层次分析方法在划分中长期地震危险区中的应用
|
摘要
文中介绍了层次分析方法的原理及方法,建立了中长期地震危险性预测的层次结构模型.通过构造判断矩阵并求解其特征向量,给出了各影响因素相对预测目标的重要性排序权值。在此基础上,对未来吉林省中长期地震危险区进行了划分。
The principle and methed of the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) are introduced.Then,the hierarchy model of mid-long term seismic hazard prediction is established.On the basis of constructing judgement matrix and solving its characteristic vector,the prediction target ranking weights for each of factors are given,and mid-long term seismic hazard zonation of Jilin province is obtained at last in future.
The principle and methed of the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) are introduced.Then,the hierarchy model of mid-long term seismic hazard prediction is established.On the basis of constructing judgement matrix and solving its characteristic vector,the prediction target ranking weights for each of factors are given,and mid-long term seismic hazard zonation of Jilin province is obtained at last in future.
引文
[1]许树柏.层次分析法原理[M].天津:天津大学出版社,1988.XUShubo.Analytic hierarchy process[M].Tianjin:Tianjin University Press,1988.
[2]张杰,姚大全,刘东旺,等.安徽及邻区中长期地震危险区的预报研究[J].地震地磁观测与研究,2006,27(3):29-39.ZHANG Jie,YAO Daquan,LIUDongwang,et al.Prediction study on mid-long-term seismic risk zone in Anhui Province[J].Seismological andGeomagnetic Observation and Research,2006,27(3):29-39.
[3]王华林,薛革,刘希强,等.山东及其沿海地区活动构造与地震危险区判定[J].地震学刊,1998,(1):37-44.WANG Hualin,XUE Ge,LIUXiqiang,et al.Discrimination for active structure and seismic hazard zone of Shandong and coast region[J].Journalof Seismology,1998,(1):37-44.
[4]谷继成,魏富胜.论地震活动性的定量化:地震活动度[J].中国地震,1987,3:12-22.GUJicheng,WEI Fusheng.The quantification of seismic activity:seismicity[J].Earthquake Research In China,1987,3(1):12-22.
[5]于培青,刘本玉,陈建涛,等.用能流密度法研究昆明地区的地震活动时空分布特征[J].云南大学学报,2008,30(5):498-502.YU Peiqing,LIUBenyu,CHENJiantao,et al.Using energy fluxdensity method to research spatial temporal distribution characters of seismic activi-ty in Kunming region[J].Journal of Yunnan University,2008,30(5):498-502.
[6]张彬,杨选辉.中国大陆地震视应力空间分布研究[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2007,27(5):6-30.ZHANG Bin,YANG Xuanhui.On distribution of apparent seismic stress in Chinese mainland[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,2007,27(5):6-30.
[7]王炜,吴耿峰,宋先月.神经网络在地震学方法综合预报中的应用[J].地震学报,2000,22(2):189-193.WANG Wei,WU Gengfeng,SONG Xianyue.The application of neural networks to comprehensive seismology prediction method[J].Acta Seis-mologica Sinica,2000,22(2):189-193.
[8]蔡红卫.甘肃省东南部未来地震危险区的模式识别[J].西北地震学报,1997,19(2):57-61.CAI Hongwei.Mode recognition of future seismic risk regions in southeast Gansu province[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal,1997,19(2):57-61.
[9]梁军,朱庆杰,苏幼坡,等。地质灾害影响下的唐山市土地利用适宜度评价[J].世界地震工程,2007,23(4):19-24.LIANG Jun,ZHUQingjie,SU Youpo,et al.Suitability evaluation of land utilization affected by geological disaster factors in Tangshan city[J].World Earthquake Engineering,2007,23(4):19-24.
[10]高杰,钟慧,冯启民,等.考虑抗震防灾要求的居住区规划方案评价方法[J].世界地震工程,2009,25(4):52-58.GAO Jie,ZHONG Hui,FENG Qimin,et al.Evaluation method for residential areas planning considering demands of seismic resistance and hazard-ous prevention[J].World Earthquake Engineering,2009,25(4):52-58.
[11]韩竹军,邬伦,于贵华,等.江淮地区布格重力异常与中强地震发生的构造条件分析[J].中国地震,2002,18(3):230-238.HAN Zhujun,WULun,YUGuihua,et al.The high gradients of bouguer gravity anomalies and seismotectonics of moderate earthquakes in Jianghuairegion in China[J].Earthquake Research In China,2002,18(3):230-238.
[2]张杰,姚大全,刘东旺,等.安徽及邻区中长期地震危险区的预报研究[J].地震地磁观测与研究,2006,27(3):29-39.ZHANG Jie,YAO Daquan,LIUDongwang,et al.Prediction study on mid-long-term seismic risk zone in Anhui Province[J].Seismological andGeomagnetic Observation and Research,2006,27(3):29-39.
[3]王华林,薛革,刘希强,等.山东及其沿海地区活动构造与地震危险区判定[J].地震学刊,1998,(1):37-44.WANG Hualin,XUE Ge,LIUXiqiang,et al.Discrimination for active structure and seismic hazard zone of Shandong and coast region[J].Journalof Seismology,1998,(1):37-44.
[4]谷继成,魏富胜.论地震活动性的定量化:地震活动度[J].中国地震,1987,3:12-22.GUJicheng,WEI Fusheng.The quantification of seismic activity:seismicity[J].Earthquake Research In China,1987,3(1):12-22.
[5]于培青,刘本玉,陈建涛,等.用能流密度法研究昆明地区的地震活动时空分布特征[J].云南大学学报,2008,30(5):498-502.YU Peiqing,LIUBenyu,CHENJiantao,et al.Using energy fluxdensity method to research spatial temporal distribution characters of seismic activi-ty in Kunming region[J].Journal of Yunnan University,2008,30(5):498-502.
[6]张彬,杨选辉.中国大陆地震视应力空间分布研究[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2007,27(5):6-30.ZHANG Bin,YANG Xuanhui.On distribution of apparent seismic stress in Chinese mainland[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,2007,27(5):6-30.
[7]王炜,吴耿峰,宋先月.神经网络在地震学方法综合预报中的应用[J].地震学报,2000,22(2):189-193.WANG Wei,WU Gengfeng,SONG Xianyue.The application of neural networks to comprehensive seismology prediction method[J].Acta Seis-mologica Sinica,2000,22(2):189-193.
[8]蔡红卫.甘肃省东南部未来地震危险区的模式识别[J].西北地震学报,1997,19(2):57-61.CAI Hongwei.Mode recognition of future seismic risk regions in southeast Gansu province[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal,1997,19(2):57-61.
[9]梁军,朱庆杰,苏幼坡,等。地质灾害影响下的唐山市土地利用适宜度评价[J].世界地震工程,2007,23(4):19-24.LIANG Jun,ZHUQingjie,SU Youpo,et al.Suitability evaluation of land utilization affected by geological disaster factors in Tangshan city[J].World Earthquake Engineering,2007,23(4):19-24.
[10]高杰,钟慧,冯启民,等.考虑抗震防灾要求的居住区规划方案评价方法[J].世界地震工程,2009,25(4):52-58.GAO Jie,ZHONG Hui,FENG Qimin,et al.Evaluation method for residential areas planning considering demands of seismic resistance and hazard-ous prevention[J].World Earthquake Engineering,2009,25(4):52-58.
[11]韩竹军,邬伦,于贵华,等.江淮地区布格重力异常与中强地震发生的构造条件分析[J].中国地震,2002,18(3):230-238.HAN Zhujun,WULun,YUGuihua,et al.The high gradients of bouguer gravity anomalies and seismotectonics of moderate earthquakes in Jianghuairegion in China[J].Earthquake Research In China,2002,18(3):230-238.
版权所有：© 2023 中国地质图书馆 中国地质调查局地学文献中心