通海地磁台地磁特征线与邻近地区地震的对应关系研究
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摘要
应用地磁特征线法,计算通海台自1995年至2007年H、Z分量的地磁特征线的斜率K和特征线的相关系数C。通过对K与C的变化特征与邻区中强地震的对应关系研究,得到当通海台特征线参数K≤-0.0975和K≥-0.0106为异常,异常出现0~2月内将发生较强地震,其概率为93.8%;异常形态与云南地区的地震有很好的区域对应关系。震例分析表明,用特征线法提取的震磁异常对于地震的短临跟踪有很好的应用前景。
Using the method of geomagnetism feature line,the slope K of the geomagnetism features line of H、Z weight from 1995 to 2007 at Tonghai Station and the correlated coefficient C of features line are calculated. According to the study on the corresponding relations between the variations features of K and C and the moderate earthquakes in neighborhood,we can know that it is magnetic anomalies when the parameter K≤-0.0975 and K≥-0.0106. If the abnormal phenomenon appears and lasts from zero to two months,a stronger earthquake will take place. The probability is 93.8 percent. There is a good regional corresponding relationship between the abnormal formation and earthquake that took place in Yunnan area. Analyzing examples of earthquake shows that seismic-magnetic anomalies extracted with geomagnetic features line method has a good useful future in short-term earthquake monitor.
引文
丁鉴海.1988.地磁预报地震方法探索[R].见:地震监测与预报方法清理成果汇编,北京:地震出版社
    吴德珍.1989.地磁“特征线法”与地震预报三要素[J].四川地震,(1):39
    叶东华.1999.广东及邻区地震前地磁变化和异常判别指标[J].华南地震,(1)

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