地震学模式的建构与重新建构
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摘要
地震学模式经过历史建构后，并没有终结我们对种类繁多、特性各异的地震的认识。本文从“建构”与“重新建构”的辩证关系入手，以地震学模式的“静态特性”和动态特性”为讨论基础，结合地震学长久的经验和理论发展，从四个方面探讨了地震学模式的重新建构：从“个体模式”到“群体模式”、“统一模式──多元模式──新的统一模式”、从“经验模式”到“理论模式”、同一问题的多元模式解以及模式重建的两种主要方式。文章同时还归纳总结了“建构”与“重新建构”中存在的主要问题并提出富有建设性的设想。
After the seismological model passing its historical construeing, we have not made an end with understanding of a great variety and vast characteristic difference of earthquakes.Beginning with dialectical relations between “constructing” and “reconstructing”, based on the discussion of “static characteristics”? and “dynamic characteristics”, in the light of the long-term experience and theoretical development of seismology, the paper approaches the reconstructing of the seismological model from the following four aspects: 1. Form the “individual model” to the “colny model”; 2. The unified model-the multivariate model the new unified model; 3. From the “empirical model” to the “theoretical model”; 4. The multivariate model solution of same problem and the two main ways of the model reconstructing. Simultaneously, the paper also sums up the main problems existing in “constructing” and “reconstructing” of the seismological model, and puts forward constructive ideas.
After the seismological model passing its historical construeing, we have not made an end with understanding of a great variety and vast characteristic difference of earthquakes.Beginning with dialectical relations between “constructing” and “reconstructing”, based on the discussion of “static characteristics”? and “dynamic characteristics”, in the light of the long-term experience and theoretical development of seismology, the paper approaches the reconstructing of the seismological model from the following four aspects: 1. Form the “individual model” to the “colny model”; 2. The unified model-the multivariate model the new unified model; 3. From the “empirical model” to the “theoretical model”; 4. The multivariate model solution of same problem and the two main ways of the model reconstructing. Simultaneously, the paper also sums up the main problems existing in “constructing” and “reconstructing” of the seismological model, and puts forward constructive ideas.
引文
国家地震局科技监测司编，1990，地震学分析预报方法程式指南，地震出版社。郭增建陈鑫连主编，1986年，地震对策，地震出版社。美国地质调查局编，1990年，地震中期预报的观测和物理基础，地震出版社。［美］詹姆斯·格莱克著，1991，混饨学──一门新学科，社会科学文献出版社。
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