国家级海洋生态文明建设示范区建设水平评价
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摘要
为进一步提高我国海洋生态文明建设水平,促进海洋经济社会可持续发展,文章构建评价指标体系,基于BP神经网络模型,评价我国国家级海洋生态文明建设示范区的建设水平。研究结果表明:根据海洋生态文明建设研究框架以及定性指标和定量指标相结合等4项原则,从海洋经济运行、海洋资源禀赋、海洋生态环境、海洋管理制度和海洋文化科技5个层面,选取人均GDP等32项指标,构建示范区建设水平评价指标体系;利用BP神经网络强大的非线性映射能力、容错能力和联想记忆能力,对示范区建设水平进行评价,经模拟运算和检验,评价结果具有准确性和客观性;根据最终评价值,我国示范区建设总体处于中等水平,各示范区建设水平存在差异,其中青岛市等4地为高水平示范区,烟台市等4地为较高水平示范区,惠州市等7地为中等水平示范区,东台市等4地为较低水平示范区,盘锦市等2地为低水平示范区;各示范区应进一步加强优势和弥补不足,充分发挥引领作用,提高我国海洋生态文明建设整体水平。
In order to further improve the level of marine ecological civilization construction in China and promote the sustainable development of marine economy and society,this paper constructed an evaluation index system and evaluated the construction level of China′s national marine ecological civilization construction demonstration zone based on BP neural network model.The research indicated that the framework based on marine ecological civilization construction and 4 principles including the combination of qualitative indicators and quantitative indicators,32 items including per capita GDP were selected from 5 aspects:marine economic operation,marine resource endowment,marine ecological environment,marine management system and marine culture and science,a demonstration system for the construction level of demonstration areas was built.By using BP neural network′s powerful nonlinear mapping ability,fault tolerance and associative memory ability,the construction level of the demonstration area was evaluated.Through simulation and testing,the evaluation results were accurate and objective.According to the final evaluation value,the construction of China′s marine ecological civilization demonstration zone is generally at a medium level,there are differences in the construction level of each demonstration area.Among them,Qingdao city and other 3 places are high-level demonstration areas.Yantai city and other 3 places are higher level demonstration areas,Huizhou city and other 6 places are medium-level demonstration areas,Dongtai city and other 3 places are lower level demonstration areas,Panjin city and other 1 places are low-level demonstration areas.The demonstration areas should further strengthen advantages and make up for the shortcomings,give full play to the leading role,and improve the overall level of China′s marine ecological civilization construction.
In order to further improve the level of marine ecological civilization construction in China and promote the sustainable development of marine economy and society,this paper constructed an evaluation index system and evaluated the construction level of China′s national marine ecological civilization construction demonstration zone based on BP neural network model.The research indicated that the framework based on marine ecological civilization construction and 4 principles including the combination of qualitative indicators and quantitative indicators,32 items including per capita GDP were selected from 5 aspects:marine economic operation,marine resource endowment,marine ecological environment,marine management system and marine culture and science,a demonstration system for the construction level of demonstration areas was built.By using BP neural network′s powerful nonlinear mapping ability,fault tolerance and associative memory ability,the construction level of the demonstration area was evaluated.Through simulation and testing,the evaluation results were accurate and objective.According to the final evaluation value,the construction of China′s marine ecological civilization demonstration zone is generally at a medium level,there are differences in the construction level of each demonstration area.Among them,Qingdao city and other 3 places are high-level demonstration areas.Yantai city and other 3 places are higher level demonstration areas,Huizhou city and other 6 places are medium-level demonstration areas,Dongtai city and other 3 places are lower level demonstration areas,Panjin city and other 1 places are low-level demonstration areas.The demonstration areas should further strengthen advantages and make up for the shortcomings,give full play to the leading role,and improve the overall level of China′s marine ecological civilization construction.
引文
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[7]陈建华.对海洋生态文明建设的思考[J].海洋开发与管理,2009,26(4):40-42.
[8]孙倩,于大涛,鞠茂伟,等.海洋生态文明绩效评价指标体系构建[J].海洋开发与管理,2017,34(7):3-8.
[9]秦伟山,杨浩东,李晶娜,等.环渤海海洋生态文明城市建设的评价体系与水平测度[J].科技导报,2016,34(21):58-63.
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[11]周玲玲,鲍献文,余静,等.中国生态用海管理发展初探[J].中国海洋大学学报(社会科学版),2017(6):24-29.
[12]朱坚真,谭诗蔚.我国党的十八大以来海洋生态保护政策选择[J].科技管理研究,2016,36(23):38-42,48.
[13]龙仕旻.论海洋强国战略下的海洋生态文明建设[J].智能城市,2016,2(5):234-235.
[14]郑苗壮,刘岩.关于建立海洋生态文明制度体系的若干思考[J].环境与可持续发展,2016,41(5):76-80.
[15]陈凤桂,王金坑,方婧,等.海洋生态文明区评估方法与实证研究[J].海洋开发与管理,2017,34(6):33-39.
[16]盖美,赵丽玲.辽宁沿海经济带经济与海洋环境协调发展研究[J].资源科学,2012,34(9):1712-1725.
[17]于大涛,姜恒志,孙倩,等.海洋开发建设中的“多规合一”常见问题及对策措施[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(S2):154-157.
[18]边启明,申友利,陈旭阳,等.海洋生态文明示范区建设指标体系示范应用研究与思考:以广西北海市为例[J].海洋开发与管理,2017,34(7):9-12.
[19]郑冬梅.海洋生态文明建设:厦门的调查与思考[J].中共福建省委党校学报,2008(11):64-70.
[20]高瑜,刘红丹,王建庆,等.舟山嵊泗县建设海洋生态文明示范区的思考与建议[J].环境与可持续发展,2016,41(4):196-198.
[21]于大涛,王紫竹,高范,等.旅顺口区海洋生态文明示范区建设分析与思考[J].海洋开发与管理,2016,33(7):55-59.
[22]柯昶,刘琨,张继承.关于我国海洋开发的生态环境安全战略构想[J].中国软科学,2013(8):16-25.
[23]姚石,杨红娟.生态文明建设的关键因素识别[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(4):119-127.
[24]王从彦,潘法强,唐明觉,等.浅析生态文明建设指标体系选择:以镇江市为例[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(S3):149-153.
[25]黄松,李燕林,戴平娟.智慧旅游城市旅游竞争力评价[J].地理学报,2017,72(2):242-255.
[26]MCCLELLAND J L,RUMELHART D E.Psychological and biological models[M].Cambridge:The MIT Press,1987.
[27]ZHANG G Y,HU Z.Improved BP neural network model and its stability analysis[J].Journal of Central South University(Science and Technology),2011,42(1):115-124.
[2]曹英志.海洋生态文明示范创建问题分析与政策建议[J].生态经济,2016,32(1):207-211.
[3]胡婷莛,秦艳英,陈秋明.海洋生态文明视角下的厦门海岸带综合管理初探[J].环境科学与管理,2009,34(8):5-8.
[4]QIN W,ZHANG Y.Evolution of industrial structure and evaluation of the economic competitiveness of island counties in China[J].Journal of Resources and Ecology,2012,5(1):74-81.
[5]秦伟山,张义丰,李世泰.中国东部沿海城市旅游发展的时空演变[J].地理研究,2014,33(10):1956-1965.
[6]孙剑锋,秦伟山,孙海燕,等.中国沿海城市海洋生态文明建设评价体系与水平测度[J].经济地理,2018,38(8):19-28.
[7]陈建华.对海洋生态文明建设的思考[J].海洋开发与管理,2009,26(4):40-42.
[8]孙倩,于大涛,鞠茂伟,等.海洋生态文明绩效评价指标体系构建[J].海洋开发与管理,2017,34(7):3-8.
[9]秦伟山,杨浩东,李晶娜,等.环渤海海洋生态文明城市建设的评价体系与水平测度[J].科技导报,2016,34(21):58-63.
[10]张一.海洋生态文明示范区建设:内涵、问题及优化路径[J].中国海洋大学学报(社会科学版),2016(4):66-71.
[11]周玲玲,鲍献文,余静,等.中国生态用海管理发展初探[J].中国海洋大学学报(社会科学版),2017(6):24-29.
[12]朱坚真,谭诗蔚.我国党的十八大以来海洋生态保护政策选择[J].科技管理研究,2016,36(23):38-42,48.
[13]龙仕旻.论海洋强国战略下的海洋生态文明建设[J].智能城市,2016,2(5):234-235.
[14]郑苗壮,刘岩.关于建立海洋生态文明制度体系的若干思考[J].环境与可持续发展,2016,41(5):76-80.
[15]陈凤桂,王金坑,方婧,等.海洋生态文明区评估方法与实证研究[J].海洋开发与管理,2017,34(6):33-39.
[16]盖美,赵丽玲.辽宁沿海经济带经济与海洋环境协调发展研究[J].资源科学,2012,34(9):1712-1725.
[17]于大涛,姜恒志,孙倩,等.海洋开发建设中的“多规合一”常见问题及对策措施[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(S2):154-157.
[18]边启明,申友利,陈旭阳,等.海洋生态文明示范区建设指标体系示范应用研究与思考:以广西北海市为例[J].海洋开发与管理,2017,34(7):9-12.
[19]郑冬梅.海洋生态文明建设:厦门的调查与思考[J].中共福建省委党校学报,2008(11):64-70.
[20]高瑜,刘红丹,王建庆,等.舟山嵊泗县建设海洋生态文明示范区的思考与建议[J].环境与可持续发展,2016,41(4):196-198.
[21]于大涛,王紫竹,高范,等.旅顺口区海洋生态文明示范区建设分析与思考[J].海洋开发与管理,2016,33(7):55-59.
[22]柯昶,刘琨,张继承.关于我国海洋开发的生态环境安全战略构想[J].中国软科学,2013(8):16-25.
[23]姚石,杨红娟.生态文明建设的关键因素识别[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(4):119-127.
[24]王从彦,潘法强,唐明觉,等.浅析生态文明建设指标体系选择:以镇江市为例[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(S3):149-153.
[25]黄松,李燕林,戴平娟.智慧旅游城市旅游竞争力评价[J].地理学报,2017,72(2):242-255.
[26]MCCLELLAND J L,RUMELHART D E.Psychological and biological models[M].Cambridge:The MIT Press,1987.
[27]ZHANG G Y,HU Z.Improved BP neural network model and its stability analysis[J].Journal of Central South University(Science and Technology),2011,42(1):115-124.
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