地震和潮汐对气候波动变化的影响
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摘要
2004年12月26日印尼地震海啸后,全球低温冻害和暴雪灾害频繁发生."潮汐调温说"和"深海巨震降温说"是一种合理的解释.根据"潮汐调温说"和"深海巨震降温说"理论,2005年以后全球气温将因为地震海啸和强潮汐南北震荡而降低.2009年11月至2010年1月低温暴雪袭击北半球,西方科学家也承认2000～2010年气候的自然变化减缓全球气候变暖效应这一客观事实.潮汐震荡可以解释全球气温的准60 a变化,海洋及其边缘的强震能够将深海冷水翻上表面,使全球气候变冷.潮汐和太阳黑子活动不仅有相同的变化周期,而且都和气温变化有很好的对应关系.研究表明,在太平洋十年涛动冷位相时期,强震与低温冻害频繁发生.
Global low-temperature damages and heavy snow have occurred frequently after Sumatra earthquake tsunami on December 26,2004.The "hypothesis of the oceanic earthquakes adjusting climate" proposed by Guo Zeng-jian and the "hypothesis of the tides adjusting climate" proposed by Charles D.Keeling are a reasonable explanation.According to these theories,the globe temperature after 2005 will be lower.The low temperature and heavy snow occur in northern hemisphere from Nov 2009 to Jan 2010.Now western scientists also acknowledge the objective fact that the natural climate changes from 2000 to 2010 offset global warming effect. Lunar oscillations explain an intriguing 60-year cycle in the world s temperature.The great earthquake in ocean and its margin can bring the cool water in the deep ocean up to the ocean surface and make the global climate cold.Sunspot and tide are closely related together,not only have same cycles,but also have one to one correspondence.In this paper,the relation of the strongest earthquake,the strongest tide,low temperature and Pacific Decade Oscillation are discussed.
Global low-temperature damages and heavy snow have occurred frequently after Sumatra earthquake tsunami on December 26,2004.The "hypothesis of the oceanic earthquakes adjusting climate" proposed by Guo Zeng-jian and the "hypothesis of the tides adjusting climate" proposed by Charles D.Keeling are a reasonable explanation.According to these theories,the globe temperature after 2005 will be lower.The low temperature and heavy snow occur in northern hemisphere from Nov 2009 to Jan 2010.Now western scientists also acknowledge the objective fact that the natural climate changes from 2000 to 2010 offset global warming effect. Lunar oscillations explain an intriguing 60-year cycle in the world s temperature.The great earthquake in ocean and its margin can bring the cool water in the deep ocean up to the ocean surface and make the global climate cold.Sunspot and tide are closely related together,not only have same cycles,but also have one to one correspondence.In this paper,the relation of the strongest earthquake,the strongest tide,low temperature and Pacific Decade Oscillation are discussed.
引文
1)丁一汇.透视“大雪灾”.日期:2008-02-24;来源:文汇报.http://wenhui.news365.com.cn/kjwz/200802/t20080224_1768467.htm
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[2]Easterbrook D J.The next 25 years:global warming or global cooling? Geologic and oceanographic evidence for cyclical climatic oscillations.Geological Society of America, Abstracts with Program,2001,33:253
[3]Easterbrook D J.Correlation of climatic and solar variations over the past 500 years and predicting global climate changes from recurring climate cycles.International Geological Congress,Oslo,Norway,2008
[4]Easterbrook D J.Glacier fluctuations,global climate change, and ocean temperature changes.International Conference on Climate Change NY,2009
[5]杨修群,朱益民,谢倩等.太平洋年代际震荡的研究进展.大气科学,2004,28(6):979-992 Yang X Q,Zhu Y M,Xie J,et al.Advances in studies of Pacific decadal oscillation.Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences(in Chinese),2004,28(6):979-992
[6]吕俊梅,琚建华,张庆云等.太平洋年代际振荡冷、暖背景下ENSO循环的特征.气候与环境研究,2005,10(2):238- 249 L(u|¨) J M,Ju J H,Zhang Q Y,et al.The characteristics of ENSO cycle in different phases of Pacific decadal oscillation. Climatic and Environmental Research(in Chinese),2005, 10(2):238-249
[7]Zhang Y,Wallace J M,Battisti D S.ENSO-like interdecadal variability:1900-1993.J.Climate,1997,10:1004-1020
[8]Mantua N J,Hare S R,Zhang Y,et al.A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production.Bull.Amer.Meteor.Soc.,1997,78:1069- 1079
[9]杨学祥,杨冬红,安刚等.连续18年“暖冬”终结的原因.吉林大学学报(地球科学版),2005,35(增刊):137-140 Yang X X,Yang D H,An G,et al.Why the“Warm Winter”for 18 years is over.Journal of Jilin University (Earth Science Edition)(in Chinese),2005,35(Suppl.): 137-140
[10]郭增建.海洋中和海洋边缘的巨震是调节气候的恒温器之一.西北地震学报,2002,24(3):287 Guo Z J.The great earthquake in ocean and its margin is one of thermostats for adjusting climate.Northwestern Seismological Journal(in Chinese),2002,24(3):287
[11]杨学祥,韩延本,陈震等.强潮汐激发地震火山活动的新证据.地球物理学报,2004,47(4):616-621 Yang X X,Han Y B,Chen Z,et al.New evidence of earthquakes and volcano triggering by strong tides.Chinese J.Geophys.(in Chinese),2004,47(4):616-621
[12]杨冬红,杨学祥,刘财.2004年12月26日印尼地震海啸与全球低温.地球物理学进展,2006,21(3):1023-1027 Yang D H,Yang X X,Liu C.Global low temperature, earthquake and tsunami(Dec.26,2004 ) in Indonesia. Progress in Geophysics(in Chinese),2006,21(3):1023 - 1027
[13]杨学祥,陈殿友.地球差异旋转动力学.长春:吉林大学出版社,1998.2,99-104,196-198 Yang X X,Chen D Y.Geodynamics of the Earth's Differential Rotation and Revolution(in Chinese).Changchun:Jilin University Press,1998.2,99-104,196-198
[14]张家诚.气候变迁及其原因.北京:科学出版社,1976 Zhang J C.Climatic History and Reason(in Chinese). Beijing:Science Press,1976.
[15]Coffin M F,Eldholm O.Large igneous provinces.Scientific American,1993,269(4):26-33
[16]马宗晋,杜品仁.现今地壳运动问题.北京:地质出版社, 1995.10,99-102 Ma Z J,Du P R.The Problems on Recent Crustal Movement (in Chinese).Beijing:Geological Publishing House,1995. 10,99-102
[17]Keeling C D,Whorf T P.The 1800-year oceanic tidal cycle: A possible cause of rapid climate change.PNAS,2000,97 (8):3814-3819
[18]郭增建,郭安宁,周可兴.地球物理灾害链.西安:西安地图出版社,2007.111-114,146-158 Guo Z J,Guo A N,Zhou K X.Geophysical Disaster Chain (in Chinese).Xi'an:Xi'an Map Press,2007.111-114,146-158
[19]蓝永超,丁永建,康尔泗等.黄河上游径流长期变化及趋势预测模型.冰川冻土,2003,25(3):321-326 LanYC,DingY J,Kang E S,et al.Change trends of the ??annual runoff in the upper Yellow River and time series Markov-chain forecast model.Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology(in Chinese),2003,25(3):321-326
[20]LiG Q.27.3-day and 13.6-day atmospheric tide and lunar forcing on atmospheric circulation.Adv.Atmos.Sci.,2005, 22:359-374
[21]E.布赖恩特.气候过程和气候变化.北京:科学出版社, 2004.11 Bryant E.Climate Process and Change(in Chinese).Beijing: Science Press,2004.11
[22]杨冬红,杨学祥.澳大利亚夏季大雪与南极海冰三个气候开关.地球物理学进展,2007,22(5):1680-1685 Yang D H,Yang X X.Australia snow in summer and three ice regulators for El Nino events.Progress in Geophysics(in Chinese),2007,22(5):1680-1685
[23]Usoskin I G,Sami K S,Gennady A K.Grand minima and maxima of solar activity:new observational constraints. Astron.Astrophys.,2007,471:301-309
[24]Lamb H H.气候的变迁和展望.北京:气象出版社,1987. 258 Lamb H H.Climatic History and the Future(in Chinese). Beijing:Meteorological Press,1987.258
[25]张元东,李维宝.太阳黑子.北京:中国华侨出版社,1989. 122-159 Zhang Y D,Li W B.Sunspot(in Chinese).Beijing:Chinese National Residing Abroad Press,1989.122-159
[26]徐道一,杨正宗,张勤文等.天文地质学概论.北京:地质出版社,1983.94-117,119,155 Xu D Y,Yang Z Z,Zhang Q W,et al.An Introduction to Astrogeology(in Chinese).Beijing:Geological Publishing House,1983.94-117,119,155
[27]杨冬红,杨学祥.全球变暖减速与郭增建的“海震调温假说”.地球物理学进展,2008,23(6):1813-1818 Yang D H,Yang X X.The hypothesis of the oceanic earthquakes adjusting climate slowdown of global warming. Progress in Geophysics(in Chinese),2008,23(6):1813 - 1818
[28]杨冬红,杨学祥.“拉马德雷”冷位相时期的全球强震和灾害.西北地震学报,2006,28(1):95-96 Yang D H,Yang X X.Earthquakes and disasters in Pacific Decade Oscillation.Northwestern Seismological Journal(in Chinese),2006,28(1):95-96
[29]杨学祥.对全球海面变化均衡模式的改进.地质科学,1992, 27(4):404-408 Yang X X.Modification of isostatic model of global sea level changes.Scientia Geologica Sinica(in Chinese),1992,27 (4):404-408
[30]孙林海,赵振国.我国暖冬气候及其成因分析.气象,2004, 30(12):57-60 Sun L H,Zhao Z G.Analysis of warm winter in China. Meteorological Monthly(in Chinese),2004,30(12):57-60
[1]Swanson K L,Tsonis A A.Has the climate recently shifted? Geophys.Res.Lett.,2009,36:6-11
[2]Easterbrook D J.The next 25 years:global warming or global cooling? Geologic and oceanographic evidence for cyclical climatic oscillations.Geological Society of America, Abstracts with Program,2001,33:253
[3]Easterbrook D J.Correlation of climatic and solar variations over the past 500 years and predicting global climate changes from recurring climate cycles.International Geological Congress,Oslo,Norway,2008
[4]Easterbrook D J.Glacier fluctuations,global climate change, and ocean temperature changes.International Conference on Climate Change NY,2009
[5]杨修群,朱益民,谢倩等.太平洋年代际震荡的研究进展.大气科学,2004,28(6):979-992 Yang X Q,Zhu Y M,Xie J,et al.Advances in studies of Pacific decadal oscillation.Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences(in Chinese),2004,28(6):979-992
[6]吕俊梅,琚建华,张庆云等.太平洋年代际振荡冷、暖背景下ENSO循环的特征.气候与环境研究,2005,10(2):238- 249 L(u|¨) J M,Ju J H,Zhang Q Y,et al.The characteristics of ENSO cycle in different phases of Pacific decadal oscillation. Climatic and Environmental Research(in Chinese),2005, 10(2):238-249
[7]Zhang Y,Wallace J M,Battisti D S.ENSO-like interdecadal variability:1900-1993.J.Climate,1997,10:1004-1020
[8]Mantua N J,Hare S R,Zhang Y,et al.A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production.Bull.Amer.Meteor.Soc.,1997,78:1069- 1079
[9]杨学祥,杨冬红,安刚等.连续18年“暖冬”终结的原因.吉林大学学报(地球科学版),2005,35(增刊):137-140 Yang X X,Yang D H,An G,et al.Why the“Warm Winter”for 18 years is over.Journal of Jilin University (Earth Science Edition)(in Chinese),2005,35(Suppl.): 137-140
[10]郭增建.海洋中和海洋边缘的巨震是调节气候的恒温器之一.西北地震学报,2002,24(3):287 Guo Z J.The great earthquake in ocean and its margin is one of thermostats for adjusting climate.Northwestern Seismological Journal(in Chinese),2002,24(3):287
[11]杨学祥,韩延本,陈震等.强潮汐激发地震火山活动的新证据.地球物理学报,2004,47(4):616-621 Yang X X,Han Y B,Chen Z,et al.New evidence of earthquakes and volcano triggering by strong tides.Chinese J.Geophys.(in Chinese),2004,47(4):616-621
[12]杨冬红,杨学祥,刘财.2004年12月26日印尼地震海啸与全球低温.地球物理学进展,2006,21(3):1023-1027 Yang D H,Yang X X,Liu C.Global low temperature, earthquake and tsunami(Dec.26,2004 ) in Indonesia. Progress in Geophysics(in Chinese),2006,21(3):1023 - 1027
[13]杨学祥,陈殿友.地球差异旋转动力学.长春:吉林大学出版社,1998.2,99-104,196-198 Yang X X,Chen D Y.Geodynamics of the Earth's Differential Rotation and Revolution(in Chinese).Changchun:Jilin University Press,1998.2,99-104,196-198
[14]张家诚.气候变迁及其原因.北京:科学出版社,1976 Zhang J C.Climatic History and Reason(in Chinese). Beijing:Science Press,1976.
[15]Coffin M F,Eldholm O.Large igneous provinces.Scientific American,1993,269(4):26-33
[16]马宗晋,杜品仁.现今地壳运动问题.北京:地质出版社, 1995.10,99-102 Ma Z J,Du P R.The Problems on Recent Crustal Movement (in Chinese).Beijing:Geological Publishing House,1995. 10,99-102
[17]Keeling C D,Whorf T P.The 1800-year oceanic tidal cycle: A possible cause of rapid climate change.PNAS,2000,97 (8):3814-3819
[18]郭增建,郭安宁,周可兴.地球物理灾害链.西安:西安地图出版社,2007.111-114,146-158 Guo Z J,Guo A N,Zhou K X.Geophysical Disaster Chain (in Chinese).Xi'an:Xi'an Map Press,2007.111-114,146-158
[19]蓝永超,丁永建,康尔泗等.黄河上游径流长期变化及趋势预测模型.冰川冻土,2003,25(3):321-326 LanYC,DingY J,Kang E S,et al.Change trends of the ??annual runoff in the upper Yellow River and time series Markov-chain forecast model.Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology(in Chinese),2003,25(3):321-326
[20]LiG Q.27.3-day and 13.6-day atmospheric tide and lunar forcing on atmospheric circulation.Adv.Atmos.Sci.,2005, 22:359-374
[21]E.布赖恩特.气候过程和气候变化.北京:科学出版社, 2004.11 Bryant E.Climate Process and Change(in Chinese).Beijing: Science Press,2004.11
[22]杨冬红,杨学祥.澳大利亚夏季大雪与南极海冰三个气候开关.地球物理学进展,2007,22(5):1680-1685 Yang D H,Yang X X.Australia snow in summer and three ice regulators for El Nino events.Progress in Geophysics(in Chinese),2007,22(5):1680-1685
[23]Usoskin I G,Sami K S,Gennady A K.Grand minima and maxima of solar activity:new observational constraints. Astron.Astrophys.,2007,471:301-309
[24]Lamb H H.气候的变迁和展望.北京:气象出版社,1987. 258 Lamb H H.Climatic History and the Future(in Chinese). Beijing:Meteorological Press,1987.258
[25]张元东,李维宝.太阳黑子.北京:中国华侨出版社,1989. 122-159 Zhang Y D,Li W B.Sunspot(in Chinese).Beijing:Chinese National Residing Abroad Press,1989.122-159
[26]徐道一,杨正宗,张勤文等.天文地质学概论.北京:地质出版社,1983.94-117,119,155 Xu D Y,Yang Z Z,Zhang Q W,et al.An Introduction to Astrogeology(in Chinese).Beijing:Geological Publishing House,1983.94-117,119,155
[27]杨冬红,杨学祥.全球变暖减速与郭增建的“海震调温假说”.地球物理学进展,2008,23(6):1813-1818 Yang D H,Yang X X.The hypothesis of the oceanic earthquakes adjusting climate slowdown of global warming. Progress in Geophysics(in Chinese),2008,23(6):1813 - 1818
[28]杨冬红,杨学祥.“拉马德雷”冷位相时期的全球强震和灾害.西北地震学报,2006,28(1):95-96 Yang D H,Yang X X.Earthquakes and disasters in Pacific Decade Oscillation.Northwestern Seismological Journal(in Chinese),2006,28(1):95-96
[29]杨学祥.对全球海面变化均衡模式的改进.地质科学,1992, 27(4):404-408 Yang X X.Modification of isostatic model of global sea level changes.Scientia Geologica Sinica(in Chinese),1992,27 (4):404-408
[30]孙林海,赵振国.我国暖冬气候及其成因分析.气象,2004, 30(12):57-60 Sun L H,Zhao Z G.Analysis of warm winter in China. Meteorological Monthly(in Chinese),2004,30(12):57-60
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