西安地区活动断裂活动性的Fuzzy-Grey模式评价
|
摘要
对活动断裂的活动强度进行研究,不仅是预测地震的发生、减轻地质灾害的基础,也是城市工程设计的核心问题。本文基于断裂活动性评价所具有的模糊性和灰色性特点,将模糊数学与灰色系统有机结合,提出了断裂活动性评价的模糊综合评判模型,确定了梯形隶属函数,并采用"活动性标志的相对值大,权重大"的原则确定了各个指标的权重,最终获得了断裂活动性的评判结果。利用该模式对西安地区活动断裂的活动性进行了评价,结果表明:临潼—长安断裂活动性最强,其次是渭河断裂、咸阳断裂,余下—铁炉子断裂活动性最弱。
Estimating the activity of faults is not only the basis to predict earthquake and to reduce geological disasters,but also is the core issue of urban engineering design.Based on fuzzy and grey characteristics in assessment of fault activity,a fuzzy-grey model of assessment is proposed in the frame work of fuzzy mathematical theory associated with grey system.This paper establishes the fuzzy integrate assessment model and decides a trapezoidal membership function using the fuzzy mathematics.The power of each factor is decided with the principle that the relative value of activity symbol is larger,the power is greater.This model is applied to the assessment of fault activity in Xi′an area.The result shows that the activity of Lintong-Chang′an fault is the strongest and that of Yuxia-Tieluzi fault is the weakest.
Estimating the activity of faults is not only the basis to predict earthquake and to reduce geological disasters,but also is the core issue of urban engineering design.Based on fuzzy and grey characteristics in assessment of fault activity,a fuzzy-grey model of assessment is proposed in the frame work of fuzzy mathematical theory associated with grey system.This paper establishes the fuzzy integrate assessment model and decides a trapezoidal membership function using the fuzzy mathematics.The power of each factor is decided with the principle that the relative value of activity symbol is larger,the power is greater.This model is applied to the assessment of fault activity in Xi′an area.The result shows that the activity of Lintong-Chang′an fault is the strongest and that of Yuxia-Tieluzi fault is the weakest.
引文
[1]彭建兵,张骏,苏生瑞,等编著.渭河盆地活动断裂与地质灾害[M].西安:西北大学出版社,1992.Peng Jiangbing,Zhang Jun,Su Shengrui et a1.Active Faults andGeological Hazards in Weihe Basin.Xi an:Northwest UniversityPress,1992.
[2]陕西省地质矿产局.西安地区区域地壳稳定性与地质灾害评价和研究[R],1990.Geology and Mineral Resources of Shaanxi Province.Evaluationand Study of Regional Crustal Stability and Geological Hazards ofXi an Area,1990.
[3]李永善等编著.西安地裂与渭河盆地活断层研究[M].地震出版社,1992.Li Yongshan et a1.Research on Ground Fissures in Xi an Regionand Active Faults in Weihe Basin.Beijing:EarthquakePress,1992.
[4]张家明.西安地裂缝研究[M].西北大学出版社,1990.Zhang J iaming.Research on ground fissures in Xi an Region.Xi an:Northwest University Press,1990.
[5]彭建兵,范文,李喜安,等.汾渭盆地地裂缝成因研究中的若干关键问题[J].工程地质学报,2007,15(04):433~440.Peng Jianbing,Fan Wen,Li Xi an et a1.Some key questions in theformation of ground fissures in the fen-wei basin.Journal of Engi-neering Geology,2007,15(04):433~440.
[6]苏生瑞,李慧荣.发震断裂上覆土层破坏机制及破裂扩展规律的试验研究[J].地质灾害与环境保护,2002,13(01):48~53.Su Shengrui,Li Huirong.Experimental study on the failure mecha-nism and fractures propagation in soil layers overlying causativefaulting.Journal of Geological Hazards and Environment Preserva-tion,2002,13(01):48~53.
[7]R.B.Mosley.M.Y.Menetrez.The influences of diffusion and ad-vective flow on the distribution of radon activity within USEPA ssoil chamber[J].Environment International,2002,22(Supp1.1):521~533.
[8]Parsons T,Ji C,Kirby E.Stress changes from the 2008 Wenchuanearthquake and increased hazard in the Sichuan Basin[J].Nature,2008,454:509~51.
[9]李传友,张培震,张剑玺,等.西秦岭北缘断裂带黄香沟段晚第四纪活动表现与滑动速率[J].第四纪研究,2007,27(01):54~63.Li Chuanyou,Zhang Peizhen,Zhang Jianxi et a1.Late-Quaternaryactivity and slip rate of the western Qinlin fault zone at huangxiang-gou.Quaternary Science,2007,27(01):54~63.
[10]王伟涛,贾东,李传友,等.四川龙泉山断裂带变形特征及其活动性初步研究[J].地震地质,2008,30(04):969~979.Wang Weitao,Jia Dong,Li Chuanyou et a1.Preliminary investi-gation on deformation characteristics and activity of Longquanshanfault belt in Sichuan.Seismology and geology,2008,30(04):969~979.
[11]谷懿,葛良全,王广西等.汶川地震震后大成都地区断裂带活动性氡气测量分析评价[J].工程地质学报,2009,17(03):296~30.GUYi,GE Liangquan,WANG Guangxi et a1.Analysis and eval-uation of faults activities in Chengdu region with radon concentra-tion measurements after Wenchuan earthquake.Journal of Engi-neering Geology,2009,17(03):296~30.
[12]邓起东,冯先岳,张培震,等编著.天山活动构造[M].北京:地震出版社.2000.Deng Qidong,Feng Xianyue,Zhang Peizhen et a1.Active tecton-ics of the Tianshan Mountain.Beijing:Seismic PublishingHouse,2000.
[13]冯国才,李强,吴宏之.断裂活动与矿山地质动力灾害研究[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2002,13(02):17~19.Feng Guocai,Li Qiang,Wu Hongzhi.Research on fault actionand geological dynamics hazards in mining.The Chinese Journalof Geological Hazard and Control,2002,13(02):17~19.
[14]韩军,张宏伟.地质动力区划中断裂活动性的模糊综合评判[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2007,18(02):101~105.Han Jun,Zhang Hong-wei.Fuzzy integrated estimation of faultactivity in geology dynamic zoning.The Chinese Journal of Geo-logical Hazard and Control,2007,18(02):101~105.
[15]汪家权,刘万茹,钱家忠.地下水环境质量评价Fuzzy-Grey模式[J].农业环境科学学报,2003,22(01):73~77.Wang Jiaquan,Liu Wanru,Qian Jiazhong.Fuzzy-Gey model forassessment of groundwater environmental quality.Journal of Agro-Environment Science,2003,22(01):73~77.
[2]陕西省地质矿产局.西安地区区域地壳稳定性与地质灾害评价和研究[R],1990.Geology and Mineral Resources of Shaanxi Province.Evaluationand Study of Regional Crustal Stability and Geological Hazards ofXi an Area,1990.
[3]李永善等编著.西安地裂与渭河盆地活断层研究[M].地震出版社,1992.Li Yongshan et a1.Research on Ground Fissures in Xi an Regionand Active Faults in Weihe Basin.Beijing:EarthquakePress,1992.
[4]张家明.西安地裂缝研究[M].西北大学出版社,1990.Zhang J iaming.Research on ground fissures in Xi an Region.Xi an:Northwest University Press,1990.
[5]彭建兵,范文,李喜安,等.汾渭盆地地裂缝成因研究中的若干关键问题[J].工程地质学报,2007,15(04):433~440.Peng Jianbing,Fan Wen,Li Xi an et a1.Some key questions in theformation of ground fissures in the fen-wei basin.Journal of Engi-neering Geology,2007,15(04):433~440.
[6]苏生瑞,李慧荣.发震断裂上覆土层破坏机制及破裂扩展规律的试验研究[J].地质灾害与环境保护,2002,13(01):48~53.Su Shengrui,Li Huirong.Experimental study on the failure mecha-nism and fractures propagation in soil layers overlying causativefaulting.Journal of Geological Hazards and Environment Preserva-tion,2002,13(01):48~53.
[7]R.B.Mosley.M.Y.Menetrez.The influences of diffusion and ad-vective flow on the distribution of radon activity within USEPA ssoil chamber[J].Environment International,2002,22(Supp1.1):521~533.
[8]Parsons T,Ji C,Kirby E.Stress changes from the 2008 Wenchuanearthquake and increased hazard in the Sichuan Basin[J].Nature,2008,454:509~51.
[9]李传友,张培震,张剑玺,等.西秦岭北缘断裂带黄香沟段晚第四纪活动表现与滑动速率[J].第四纪研究,2007,27(01):54~63.Li Chuanyou,Zhang Peizhen,Zhang Jianxi et a1.Late-Quaternaryactivity and slip rate of the western Qinlin fault zone at huangxiang-gou.Quaternary Science,2007,27(01):54~63.
[10]王伟涛,贾东,李传友,等.四川龙泉山断裂带变形特征及其活动性初步研究[J].地震地质,2008,30(04):969~979.Wang Weitao,Jia Dong,Li Chuanyou et a1.Preliminary investi-gation on deformation characteristics and activity of Longquanshanfault belt in Sichuan.Seismology and geology,2008,30(04):969~979.
[11]谷懿,葛良全,王广西等.汶川地震震后大成都地区断裂带活动性氡气测量分析评价[J].工程地质学报,2009,17(03):296~30.GUYi,GE Liangquan,WANG Guangxi et a1.Analysis and eval-uation of faults activities in Chengdu region with radon concentra-tion measurements after Wenchuan earthquake.Journal of Engi-neering Geology,2009,17(03):296~30.
[12]邓起东,冯先岳,张培震,等编著.天山活动构造[M].北京:地震出版社.2000.Deng Qidong,Feng Xianyue,Zhang Peizhen et a1.Active tecton-ics of the Tianshan Mountain.Beijing:Seismic PublishingHouse,2000.
[13]冯国才,李强,吴宏之.断裂活动与矿山地质动力灾害研究[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2002,13(02):17~19.Feng Guocai,Li Qiang,Wu Hongzhi.Research on fault actionand geological dynamics hazards in mining.The Chinese Journalof Geological Hazard and Control,2002,13(02):17~19.
[14]韩军,张宏伟.地质动力区划中断裂活动性的模糊综合评判[J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2007,18(02):101~105.Han Jun,Zhang Hong-wei.Fuzzy integrated estimation of faultactivity in geology dynamic zoning.The Chinese Journal of Geo-logical Hazard and Control,2007,18(02):101~105.
[15]汪家权,刘万茹,钱家忠.地下水环境质量评价Fuzzy-Grey模式[J].农业环境科学学报,2003,22(01):73~77.Wang Jiaquan,Liu Wanru,Qian Jiazhong.Fuzzy-Gey model forassessment of groundwater environmental quality.Journal of Agro-Environment Science,2003,22(01):73~77.
版权所有：© 2023 中国地质图书馆 中国地质调查局地学文献中心