可靠性分析在边坡灰色聚类问题中的应用
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摘要
选取了"过程降雨量"与"最大地震震级"作为可靠性分析的目标因素,将其可靠度引入到传统BP神经网络预测边坡灰色聚类问题的方法中,将5个典型边坡中的3个作为预测样本,对其余2个进行分析,得到了2个目标因素单独作用于边坡时边坡的可靠度以及在选取的9个因素共同作用下较精确的预测结果。
The process rainfall and the greatest magnitude were selected as the essential decisive factors of reliability analysis.The reliabilities of these two factors were introduced to the traditional BP neural network to forecast the grey cluster problems of slope.Two typical samples of the five typical slope,were analyzed while the other three were selected as prediction samples.By analysis,the reliability of slope when the two decisive factors acted on the slope separately and the accurate forecast results which are subjected to the nine selected factors can be provided as references for the slope engineering.
The process rainfall and the greatest magnitude were selected as the essential decisive factors of reliability analysis.The reliabilities of these two factors were introduced to the traditional BP neural network to forecast the grey cluster problems of slope.Two typical samples of the five typical slope,were analyzed while the other three were selected as prediction samples.By analysis,the reliability of slope when the two decisive factors acted on the slope separately and the accurate forecast results which are subjected to the nine selected factors can be provided as references for the slope engineering.
引文
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[2]肖盛燮.灾变链式理论及应用[M].北京:科学出版社,2006:1-3.
[3]谢全敏,夏元友.滑坡灾害评价及其治理优化决策新方法[M].武汉:武汉理工大学出版社,2008:55-60.
[4]夏元友,肖峰.斜坡稳定性评价的动态聚类分析方法[C]//第六届全国岩石力学与工程学术会议论文集.北京:中国科学技术出版社,2000:562-565.
[5]袁勇涛.AHP-FUZZY综合评价在边坡稳定性中的应用[J].工程技术与产业经济,2010,1(2):23-24.YUAN Yong-tao.The application of AHP-FUZZY comprehensive e-valuation on the slope stability[J].Engineering Technology and In-dustrial Economy,2010,1(2):23-24.
[6]夏元友,朱瑞赓.岩质边坡稳定性多人多层次模糊综合评价系统研究[J].工程地质学报,1999,7(1):46-53.XIA Yuan-you,ZHU Rui-geng.Research of multiplayer multilevelfuzzy comprehensive evaluation system about rocky slope stability[J].Journal of Engineering Geology,1999,7(1):46-53.
[7]史玉峰,宁津生.基于信息熵的滑坡体稳定性分析研究[J].煤炭学报,2005,30(增刊):51-54.SHI Yu-feng,NING Jin-sheng.Analysis research of landslide sta-bility based on the information entropy[J].Coal Journal,2005,30(Supp):51-54.
[8]徐玉秀,任立义,钟建军.基于专家系统与神经网络集成的故障诊断的应用研究[J].振动与冲击,2001,5(20):61-66.XU Yu-xiu,REN Li-yi,ZHONG Jian-jun.Application research offault diagnosis based on the expert system and neural network en-semble[J].Vibration and Shock,2001,5(20):61-66.
[9]张淑辉.基于地统计方法的滑坡因子敏感度分析[J].武警工程学院学报,2010,26(4):4-6.ZhANG Shu-hui.Sensitivity analysis of landslide factors based onthe statistical method[J].Journal of Armed Police Engineering Col-lege,2010,26(4):4-6.
[10]张永兴,文海家,欧敏.滑坡灾变智能预测理论及其应用[M].北京:科学出版社,2005:82-83.
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