地震短临跟踪预报的综合概率方法
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摘要
对河北省各前兆学科的观测资料进行了清理 ,提取了本学科判断中强地震由中期进入短临阶段的关键性指标 ,总结了近 2 0 a来河北省及其邻近地区中强地震短临异常与发震时间的统计关系 ,在此基础上 ,建立了短临综合预报的概率模型。运用这一模型取得了较为满意的对应效果。
The precursor observational data of Hebei province is sorted out, the pivotal indexs entering into short impending of mo derate strong earthquake are picked The statistic correlation between short impending anomaly and origin time is summarized Synthetic probability model of short—impending prediction is established Satisfactory result is acquired with this model
The precursor observational data of Hebei province is sorted out, the pivotal indexs entering into short impending of mo derate strong earthquake are picked The statistic correlation between short impending anomaly and origin time is summarized Synthetic probability model of short—impending prediction is established Satisfactory result is acquired with this model
引文
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