地震大地测量学五十年——对学科成长的思考
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摘要
基于21世纪地球科学发展战略,从科学方法论和科学文化的视角,反思学科发展中可能存在的几个问题:观测理论与技术的"引擎"作用;观测数据挖掘与理解;多尺度动力系统模拟;推进预测进步;学科框架与科学认知途径等。
Based on the 21st century earth science development strategy,through the perspective of the scientific methodology and scientific culture,several issues that may exist in the disciplinary development are rethought: an "engine" role of the observation theories and techniques;mining and understanding of the observation data;multiscale simulation of dynamic system;predicted promotion;disciplinary framework and scientific cognitive approaches.
Based on the 21st century earth science development strategy,through the perspective of the scientific methodology and scientific culture,several issues that may exist in the disciplinary development are rethought: an "engine" role of the observation theories and techniques;mining and understanding of the observation data;multiscale simulation of dynamic system;predicted promotion;disciplinary framework and scientific cognitive approaches.
引文
1方樟顺.周恩来与防震减灾[M].北京:中央文献出版社,1995.(Fang Zhangshun.Zhou Enlai and earthquake disastermitigation[M].Beijing:Central Literature PublishingHouse,1995)
2周硕愚.走向21世纪的地壳形变学——对大陆动力学与地震预测的新推动[J].地壳形变与地震,1999,(1):1-12.(Zhou Shuoyu.Crustal deformation advancing towards21th century:a new impetus to continental dynamics andearthquake prediction[J].Crustal Deformation and Earth-quake,1999,(1):1-12)
3周硕愚,等.地震大地测量学研究[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2008,(6):77-82.(Zhou Shuoyu,et al.Research ofearthquake geodesy[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynam-ics,2008,(6):77-82)
4姚运生,等.现代大地测量学与对地观测发展规划研究[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2008,(专刊):49-55.(Yao Yunsheng,et al.Study on development program of con-temporary geodesy and earth observation[J].Journal of Ge-odesy and Geodynamics,2008,(Sup.):49-55)
5 Committee on Grand Research Questions in the Solid-EarthSciences,National Research Council.Origin and Evolutionof Earth:Research questions for a Changing Planet[M].National Academies Press,2008.
6中国科学院地学部地球科学发展战略研究组.21世纪中国地球科学发展战略报告[M].北京:科学出版社,2009.(Chinese Academy of Sciences Faculty of Earth Sci-ence Development Strategy Research Group.Strategic re-port:China’s earth science development for 21st century[M].Beijing:Science Press,2009)
7国家自然科学基金委员会中国科学院地学部.中国地球科学地球科学发展战略[M].北京:科学出版社,2012.(The National Natural Science Foundation of China Academyof Sciences Faculty Committee.China’s earth science devel-opment strategy[M].Beijing:Science Press,2012)
8许志琴,等.青藏高原大陆动力学:1984—2006[M].北京:地质出版社,2006.(Xu Zhiqin,at al.Continental dy-namics in the Qinghai-Tibet plateau[M].Beijing:Geolog-ical Publishing House,2006)
9陈鑫连,等.动态大地测量[M].北京:中国铁道出版社,1994.(Chen Xinlian,et al.Dynamic geodesy[M].Bei-jing:China Railway Press,1994)
10周硕愚.努力创建地震预报的应用基础学科——兼论板内现今地壳运动动力学[J].地震学刊,1994,(4):9-15.(Zhou Shuoyu.Effort to establish applied fundamentdiscipline of earthquake prediction,and discussion on dy-namics of recent interplate crustal mouement[J].Journalof Seismology,1994,(4):9-15)
11周硕愚,吴云,李正媛.推进地学创新的地壳形变大地测量学[J].国际地震动态,2002,(10):1-11.(ZhouShuoyu,Wu Yun and Li Zhengyuan.Crustal deformationgeodesy giving impetus to bringing forth new ideas in geo-science[J].Recent Developments in World Seismology,2002,(10):1-11)
12周硕愚,等.地壳形变测量学之进展与展望[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2002,(3):94-101.(Zhou Shuoyu,atal.Advance and prospect of crustal deformation geodesy[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,2002,(3):94-101)
13傅承义.地壳形变与地震[J].地壳形变与地震(创刊号),1981,(1):1.(Fu Chengyi.Crustal deformation andearthquake[J].Crustal Deformation and Earthquake(firstissue),1981,(1):1)
14 Chen Yuntai.Earthquake science:a new start[J].Earth-quake Science,2009,(1):1-1.
15张中杰,等.中国大陆地球深部结构与动力学研究——庆贺滕吉文院士从事地球物理研究50周年[M].北京:科学出版社,2004.(Zhang Zhongjie,et al.The structureand dynamics of the earth’s deep research in mainlandChina-to celebrate Teng Jiwen engaged the geophysical re-seach of the 50th anniversary[M].Beijing:Science Press,2004)
16傅承义.大陆漂移、海底扩张和板块构造[M].北京:科学出版社,1972.(Fu Chengyi.Continental drift,sea-floorspreading,and plate tectonics[M].Beijing:SciencePress,1972)
17周硕愚.系统科学导引[M].北京:地震出版社,1988.(Zhou Shuoyu.System science guide[M].Beijing:Seis-mological Press,1988)
18毕思文,许强文.地球系统科学[M].北京:科学出版社,2003.(Bi Siwen and Xu Qiangwen.Earth system science[M].Beijing:Science Press,2003)
19 Thomas S kuln.The structure of scientific revolutions[M].The university of Chicago,all right reserved,2012.
20 Karl R Popper.The logic of Sciontific discovery[M].Hutchinson of London,1977.
2周硕愚.走向21世纪的地壳形变学——对大陆动力学与地震预测的新推动[J].地壳形变与地震,1999,(1):1-12.(Zhou Shuoyu.Crustal deformation advancing towards21th century:a new impetus to continental dynamics andearthquake prediction[J].Crustal Deformation and Earth-quake,1999,(1):1-12)
3周硕愚,等.地震大地测量学研究[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2008,(6):77-82.(Zhou Shuoyu,et al.Research ofearthquake geodesy[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynam-ics,2008,(6):77-82)
4姚运生,等.现代大地测量学与对地观测发展规划研究[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2008,(专刊):49-55.(Yao Yunsheng,et al.Study on development program of con-temporary geodesy and earth observation[J].Journal of Ge-odesy and Geodynamics,2008,(Sup.):49-55)
5 Committee on Grand Research Questions in the Solid-EarthSciences,National Research Council.Origin and Evolutionof Earth:Research questions for a Changing Planet[M].National Academies Press,2008.
6中国科学院地学部地球科学发展战略研究组.21世纪中国地球科学发展战略报告[M].北京:科学出版社,2009.(Chinese Academy of Sciences Faculty of Earth Sci-ence Development Strategy Research Group.Strategic re-port:China’s earth science development for 21st century[M].Beijing:Science Press,2009)
7国家自然科学基金委员会中国科学院地学部.中国地球科学地球科学发展战略[M].北京:科学出版社,2012.(The National Natural Science Foundation of China Academyof Sciences Faculty Committee.China’s earth science devel-opment strategy[M].Beijing:Science Press,2012)
8许志琴,等.青藏高原大陆动力学:1984—2006[M].北京:地质出版社,2006.(Xu Zhiqin,at al.Continental dy-namics in the Qinghai-Tibet plateau[M].Beijing:Geolog-ical Publishing House,2006)
9陈鑫连,等.动态大地测量[M].北京:中国铁道出版社,1994.(Chen Xinlian,et al.Dynamic geodesy[M].Bei-jing:China Railway Press,1994)
10周硕愚.努力创建地震预报的应用基础学科——兼论板内现今地壳运动动力学[J].地震学刊,1994,(4):9-15.(Zhou Shuoyu.Effort to establish applied fundamentdiscipline of earthquake prediction,and discussion on dy-namics of recent interplate crustal mouement[J].Journalof Seismology,1994,(4):9-15)
11周硕愚,吴云,李正媛.推进地学创新的地壳形变大地测量学[J].国际地震动态,2002,(10):1-11.(ZhouShuoyu,Wu Yun and Li Zhengyuan.Crustal deformationgeodesy giving impetus to bringing forth new ideas in geo-science[J].Recent Developments in World Seismology,2002,(10):1-11)
12周硕愚,等.地壳形变测量学之进展与展望[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2002,(3):94-101.(Zhou Shuoyu,atal.Advance and prospect of crustal deformation geodesy[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,2002,(3):94-101)
13傅承义.地壳形变与地震[J].地壳形变与地震(创刊号),1981,(1):1.(Fu Chengyi.Crustal deformation andearthquake[J].Crustal Deformation and Earthquake(firstissue),1981,(1):1)
14 Chen Yuntai.Earthquake science:a new start[J].Earth-quake Science,2009,(1):1-1.
15张中杰,等.中国大陆地球深部结构与动力学研究——庆贺滕吉文院士从事地球物理研究50周年[M].北京:科学出版社,2004.(Zhang Zhongjie,et al.The structureand dynamics of the earth’s deep research in mainlandChina-to celebrate Teng Jiwen engaged the geophysical re-seach of the 50th anniversary[M].Beijing:Science Press,2004)
16傅承义.大陆漂移、海底扩张和板块构造[M].北京:科学出版社,1972.(Fu Chengyi.Continental drift,sea-floorspreading,and plate tectonics[M].Beijing:SciencePress,1972)
17周硕愚.系统科学导引[M].北京:地震出版社,1988.(Zhou Shuoyu.System science guide[M].Beijing:Seis-mological Press,1988)
18毕思文,许强文.地球系统科学[M].北京:科学出版社,2003.(Bi Siwen and Xu Qiangwen.Earth system science[M].Beijing:Science Press,2003)
19 Thomas S kuln.The structure of scientific revolutions[M].The university of Chicago,all right reserved,2012.
20 Karl R Popper.The logic of Sciontific discovery[M].Hutchinson of London,1977.
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