基于整体风险分析法地震荷载作用下隧道的易损性评估
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摘要
运用整体风险分析法对隧道工程在地震荷载作用下的易损性进行评估。首先通过层次分析法进行隧道易损性因子筛选,然后运用概率统计方法进行处理,计算出地震荷载作用下易损性的权重组合值,从而绘出隧道的风险评估图,最后使用地震实例中收集到的隧道震害资料对该模型进行验证。研究表明,运用整体风险分析法评估复杂、多变的隧道易损性问题是完全可行的。
Assessment is made on the vulnerability of the tunnels to the earthquake loads based on the holistic risk analysis approach.In the paper,a risk assessment model is firstly established by using the analytical hierarchy process as a screening tool and then process is made by means of probability statistics method so as to obtain the comprehensive weight values of the vulnerability of the tunnels to the earthquake loads and achieve the risk assessment diagram of the tunnels.A preliminary verification of the proposed model is conducted by comparing the prediction results with the data collected in the earthquake cases.The study indicates that it is completely feasible to use the holistic risk analysis approach to assess the complex and variable issue of the vulnerability of the tunnels.
Assessment is made on the vulnerability of the tunnels to the earthquake loads based on the holistic risk analysis approach.In the paper,a risk assessment model is firstly established by using the analytical hierarchy process as a screening tool and then process is made by means of probability statistics method so as to obtain the comprehensive weight values of the vulnerability of the tunnels to the earthquake loads and achieve the risk assessment diagram of the tunnels.A preliminary verification of the proposed model is conducted by comparing the prediction results with the data collected in the earthquake cases.The study indicates that it is completely feasible to use the holistic risk analysis approach to assess the complex and variable issue of the vulnerability of the tunnels.
引文
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[3]杨林德,王国波,郑永来,等.地铁车站结构振动台试验及地震响应的三维数值模拟[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2007,26(8):1538-1545.
[4]王文礼,苏灼谨,林峻弘,等.台湾集集大地震山岳隧道受损情形之探讨[J].现代隧道技术,2001,38(2):52-60.
[5]董新平.南京长江沉管隧道竖向地震反应分析[J].隧道建设,1999,19(3):26-31.
[6]叶国强,金先龙.计算机三维数值仿真技术在上海隧道工程地震安全评估中的应用[J].中国市政工程,2005(6):46-49.
[7]刘翔,伍文.R=P×C法在隧道工程地震风险分析中的应用[J].山西建筑,2007,33(9):300-301.
[8]严松宏,高峰,李德武,等.南京长江沉管隧道的地震安全性评价[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2003,22(增2):2800-2803.
[9]ALLOUCHE E N,BOWMAN A L.Holistic Approach forAssessing the Vulnerability of Buried Pipelines to Earth-quake Loads[J].Natural Hazards Review,2006,7(1):12-18.
[10]王莲芳,许树柏.层次分析法引论[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,1990:42-148.
[11]郑永来,杨林德.地下结构震害与抗震对策[J].工程抗震,1999(4):23-28.
[12]汤爱平,欧进萍.城镇埋地管网震害特征与破坏机理[J].地震工程与工程振动,2002,22(4):120-126.
[13]林均岐,胡明祎,申选召.跨越断层埋地管线地震反应数值分析[J].地震工程与工程振动,2006,26(3):186-192.
[14]潘建杰,王步云.双层隧道地震反应分析[J].工程设计与建设,2005,37(5):17-20.
[15]刘晶波,李彬.地铁地下结构抗震分析及设计中的几个关键问题[J].土木工程学报,2006,39(6):106-110.
[16]李育枢.山岭隧道地震动力响应及减震措施研究[D].上海:同济大学,2006.
[17]秦天.盾构隧道地震响应及动力可靠度分析[D].上海:同济大学,2007.
[18]SAATY T L.The Analytic Hierarchy Process[M].NewYork:Mc Gtaw Hill,1980:30-75.
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