中美贸易摩擦背景下中国樱桃进口潜力分析

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英文篇名：Import Potential of China's Cherries under the Background of Sino-US Trade Friction 作者：彭世广 英文作者：Peng Shiguang;College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Agricultural University; 关键词：樱桃 ; 贸易 ; 需求缺口 ; 进口潜力 ; 中美贸易摩擦 英文关键词：cherry;;trade;;demand gap;;import potential;;China-US trade friction 中文刊名：农业展望 英文刊名：Agricultural Outlook 机构：南京农业大学经济管理学院; 出版日期：2019-05-28 出版单位：农业展望 年：2019 期：05 基金：农业农村资源监测统计项目 语种：中文; 页：99-103 页数：5 CN：11-5343/S ISSN：1673-3908 分类号：F323.7;F752.61

摘要

基于2001—2017年全球樱桃产量及贸易数据,分析了全球樱桃种植的生产区域分布、产量以及贸易结构,研究了中国樱桃市场生产和消费状况以及进口形势。在此基础之上,对中美贸易摩擦背景下中国樱桃进口潜力开展了分析,得出在当前樱桃生产和贸易结构下,中国樱桃进口可能的数量缺口为0.9万t,能够从美国以外的其他国家进口樱桃的最大量为0.24万t,能够弥补樱桃缺口的26.7%;其余的0.66万t需要采用其他方式予以解决。最后,对未来中国樱桃进口市场形势进行了展望,并提出了从根本上解决中国樱桃需求危机的主要途径。
        Based on the data of global cherry yield and trade from 2001 to 2017, the regional distribution of global cherry planting, yield and trade structure were analyzed, and the production and consumption status quo and import situation of China's cherry market were also studied. Based on these, under the background of the Sino-US trade friction, the import potential of cherries in China was studied, and it was concluded that under the current structure of cherry production and trade, the gap of cherry import in China might be 9 thousand tons, and the biggest increment from other countries outside the United States would be 2.4 thousand tons, which could make up the 26.7% gap, and import of the rest 6.6 thousand tons still needed to be solved in other ways. Finally,the import situation of China's cherry in the future was forecasted, and the main ways to solve the crisis of China's cherry demand were proposed.

引文

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