潮汐和地震对全球气候变化的影响
|
摘要
2004年12月26日印尼地震海啸后,全球低温冻害和暴雪灾害频繁发生。"潮汐调温说"和"深海巨震降温说"是一种合理的解释。根据"潮汐调温说"和"深海巨震降温说"理论,2005年全球气温将因为印尼地震海啸和强潮汐南北震荡而降低。美国国家航空航天局(NASA)的科学家认为,一个较弱的厄尔尼诺现象和人类排放的温室气体将使2005年成为人类有记载以来最热的一年。事实上,2005年的温度低于1998年。现在,西方科学家也承认了2005—2007年自然气候的变化抵消了全球气候变暖效应这一客观事实。
The damages of globe low-temperature and heavy snow have occurred frequently after Sumatra earthquake tsunami in Dec.26,2004.The "hypothesis of the oceanic earthquakes adjusting climate" which issued by Guo Zengjian and the "hypothesis of the tides adjusting climate" which issued by Charles D.Keeling are a reasonable explanation.According to these theories,the globe temperature in 2005 would be lower by reason of Sumatra earthquake tsunami and the strong tides north-south oscillation.Some scientists from NASA considered that a weak El Ni?o event and human-made greenhouse gases could make 2005 become the warmest year on record.In fact,the globe temperature in 2005 is lower than in 1998.Now western scientists also acknowledge the objective fact that the natural climatic changes offset globe warming effect from 2005 to 2007.
The damages of globe low-temperature and heavy snow have occurred frequently after Sumatra earthquake tsunami in Dec.26,2004.The "hypothesis of the oceanic earthquakes adjusting climate" which issued by Guo Zengjian and the "hypothesis of the tides adjusting climate" which issued by Charles D.Keeling are a reasonable explanation.According to these theories,the globe temperature in 2005 would be lower by reason of Sumatra earthquake tsunami and the strong tides north-south oscillation.Some scientists from NASA considered that a weak El Ni?o event and human-made greenhouse gases could make 2005 become the warmest year on record.In fact,the globe temperature in 2005 is lower than in 1998.Now western scientists also acknowledge the objective fact that the natural climatic changes offset globe warming effect from 2005 to 2007.
引文
[1]马宗晋,杜品仁.现今地壳运动问题[M].北京:地质出版社,1995,99-102.
[2]Charles D.Keeling and Timothy P.Whorf.The 1800-year Oceanic Tidal Cycle:A Possible Cause of Rapid ClimateChange[J].PNAS,2000,97(8):3814-3819.
[3]王华,李伯阳.黄河上游将转入新的丰水期15年的枯水期将结束[EB/OL].(2005-10-22)[2005-10-22]http://news.tom.com/1988/20051022-2577210.html.
[4]蓝永超,丁永建,康尔泗,等.黄河上游径流长期变化及趋势预测模型[J].冰川冻土.2003,25(3):321-326.
[5]郭增建,秦保燕,郭安宁.地气耦合与天灾预测[M].北京:地震出版社,1996:165-188,116-117,135-138,198.
[6]杨学祥.全球变暖、构造运动与沙漠化[J].地壳形变与地震,2001,21(1):15-23.
[7]杨学祥,陈殿友,李守春.干旱、地震与月球赤纬角变化[J].西北地震学报,1999,21(1):44-47.
[8]杨冬红,杨学祥,刘财.2004年12月26日印尼地震海啸与全球低温[J].地球物理学进展,2006,21(3):1023-1027.
[9]李宪之.亚太地区1991年春夏两季自然灾害的探讨[J].北京大学学报:自然科学版,1994,30(3):355-360.
[10]杨学祥.2001年发生厄尔尼诺事件的天文条件[J].地球物理学报,2002,45(增刊):56-61.
[11]李家林,张元东.特殊天象组合期与地震发震关系的检验及应用[J].地震,1993,(3):32-37.
[12]杜品仁.18.6a地震轮回及其成因初探[J].地球物理学报,1994,37(3):362-369.
[13]胡辉,赵洪声,和宏伟.日月影响与云南未来地震趋势研究[J].云南天文台台刊,2003,(4):49-55.
[14]Elizabeth S.Cochran,John E.Vidale,Sachiko Tanaka.Earth Tides Can Trigger Shallow Thrust FaultEarthquakes[J].Science,2004,306:1164-1166.
[15]杨学祥,韩延本,陈震,等.强潮汐激发地震火山活动的新证据[J].地球物理学报,2004,47(4):616-621.
[16]杨学祥,杨冬红.气候变化舞台上的中国声音[EB/OL].(2007-4-15)[2007-4-15]http://guancha.gmw.cn/show.aspx?id=4478.
[17]张家诚,李文范.地学基本数据手册[M].北京:海洋出版社,1986.186-188.
[18]郭增建.海洋中和海洋边缘的巨震是调节气候的恒温器之一[J].西北地震学报,2002,24(3):287.
[19]杨冬红,杨学祥.海洋中和海洋边缘巨震是调节气候恒温器理论的检验[J].西北地震学报.2005,27(1):96.
[20]Doug M.Smith,Stephen Cusack,Andrew W.Colman,etal.Reports:Improved Surface Temperature Prediction forthe Coming Decade from a Global Climate Model[J].Science,2007,317:796-799.
[21]Yang Donghong,Wang Ye,Yang Xuexiang.The Spherical Pattern of Tide-isostasy Model and its Application[J].J.Geosci.Res.NE Asia,2004,7(2):188-195.
[22]杨学祥.地球流体的差异旋转与气候变化[J].自然杂志,2002,24(2):87-91.
[23]杨学祥,陈殿友.构造形变、气象灾害与地球轨道的关系[J].地壳形变与地震.2000,20(3):39-48.
[24]高庆华,胡景江,徐炳川,等.地壳运动问题[M].北京:地质出版社,1996:131,135,148.
[25]曲维政,邓声贵,黄菲,等.深海温度变化对太阳活动的响应[J].第四纪研究,2004,(3):285-292.
[26]曲维政,邓声贵,黄菲,等.太阳磁场磁性指数异常变化对南北半球中纬度气候的影响[J].地球物理学报,2004,(3):398-404.
[27]杨冬红,杨学祥.流感世界大流行的气候特征[J].沙漠与绿洲气象,2007,(3):1-8.
[28]法新社:自然力近年抑制了全球变暖[EB/OL].[2007-08-13]http://news3.xinhuanet.com/world/2007-08/13/content_6520851.htm.
[29]李洁,世界气象组织:05年是有记录以来第二个最热年份[EB/OL].[2005-12-16]http://env.people.com.cn/GB/1074/3949327.html.
[30]解西伟.有气象记录以来今年排第六热[EB/OL].半岛都市报,2006-12-16.[2006-12-16]http://bddsb.dzwww.com/gjxw/200612/t20061216_1922300.htm.
[2]Charles D.Keeling and Timothy P.Whorf.The 1800-year Oceanic Tidal Cycle:A Possible Cause of Rapid ClimateChange[J].PNAS,2000,97(8):3814-3819.
[3]王华,李伯阳.黄河上游将转入新的丰水期15年的枯水期将结束[EB/OL].(2005-10-22)[2005-10-22]http://news.tom.com/1988/20051022-2577210.html.
[4]蓝永超,丁永建,康尔泗,等.黄河上游径流长期变化及趋势预测模型[J].冰川冻土.2003,25(3):321-326.
[5]郭增建,秦保燕,郭安宁.地气耦合与天灾预测[M].北京:地震出版社,1996:165-188,116-117,135-138,198.
[6]杨学祥.全球变暖、构造运动与沙漠化[J].地壳形变与地震,2001,21(1):15-23.
[7]杨学祥,陈殿友,李守春.干旱、地震与月球赤纬角变化[J].西北地震学报,1999,21(1):44-47.
[8]杨冬红,杨学祥,刘财.2004年12月26日印尼地震海啸与全球低温[J].地球物理学进展,2006,21(3):1023-1027.
[9]李宪之.亚太地区1991年春夏两季自然灾害的探讨[J].北京大学学报:自然科学版,1994,30(3):355-360.
[10]杨学祥.2001年发生厄尔尼诺事件的天文条件[J].地球物理学报,2002,45(增刊):56-61.
[11]李家林,张元东.特殊天象组合期与地震发震关系的检验及应用[J].地震,1993,(3):32-37.
[12]杜品仁.18.6a地震轮回及其成因初探[J].地球物理学报,1994,37(3):362-369.
[13]胡辉,赵洪声,和宏伟.日月影响与云南未来地震趋势研究[J].云南天文台台刊,2003,(4):49-55.
[14]Elizabeth S.Cochran,John E.Vidale,Sachiko Tanaka.Earth Tides Can Trigger Shallow Thrust FaultEarthquakes[J].Science,2004,306:1164-1166.
[15]杨学祥,韩延本,陈震,等.强潮汐激发地震火山活动的新证据[J].地球物理学报,2004,47(4):616-621.
[16]杨学祥,杨冬红.气候变化舞台上的中国声音[EB/OL].(2007-4-15)[2007-4-15]http://guancha.gmw.cn/show.aspx?id=4478.
[17]张家诚,李文范.地学基本数据手册[M].北京:海洋出版社,1986.186-188.
[18]郭增建.海洋中和海洋边缘的巨震是调节气候的恒温器之一[J].西北地震学报,2002,24(3):287.
[19]杨冬红,杨学祥.海洋中和海洋边缘巨震是调节气候恒温器理论的检验[J].西北地震学报.2005,27(1):96.
[20]Doug M.Smith,Stephen Cusack,Andrew W.Colman,etal.Reports:Improved Surface Temperature Prediction forthe Coming Decade from a Global Climate Model[J].Science,2007,317:796-799.
[21]Yang Donghong,Wang Ye,Yang Xuexiang.The Spherical Pattern of Tide-isostasy Model and its Application[J].J.Geosci.Res.NE Asia,2004,7(2):188-195.
[22]杨学祥.地球流体的差异旋转与气候变化[J].自然杂志,2002,24(2):87-91.
[23]杨学祥,陈殿友.构造形变、气象灾害与地球轨道的关系[J].地壳形变与地震.2000,20(3):39-48.
[24]高庆华,胡景江,徐炳川,等.地壳运动问题[M].北京:地质出版社,1996:131,135,148.
[25]曲维政,邓声贵,黄菲,等.深海温度变化对太阳活动的响应[J].第四纪研究,2004,(3):285-292.
[26]曲维政,邓声贵,黄菲,等.太阳磁场磁性指数异常变化对南北半球中纬度气候的影响[J].地球物理学报,2004,(3):398-404.
[27]杨冬红,杨学祥.流感世界大流行的气候特征[J].沙漠与绿洲气象,2007,(3):1-8.
[28]法新社:自然力近年抑制了全球变暖[EB/OL].[2007-08-13]http://news3.xinhuanet.com/world/2007-08/13/content_6520851.htm.
[29]李洁,世界气象组织:05年是有记录以来第二个最热年份[EB/OL].[2005-12-16]http://env.people.com.cn/GB/1074/3949327.html.
[30]解西伟.有气象记录以来今年排第六热[EB/OL].半岛都市报,2006-12-16.[2006-12-16]http://bddsb.dzwww.com/gjxw/200612/t20061216_1922300.htm.
版权所有：© 2023 中国地质图书馆 中国地质调查局地学文献中心