石油勘探开发技术成熟度分析
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摘要
应用技术生命周期性和技术成熟度分别研究地震勘探技术和压裂技术,两者皆已完成萌芽期的基础技术和初始理论研究,已进入成长期的商业研发阶段,商业的投入与应用使理论、工艺和方法得以完善,促进石油工业的跨越式发展。经过综合分析可知石油工业核心已经向上游油气勘探开发转移,中国目前能够商业开发利用水平为低渗透油气资源,致密油气则为下一个目标。
Seismic exploration and fracturing have been researched by the technology life cycle and maturity. Both technologies have passed the initial stage,basic theories and techniques of which have been configured. They stay on the growth stage and are applied in business which promote theories,techniques and methods improvement,and then petroleum technology makes great progress. According to the analysis of the technology,the core business of petroleum industry has been changed from downstream to upstream. China just develops commercially low permeability oil and gas at present,and tight oil and gas will be next in the future.
Seismic exploration and fracturing have been researched by the technology life cycle and maturity. Both technologies have passed the initial stage,basic theories and techniques of which have been configured. They stay on the growth stage and are applied in business which promote theories,techniques and methods improvement,and then petroleum technology makes great progress. According to the analysis of the technology,the core business of petroleum industry has been changed from downstream to upstream. China just develops commercially low permeability oil and gas at present,and tight oil and gas will be next in the future.
引文
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[3]BRENT HOBSON.A Technology Maturity Measurement System for the Department of National Defence[R].Contract Report,DRDC Atlantic CR 2005-279 May,2006
[4]JOHN C,MANKINS.Technology Readiness Levels,Advanced Concepts Office of Space Access and Technology[R].NASA,A White Paper,April 6,1995
[5]KATHERINE V,SCHINASI.Best pratices:Better Management of Technology Can Improve Weapon Outcomes,GAO/NSIAD-99-162[R].United States General Accounting Office,2011
[6]王秀红,周九常.TRIZ院里在产品技术成熟度预测中的应用[J].科技进步与对策,2008,25(3):15-17
[7]黄鲁成,赵志华,傅晓阳.产品技术成熟度研究综述[J].科学管理,2010,28(2):38-41
[8]李春艳,张明勤.产品技术成熟度预测的研究与应用[J].创新方法,2012(59):84-85
[9]BRIAN J,SAUSER,JOSE E.Ramirez-Marquez,Devanandham Henry.A system maturity index for the systems engineering life cycle[J].Int.J.Industrial and Systems Engineering,2008,3(6):673-691
[10]MICHAEL S,SLOCUM.Technology Maturity Using S-curve Descriptors[Z].TRIZCON99,1998.12
[11]LEE T H,NAKICENOVIC N.Technology life cycle and business strategy[J].Science and Technology Review,1989:39-43
[12]张伟,刘德志.新兴技术生命周期及其各阶段特征分析[J].菏泽学院学报,2007,29(5):16-19
[13]浦根祥,周志豪.从技术生命周期看企业“技术机会”选择[J].自然辩证法研究,1998,14(6):47-49
[14]窦宏恩.当今世界上最新的石油技术[J].石油矿场机械,2010,32(3):1-3
[15]陈楠.当今国外深海石油技术装备的发展趋势[J].中国石油和化工标准与质量,2011(6):247-248
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