汶川M_S8.0地震的短临地电波动(潮汐力谐振和共振波-HRT波)前兆
摘要
简要介绍了强震短临前兆的HRT波模型,和用HRT波模型分析强震前地电观测资料预测未来强震的时间、地点、震级三要素方法。用HRT波模型分析了2008年汶川MS8.0地震前四川红格地电台的记录资料,提取出了汶川MS8.0地震前短临前兆信息。
The HRT wave model of impending precursors to strong earthquakes are briefly introduced.The method to predict the time,origin and the magnitude of strong earthquakes by analyzing the observation data based on the HRT wave model are described.The geoelectric data observed at Hongge station in Sichuan province before Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake are analyzed by using HRT model.In such way,the impending precursor signals to the Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake are obtained.
The HRT wave model of impending precursors to strong earthquakes are briefly introduced.The method to predict the time,origin and the magnitude of strong earthquakes by analyzing the observation data based on the HRT wave model are described.The geoelectric data observed at Hongge station in Sichuan province before Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake are analyzed by using HRT model.In such way,the impending precursor signals to the Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake are obtained.
引文
[1]Qian F Y,Zhao Y L,Xu TC,et al.A model of earthquake-impending precursor of geoelectricity triggered bytidal forces.Phys Earth Planet Inter,1990,62:284-297
[2]赵璧如,赵健,张洪魁,等.PS-100型IP到端可控源高精度大地电测仪—CDMA技术首次在地电阻率测量中的应用.地球物理进展,2006,21(2):675-682
[3]Zhang HK,Zhao B R,Zhao Y L,et al.PS-100 anti-interference electrical observation system and its applica-tion to earthquake prediction study.Physics and Chemistry of the Earth,2006,31:172-181
[4]赵玉林,赵璧如,钱卫,等.印尼MW9.0级地震的短临地电波(声波:潮汐力谐振共振波,HRT波)波动前兆—HRT波法进行短临地震预测可能性的探讨.国际地震动态,2006(8):6-21
[5]赵玉林,钱复业.唐山7.8级强震前震中周围形变电阻率的下降异常.地球物理学报,1978,21(3):181-190
[6]钱复业,赵玉林,于谋明,等.地震前地电阻率异常变化.中国科学(B辑),1982(9):831-839
[7]Gu G X.On the strategy of earthquake prediction.In:Source Mechanism and Earthquake Prediction.Paris,1980:99-107
[8]赵玉林,钱复业.唐山地震前后形变电阻率的脉冲.地球物理学报,1979,22(1):25-31
[9]赵玉林,钱复业.唐山地震前后自然电场的周期变化.地震学报,1982,4(3):264-272
[10]Zhao Y L,Qian F Y.Geoelectric precursors to strong earthquakes in China.Tectonophysics,1994,233:99-113
[11]钱复业,赵玉林.地电阻率季节干扰变化分析.地震学报,1987,9(3):289-302
[12]Lu Jun Qian F Y,Zhao Y L.Sensitivity analysis of the Schlumberger monitoring array:application to changesof resistivity prior to the 1976 earthquake in Tangshan.China Tectonophysics,1999,307:397-405
[13]钱复业,赵玉林,赴成达.唐山地震前、后震中周围浅部电阻率与地下水位变化等因素的关系.地震学报,1981,3(2):135-142
[14]Qian F Y Zhao Y L,Lu J.Georesistivity Precursors to the Tangshan earthquake of 1976,Annali,di Goofisica,1997,XL(2):251-260
[15]钱复业,赵玉林,等.地电阻率各向异常参量计算法及地震前兆实例.地震学报,1996,18(4):480488
[16]赵玉林,钱复业,卢军.电测量在中国地震预报中的应用.地震地质,2001,23(2):277-284
[17]赵玉林,钱复业.原地电阻率变化的实验.地震学报,1983,5(2):217-225
[18]赵玉林,钱复业,许同春.岩土层受力时电阻率变化与应变的关系.地震学报,1990,12(1):87-93
[19]Zhao Y L,Qian F Y,Stopinskiw,W.In situ experiments and relationship between the electrical resistivitychanges and the strain.Acta Geophysica Polonica,1990,38(3):229-343
[20]Zhao Y L,Li Z N,Qian F Y.Synthetic criterion for judging the transition geoelectric precursors from medium-term stage to short/imminent stage.Journal of Earthquake Prediction Research,1996,5(4):594-601
[21]Zhao Y L,Zhao B R,Qian F Y.Electrical streaming potential precursors to catastrophic earthquakes in China.Anneli di Geofisica,1997,XL(2):241-250
[22]Qian F Y,Zhao Y L,Teisseyre R.Periodic anomalies of the telluric electric field before the Tangshan earth-quake and a model of electro-kinetic precursor triggered by tidal forces.Acta Geophysica Polonica,1990,38(3):245-256
[23]陈运泰,许力生,张勇,杜海林,冯万鹏,刘超,李春来,张红霞.2008年5月12日汶川特大地震震源特性分析报告.中国地震局地球物理研究所,2008,网址:www.cea-igp.ac.cn
[24]Morse P M,Ingard K U.Theoretical Acoustics.McGraw-Hill Book Company.NewYork,St.Lois,San Fran-cisco,Toronto,London,Sydney,1968
①钱复业、赵玉林.2003.关于“地电学方法监测川滇地区近期可能发生强震的应急措施方案”的建议.中国地震局地球物理研究所.北京。
①赵玉林、钱复业.2003.地电方法看我国未来1—3年存在发生特大地震的可能性及其加强应力场的分布.全国今后数年地震大形势会商会(报告).北京。
[2]赵璧如,赵健,张洪魁,等.PS-100型IP到端可控源高精度大地电测仪—CDMA技术首次在地电阻率测量中的应用.地球物理进展,2006,21(2):675-682
[3]Zhang HK,Zhao B R,Zhao Y L,et al.PS-100 anti-interference electrical observation system and its applica-tion to earthquake prediction study.Physics and Chemistry of the Earth,2006,31:172-181
[4]赵玉林,赵璧如,钱卫,等.印尼MW9.0级地震的短临地电波(声波:潮汐力谐振共振波,HRT波)波动前兆—HRT波法进行短临地震预测可能性的探讨.国际地震动态,2006(8):6-21
[5]赵玉林,钱复业.唐山7.8级强震前震中周围形变电阻率的下降异常.地球物理学报,1978,21(3):181-190
[6]钱复业,赵玉林,于谋明,等.地震前地电阻率异常变化.中国科学(B辑),1982(9):831-839
[7]Gu G X.On the strategy of earthquake prediction.In:Source Mechanism and Earthquake Prediction.Paris,1980:99-107
[8]赵玉林,钱复业.唐山地震前后形变电阻率的脉冲.地球物理学报,1979,22(1):25-31
[9]赵玉林,钱复业.唐山地震前后自然电场的周期变化.地震学报,1982,4(3):264-272
[10]Zhao Y L,Qian F Y.Geoelectric precursors to strong earthquakes in China.Tectonophysics,1994,233:99-113
[11]钱复业,赵玉林.地电阻率季节干扰变化分析.地震学报,1987,9(3):289-302
[12]Lu Jun Qian F Y,Zhao Y L.Sensitivity analysis of the Schlumberger monitoring array:application to changesof resistivity prior to the 1976 earthquake in Tangshan.China Tectonophysics,1999,307:397-405
[13]钱复业,赵玉林,赴成达.唐山地震前、后震中周围浅部电阻率与地下水位变化等因素的关系.地震学报,1981,3(2):135-142
[14]Qian F Y Zhao Y L,Lu J.Georesistivity Precursors to the Tangshan earthquake of 1976,Annali,di Goofisica,1997,XL(2):251-260
[15]钱复业,赵玉林,等.地电阻率各向异常参量计算法及地震前兆实例.地震学报,1996,18(4):480488
[16]赵玉林,钱复业,卢军.电测量在中国地震预报中的应用.地震地质,2001,23(2):277-284
[17]赵玉林,钱复业.原地电阻率变化的实验.地震学报,1983,5(2):217-225
[18]赵玉林,钱复业,许同春.岩土层受力时电阻率变化与应变的关系.地震学报,1990,12(1):87-93
[19]Zhao Y L,Qian F Y,Stopinskiw,W.In situ experiments and relationship between the electrical resistivitychanges and the strain.Acta Geophysica Polonica,1990,38(3):229-343
[20]Zhao Y L,Li Z N,Qian F Y.Synthetic criterion for judging the transition geoelectric precursors from medium-term stage to short/imminent stage.Journal of Earthquake Prediction Research,1996,5(4):594-601
[21]Zhao Y L,Zhao B R,Qian F Y.Electrical streaming potential precursors to catastrophic earthquakes in China.Anneli di Geofisica,1997,XL(2):241-250
[22]Qian F Y,Zhao Y L,Teisseyre R.Periodic anomalies of the telluric electric field before the Tangshan earth-quake and a model of electro-kinetic precursor triggered by tidal forces.Acta Geophysica Polonica,1990,38(3):245-256
[23]陈运泰,许力生,张勇,杜海林,冯万鹏,刘超,李春来,张红霞.2008年5月12日汶川特大地震震源特性分析报告.中国地震局地球物理研究所,2008,网址:www.cea-igp.ac.cn
[24]Morse P M,Ingard K U.Theoretical Acoustics.McGraw-Hill Book Company.NewYork,St.Lois,San Fran-cisco,Toronto,London,Sydney,1968
①钱复业、赵玉林.2003.关于“地电学方法监测川滇地区近期可能发生强震的应急措施方案”的建议.中国地震局地球物理研究所.北京。
①赵玉林、钱复业.2003.地电方法看我国未来1—3年存在发生特大地震的可能性及其加强应力场的分布.全国今后数年地震大形势会商会(报告).北京。
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