基于集对分析模型的巢湖流域水资源系统脆弱性评价
详细信息 本馆镜像全文    |  推荐本文 | | 获取馆网全文
摘要
鉴于水资源系统脆弱性是一个复杂的系统工程,从水资源脆弱性、生态环境脆弱性和承载能力脆弱性三方面构建了流域水资源系统脆弱性指标体系,利用同异反层次法联系数建立了流域水资源系统脆弱性评价的集对分析模型,并对巢湖流域水资源系统脆弱性进行了综合评价。结果表明,巢湖流域水资源系统脆弱性为中度脆弱,各区域承载能力脆弱性均较高,但水资源脆弱性和生态环境脆弱性也不容忽视,应加强流域水资源综合治理,提高综合治理成效。
The water resources system vulnerability is a complex system engineering.Indicators system of basin water resources system vulnerability from three aspects of the water resources,ecological environment and carrying capacity is constructed by means of formation process analysis of basin water resources system vulnerability.Using connection number of identity-discrepancy-contrary analysis method,set pair analysis model has been established for basin water resources system vulnerability evaluation.And then water resources system vulnerability of Chaohu basin is comprehensively evaluated.The results show that water resources system vulnerability of Chaohu basin belongs to the middle level,the vulnerability of carrying capacity is strong,but the vulnerability of water resources and ecological environment both are indispensable.So,it should strengthen the comprehensive management for basin water environment and increase the effect of comprehensive treatment.
引文
[1]那伟.辽源市人地系统脆弱性与可持续发展研究[D].长春:东北师范大学,2008.
    [2]刘绿柳.水资源脆弱性及其定量评价[J].水土保持通报,2002,22(2):41-44.
    [3]PAN Z W,WU K Y,JIN J L,et al.AssessmentModel of Set Pair Analysis for Flood Loss Based onTriangular Fuzzy Intervals underα-cut[A].Pro-ceeding of the 2009 Chinese Control and DecisionConference[C].Guilin,2009:3 562-3 567.
    [4]吴开亚,金菊良,潘争伟.基于三角模糊数截集的联系数模型在城市涝灾影响等级评价中的应用[J].水利学报,2010,41(6):711-719.
    [5]邹乐乐,金菊良,周玉良.基于遗传模糊层次分析法的水库诱发地震综合风险评价指标体系筛选模型[J].地震地质,2010,32(4):628-637.
    [6]胡蓓琳.机电产品制造业环境经济性分析[D].合肥:合肥工业大学,2005.

版权所有:© 2023 中国地质图书馆 中国地质调查局地学文献中心