摘要
在探讨年最大地震震级分布服从Ⅲ型极值分布的基础上,给出了震级分布参数估计方法,讨论了地震趋势预报中的点估计和区间估计问题,指出了区间估计是一种较为有效的统计推断形式。它能够提高对地震预测预报的准确程度,从而为中长期地震预报提供一种新的方法
In this paper,based on Type Ⅲ extreme value distribuion,the method of parameter estimation is given and point estimation and interval estimation of earthquake prediction are discussed. The prediction accuracy will greatly be improved and the theoretical basis for medium term and long term earthquake prediction is provided.