关于意大利6级地震的预测和分析
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摘要
2012年4月23日卫星云图上显示意大利地区上空出现了云异常.其特征表现为云的边界清晰,呈直线分布,并且云系不受风力影响,稳定不动,在整个欧洲地区只有意大利地区的云系表现出此类异常.因此认为该地区的地质活动增强,于是作出意大利在1个月内要发生5.5～6.0级地震的预测.2012年5月20日意大利北部发生6.0级地震.证实该预测是准确的.研究还表明,2012年5月6日意大利出现了同样的异常云系,这些异常的时空特征与Mogi Doughnut假说吻合.
Cloud anomaly above Italy was found from satellite cloud image on April 23.The edge of the cloud was very clear,it was a straight line,and it stayed there and did not move with the winds.All the clouds in the whole Europe were normal,and only the clouds above Italy showed an anomalous pattern.So we considered that this cloud anomaly meant the active underground geological activity.According to this anomaly we predicted there would be a M5.5~6.0 earthquake in Italy,and this prediction was sent to some Italy and Japan scientists on April 23.On May 20 a M6.0 quake occurred in north Italy,and this proved our prediction.The look back analysis also showed that there exited similar clouds on May 6,and it was close to the epicenter,which showed that these anomalous cloud patterns were accordance with the Mogi Doughnut hypothesis.
Cloud anomaly above Italy was found from satellite cloud image on April 23.The edge of the cloud was very clear,it was a straight line,and it stayed there and did not move with the winds.All the clouds in the whole Europe were normal,and only the clouds above Italy showed an anomalous pattern.So we considered that this cloud anomaly meant the active underground geological activity.According to this anomaly we predicted there would be a M5.5~6.0 earthquake in Italy,and this prediction was sent to some Italy and Japan scientists on April 23.On May 20 a M6.0 quake occurred in north Italy,and this proved our prediction.The look back analysis also showed that there exited similar clouds on May 6,and it was close to the epicenter,which showed that these anomalous cloud patterns were accordance with the Mogi Doughnut hypothesis.
引文
[1]Guo Guangmeng,Wang Bin.Cloud anomaly before Iranearthquake[J].International Journal of Remote Sens-ing,2008,29(7):1921-1928.
[2]Peter M Shearer,Lin Guoqing.Evidence for Mogidoughnut behavior in seismicity preceding small earth-quakes in southern California[J].Journal of GeophysicalResearch,2009,114,B01318,doi:10.1029/2008JB005982.
[3]MOROZOVA L I.Dynamics of cloudy anomalies abovefracture regions during natural and anthropogenicallycaused seismic activities[J].Fizika Zemli,1997,9:94-96.
[4]Shou Zhonghao,Harrington Darrell.Bam EarthquakePrediction&Space Technology[J].Seminars of the U-nited Nations Programme on Space Applications.2005,16:39-63.
[5]吴立新,刘善军,陈云浩,马保东,李玲玲.汶川地震前卫星热红外异常与云异常现象[J].科技导报,2008,26(10):32-36.
[2]Peter M Shearer,Lin Guoqing.Evidence for Mogidoughnut behavior in seismicity preceding small earth-quakes in southern California[J].Journal of GeophysicalResearch,2009,114,B01318,doi:10.1029/2008JB005982.
[3]MOROZOVA L I.Dynamics of cloudy anomalies abovefracture regions during natural and anthropogenicallycaused seismic activities[J].Fizika Zemli,1997,9:94-96.
[4]Shou Zhonghao,Harrington Darrell.Bam EarthquakePrediction&Space Technology[J].Seminars of the U-nited Nations Programme on Space Applications.2005,16:39-63.
[5]吴立新,刘善军,陈云浩,马保东,李玲玲.汶川地震前卫星热红外异常与云异常现象[J].科技导报,2008,26(10):32-36.
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