,2011,30(1):62-69.YE Yunta,LI Danxun,WANG Xingkui,et al.3D visualization of flood propagation caused by barrier lake breaching in the Wenchuan earthquake stricken areas[J].Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering,2011,30(1):62-69.(in Chinese)
[9]郭金玉,张忠彬,孙庆云.层次分析法的研究与应用[J].中国安全科学学报,2008,18(5):148-153.GUO Jinyu,ZHANG Zhongbin,SUN Qingyun.Research and application of AHP[J].Journal of China Safety Science,2008.5,18(5):148-153.(in Chinese)
[10]金菊良,魏一鸣,付强,等.改进的层次分析法及其在自然灾害风险识别中的应用[J].自然灾害学报,2002,11(2):20-24.JIN Juliang,WEI Yiming,FU Qiang,et al.An improved analytic hierarchy process and its application to risk identification of natural disaster[J].Journal Of Natural Disaster,2002,11(2):20-24.(in Chinese)
[11]柯新利,边馥苓.地理元胞自动机研究综述[J].咸宁学院学报,2009,29(3):103-106.KE Xinli,BIAN Fulin.Review on researches of geographical cellular automata[J].Journal of Xianning University,2009,29(3):103-106.(in Chinese)
[12]杨吉新,王乘,沈成武.元胞单元法[J].固体力学学报,2004,25(2):203-207.YANG Jixin,WANG Cheng,SHEN Chengwu.Cellular element method[J].Journal of Applied Mechanics,2004,25(2):203-207.(in Chinese)
[13]柳春光,王碧君,潘建伟.基于元胞自动机的城市地震次生火灾蔓延模型[J].自然灾害学报,2010,19(1):152-157.LIU Chunguang,WANG Bijun,PAN Jianwei.Urban post-earthquake fire spread model based on cellular automata[J].Journal of Natural Disaster,2010,19(1):152-157.(in Chinese)
[14]李宗花,叶正伟.基于元胞自动机的洪泽湖洪水蔓延模型研究[J].计算机应用,2007,27(3):718-720.LI Zonghua,YE Zhengwei.Study on flood spreading model of Hongze lake based on cellular automata[J].Computer Applications,2007,27(3):718-720.(in Chinese)
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