K线理论在地震趋势分析中应用的可行性研究
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摘要
地震灾害给人类带来了巨大的生命和财产损失,为了尽可能地降低地震灾害损失,人类需要不断地寻找更科学的地震预测预报方法。虽然目前的地震预测预报方法的研究已经取得了很多可喜的进步,但科学进展与实现科学预报地震的目标之间还存在很大的距离。本文将对K线理论在地震趋势分析中应用的可行性进行研究,希望能够提供一种新的地震趋势分析思路。本文根据地震活动趋势分析与投资品价格走势分析的比较,提出了可以用K线理论进行地震活动趋势分析的观点,并定义了地震K线的画法,还通过对徐州周围的历史地震K线图的分析,验证了K线理论在地震趋势分析中应用的可行性。
Earthquake brought to mankind a huge loss of life and property,in order to minimize earthquake damage,the human need to keep looking for a more scientific method of earthquake prediction.Although the current method of earthquake prediction research has made a lot of encouraging progress,but the great distance still exists between the scientific progress and achieve and the goal of earthquake prediction science.This paper will be the study of the application feasibility of the using of K-line theory in earthquake trend analysis,hoping to provide a new idea of the earthquake trend analysis.According to the comparing of the trend analysis of seismic activity and goods prices,the point of view that the K-line can be used in the seismic activity trend analysis has be put forward.The drawing method of the K-line of earthquake has be defined.According to the analysis of the K-line of historical earthquakes around Xuzhou,the application feasibility of K-line theory using in seismic activity trend analysis has be verified.
Earthquake brought to mankind a huge loss of life and property,in order to minimize earthquake damage,the human need to keep looking for a more scientific method of earthquake prediction.Although the current method of earthquake prediction research has made a lot of encouraging progress,but the great distance still exists between the scientific progress and achieve and the goal of earthquake prediction science.This paper will be the study of the application feasibility of the using of K-line theory in earthquake trend analysis,hoping to provide a new idea of the earthquake trend analysis.According to the comparing of the trend analysis of seismic activity and goods prices,the point of view that the K-line can be used in the seismic activity trend analysis has be put forward.The drawing method of the K-line of earthquake has be defined.According to the analysis of the K-line of historical earthquakes around Xuzhou,the application feasibility of K-line theory using in seismic activity trend analysis has be verified.
引文
[1]张晓东,傅征祥,张永仙,等.1999～2002年地震预报研究进展[J].地震学报,2003,25(5):479～491
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[6]朱俊衍编著.股票实用操作技巧[M].青岛:青岛海洋大学出版社,1997
[2]张国民,刘杰,石耀霖.年度地震预报能力的科学评价[J].地震学报,2002,24(5):525～532
[3]孙加林.对中国地震预报现状与未来的思考.国际地震动态,2005(5):85～92
[4]郑永通.对当前地震预报现状的思考.山西地震,2007(4):40～42
[5]孙加林,章瑞.中国大陆20世纪以来第五地震活动期的复杂性及其本质问题.地震,2007,27(2):30～40
[6]朱俊衍编著.股票实用操作技巧[M].青岛:青岛海洋大学出版社,1997
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