摘要
本文从铜街子水库诱发地震的基本地质条件着手,采用了水库综合影响系数、概率预测、信息量预测、模糊预测等方法对其最大诱震震级进行了评估,并针对铜街子水库诱发地震的复式衰减特性,建立了指数自回归模型,对诱发地震的活动趋势进行了预测。
Based on the geological condition of Tongjizi reservoir,the maximum magnitude of Tongjizi reservoir induced seismicity is evaluated by means of some semiquantitative methods which indude reservoircompreshensivecoefficient,probability predicting,information predicting and fuzzy predicting.On the complex decay of Tongjizi reservoir induced seismicity,an exponential autoregressive model is constructed and seismic activity tendency is predicted.
引文
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