深部咸水层CO_2地质储存地质安全性评价方法研究
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摘要
CO2地质储存工程属于环保型工程项目,地质安全性是影响CO2长期封存的首要因素。深部咸水层CO2地质储存地质安全性影响因素主要包括盖层适宜性、场地地震安全性、水文地质条件、地面场地地质条件四个方面,其中盖层适宜性是CO2安全储存的最关键因素,场地地震安全性和水文地质条件次之,而地面场地地质条件也是影响工程施工的重要因素。本文基于CO2地质储存的地质安全性影响因素分析,建立了层次分析结构的地质安全性评价指标体系,并初步计算了评价指标的权重;提出可以利用模糊综合评价方法进行深部咸水层CO2地质储存地质安全性综合评价,为中国深部咸水层CO2地质储存的地质安全性评价方法和安全选址指明了方向。
CO2 geological storage projects belong to environmental protection projects,and geological safety is the primary factor for CO2 sequestration for a long time.Geological safety influencing factors of CO2 geological storage include cap rock suitability,site safety for earthquake,hydrogeological condition and geological condition of the ground site,of which cap rock suitability is the most important factor,and geological condition of the ground site is the main factor influencing project construction.According to an analysis of CO2 geological storage safety influencing factors,the authors built geological safety evaluation indexes system on the basis of the AHP structure and tentatively calculated the weights.It is held that CO2 geological storage safety could be evaluated comprehensively by fuzzy synthetic evaluation method.In addition,the geological safety evaluation method of CO2 geological storage and the means for safe project site selection in China's deep saline aquifer are put forward in this paper.
CO2 geological storage projects belong to environmental protection projects,and geological safety is the primary factor for CO2 sequestration for a long time.Geological safety influencing factors of CO2 geological storage include cap rock suitability,site safety for earthquake,hydrogeological condition and geological condition of the ground site,of which cap rock suitability is the most important factor,and geological condition of the ground site is the main factor influencing project construction.According to an analysis of CO2 geological storage safety influencing factors,the authors built geological safety evaluation indexes system on the basis of the AHP structure and tentatively calculated the weights.It is held that CO2 geological storage safety could be evaluated comprehensively by fuzzy synthetic evaluation method.In addition,the geological safety evaluation method of CO2 geological storage and the means for safe project site selection in China's deep saline aquifer are put forward in this paper.
引文
[1]IPCC.Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage[R].July,2005.
[2]张洪涛,文冬光,李义连,等.中国二氧化碳地质埋存条件分析及有关建议[J].地质通报,2005,24(12):1101-1110.Zhang Hongtao,Wen Dongguang,Li Yilian,et al.Conditions forCO2 geological sequestration in China and some suggestions[J].Geological Bulletin of China,2005,24(12):1107-1110(in Chinesewith English abstract).
[3]沈平平,廖新维.二氧化碳地质埋存与提高石油采收率技术[M].北京:石油工业出版社,2009.Shen Pingping,Liao Xinwei.The Technology of Carbon DioxideStored in Geological Media and Enhanced Oil Recovery[M].Beijing:Petroleum Industry Press,2009(in Chinese).
[4]Bert M.IPCC special report on CO2 capture and storage[M].London UK:Cambridge University Press,2005.
[5]Holloway S.Underground sequestration of carbon dioxide availablegreenhouse gas mitigation option[J].Energy Conversion andManagement,2005,30(11/12):231-333.
[6]Holtz M H.Residual gas saturation to aquifer influx:Acalculationmethod for 3-D computer reservoir model construction[C].SPE75502,2002.
[7]许志刚,陈代钊,曾荣树,等.CO2地下地质埋存原理和条件[J].西南石油大学学报(自然科学版),2009,31(1):91-97.Xu Zhigang,Chen Daizhao,Zeng Rongshu et al.The theory andconditions of geological storage of CO2[J].Journal of SouthwestPetroleum University(Seience&Technology Edition),2009,31(1):91-97(in Chinese with English abstract).
[8]政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC).2006IPCC国家温室气体排放清单指南[R].2006.Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.2006 IPCCGuidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories[R].2006.
[9]许志刚,陈代钊,曾荣树.CO2地质埋存泄漏风险及补救对策[J].地质论评,2008,54(3):373-386.Xu Zhigang,Chen Daizhao,Zeng Rongshu.The Leakage RiskAssessment and Remediation Options of CO2 Geological Storage[J].Geological Review,2008,54(2):373-386(in Chinese with Englishabstract).
[10]张森琦,刁玉杰,程旭学,等.二氧化碳地质储存泄漏通道及环境监测研究[J].冰川冻土,2010,12(6):1251-1261.Zhang Senqi,Diao Yujie,Cheng Xuxue,et al.CO2 GeologicalStorage Leakage Routes and Envionment Monitoring[J].Journal ofGlaciology and Geocryology,2010,12(6):1251-1261(in Chinesewith English abstract).
[11]许志刚,陈代钊,曾荣树,等.CO2地下埋存分布状况及环境影响的监测[J].气候变化研究进展,2008,4(6):363-368.Xu Zhigang,Chen Daizhao,Zeng Rongshu,et al.Technologiesfor monitoring subsurface CO2 distribution and local environmentaleffects of CO2 geological storage[J].Advances in Climate ChangeResearch,2008,4(6):363-368(in Chinese with English abstract).
[12]曲建升,曾静静.CO2捕获与封存:技术、实践与法律——国际推广CO2捕获与封存工作的法律问题分析[J].世界科技研究与发展,2007,29(6):78-83.Qu Jiansheng,Zeng Jingjing.Carbon Dioxide Capture andStorage:Technology,Demonstration,and Legal Aspects—AnAnalysis on the Legal Related Issues of International CCS Efforts[J].World Sci-Tech R&D,2007,12(6):78-83(in Chinese).
[13]庞雄奇,付广,万龙贵.盖层封油气性综合定量评价——盆地模拟在盖层评价中的应用[M].北京:石油出版社,1998.Pang Xiongqi,Fu Guang,Wan Longgui.Cover layer sealing oiland gas sex comprehensive quantitative assessment—basinsimulation in cap rock evaluation of application[M].Beijing:Petroleum Industry Press,1998(in Chinese).
[14]鲁雪松,蒋有录,宋岩.盖层力学性质及其应力状态对盖层封闭性能的影响[J].天然气工业,2007,27(8):48-56.Lu Xuesong,Jiang Youlu,Song Yan.Influence of mechanicalproperties and stress state of caprock on its sealing performance[J].Natural Gas Indrstry,2007,27(8):48-56(in Chinese with Englishabstract).
[15]李小春,小出仁,大隅多加志.CO2地中隔离技术及其岩石力学问题[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2003,22(6):989-994.Li Xiaochun,Koide Hitoshi,Ohsumi Takashi.CO2 aquifer storageand the related rock mechanics issues[J].Chinese Journal of RockMechanics and Engineering,2003,22(6):989-994(in Chinese withEnglish abstract).
[16]叶建平,武强,王子和.水文地质条件对煤层气赋存的控制作用[J].煤炭学报,2001,26(5):459-462.Ye Jianping,Wu Qiang,Wang Zhihe.Controlled characteristics ofhydrogeological conditions on the coalbed methane migration andaccumulation[J].Journal of China Coal Society,2001,26(5):459-462(in Chinese with English abstract).
[17]Bachu S,Adams J.Sequester ration of CO2 in geological media inresponse to climate change:Capacity of deep saline aquifers tosequester CO2 in solution[J].Energy Conversion and Management,2003,44:3151-3175.
[18]黄栋,王翊虹.模糊综合评价法在垃圾填埋场选址中的应用[J].首都师范大学学报(自然科学版),2009,30(2):10-12.Huang Dong,Wang Yihong.Application of fuzzy comprehensiveevaluation in selection of landfill site[J].Journal of Capital NormalUniversity(Natural Science Edition),2009,4(2):10-13.
[2]张洪涛,文冬光,李义连,等.中国二氧化碳地质埋存条件分析及有关建议[J].地质通报,2005,24(12):1101-1110.Zhang Hongtao,Wen Dongguang,Li Yilian,et al.Conditions forCO2 geological sequestration in China and some suggestions[J].Geological Bulletin of China,2005,24(12):1107-1110(in Chinesewith English abstract).
[3]沈平平,廖新维.二氧化碳地质埋存与提高石油采收率技术[M].北京:石油工业出版社,2009.Shen Pingping,Liao Xinwei.The Technology of Carbon DioxideStored in Geological Media and Enhanced Oil Recovery[M].Beijing:Petroleum Industry Press,2009(in Chinese).
[4]Bert M.IPCC special report on CO2 capture and storage[M].London UK:Cambridge University Press,2005.
[5]Holloway S.Underground sequestration of carbon dioxide availablegreenhouse gas mitigation option[J].Energy Conversion andManagement,2005,30(11/12):231-333.
[6]Holtz M H.Residual gas saturation to aquifer influx:Acalculationmethod for 3-D computer reservoir model construction[C].SPE75502,2002.
[7]许志刚,陈代钊,曾荣树,等.CO2地下地质埋存原理和条件[J].西南石油大学学报(自然科学版),2009,31(1):91-97.Xu Zhigang,Chen Daizhao,Zeng Rongshu et al.The theory andconditions of geological storage of CO2[J].Journal of SouthwestPetroleum University(Seience&Technology Edition),2009,31(1):91-97(in Chinese with English abstract).
[8]政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC).2006IPCC国家温室气体排放清单指南[R].2006.Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.2006 IPCCGuidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories[R].2006.
[9]许志刚,陈代钊,曾荣树.CO2地质埋存泄漏风险及补救对策[J].地质论评,2008,54(3):373-386.Xu Zhigang,Chen Daizhao,Zeng Rongshu.The Leakage RiskAssessment and Remediation Options of CO2 Geological Storage[J].Geological Review,2008,54(2):373-386(in Chinese with Englishabstract).
[10]张森琦,刁玉杰,程旭学,等.二氧化碳地质储存泄漏通道及环境监测研究[J].冰川冻土,2010,12(6):1251-1261.Zhang Senqi,Diao Yujie,Cheng Xuxue,et al.CO2 GeologicalStorage Leakage Routes and Envionment Monitoring[J].Journal ofGlaciology and Geocryology,2010,12(6):1251-1261(in Chinesewith English abstract).
[11]许志刚,陈代钊,曾荣树,等.CO2地下埋存分布状况及环境影响的监测[J].气候变化研究进展,2008,4(6):363-368.Xu Zhigang,Chen Daizhao,Zeng Rongshu,et al.Technologiesfor monitoring subsurface CO2 distribution and local environmentaleffects of CO2 geological storage[J].Advances in Climate ChangeResearch,2008,4(6):363-368(in Chinese with English abstract).
[12]曲建升,曾静静.CO2捕获与封存:技术、实践与法律——国际推广CO2捕获与封存工作的法律问题分析[J].世界科技研究与发展,2007,29(6):78-83.Qu Jiansheng,Zeng Jingjing.Carbon Dioxide Capture andStorage:Technology,Demonstration,and Legal Aspects—AnAnalysis on the Legal Related Issues of International CCS Efforts[J].World Sci-Tech R&D,2007,12(6):78-83(in Chinese).
[13]庞雄奇,付广,万龙贵.盖层封油气性综合定量评价——盆地模拟在盖层评价中的应用[M].北京:石油出版社,1998.Pang Xiongqi,Fu Guang,Wan Longgui.Cover layer sealing oiland gas sex comprehensive quantitative assessment—basinsimulation in cap rock evaluation of application[M].Beijing:Petroleum Industry Press,1998(in Chinese).
[14]鲁雪松,蒋有录,宋岩.盖层力学性质及其应力状态对盖层封闭性能的影响[J].天然气工业,2007,27(8):48-56.Lu Xuesong,Jiang Youlu,Song Yan.Influence of mechanicalproperties and stress state of caprock on its sealing performance[J].Natural Gas Indrstry,2007,27(8):48-56(in Chinese with Englishabstract).
[15]李小春,小出仁,大隅多加志.CO2地中隔离技术及其岩石力学问题[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2003,22(6):989-994.Li Xiaochun,Koide Hitoshi,Ohsumi Takashi.CO2 aquifer storageand the related rock mechanics issues[J].Chinese Journal of RockMechanics and Engineering,2003,22(6):989-994(in Chinese withEnglish abstract).
[16]叶建平,武强,王子和.水文地质条件对煤层气赋存的控制作用[J].煤炭学报,2001,26(5):459-462.Ye Jianping,Wu Qiang,Wang Zhihe.Controlled characteristics ofhydrogeological conditions on the coalbed methane migration andaccumulation[J].Journal of China Coal Society,2001,26(5):459-462(in Chinese with English abstract).
[17]Bachu S,Adams J.Sequester ration of CO2 in geological media inresponse to climate change:Capacity of deep saline aquifers tosequester CO2 in solution[J].Energy Conversion and Management,2003,44:3151-3175.
[18]黄栋,王翊虹.模糊综合评价法在垃圾填埋场选址中的应用[J].首都师范大学学报(自然科学版),2009,30(2):10-12.Huang Dong,Wang Yihong.Application of fuzzy comprehensiveevaluation in selection of landfill site[J].Journal of Capital NormalUniversity(Natural Science Edition),2009,4(2):10-13.
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