摘要
<正>在民间传说中,"银弹"是杀死狼人和女巫的有效武器。在地震预测中,"银弹"就是"具有诊断价值的前兆",即地震前观测到的以高概率表明即将来临地震事件的时间、地点和震级的信号[1]。Crampin[2]在其述评中声称,剪切波分裂(SWS)观测提供了一枚"银弹"。由此,他断言地震学能够将地震预
引文
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[11]Jordan T H,Chen Y-T,Gasparini P,et al.Operational Earthquake Forecasting:State of Knowledgeand Guidelines for I mplementation.Findings and Recommendations of the International Commission onEarthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection,released by the Diparti mento della Protezione Civile,Rome,Italy,2 October 2009
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