公众对黑河流域生态系统服务消费偏好及支付意愿研究——基于选择实验法的实证分析
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摘要
运用选择实验法研究了黑河流域居民对流域生态系统服务的消费偏好及其支付意愿,并结合Mixed logit模型和潜类别模型分别从连续和离散的视角对消费者偏好的异质性进行了检验和实证研究。研究发现:①黑河流域居民对流域生态系统服务的改善存在显著的异质性偏好,且流域居民从流域水质改善中能获得最大的效用,生态导向型消费者对平均扬沙天气情况改善存在显著偏好,娱乐享受型消费者对流域休闲娱乐条件改善存在显著的偏好。②黑河流域居民对河流水质、东居延海水面面积和休闲娱乐条件改善3个属性指标具有显著的支付意愿,且对河流水质改善的支付意愿最大,为133.91元/(a·户)。③黑河流域居民愿意为流域生态系统服务改善的整体支付意愿为473.16元/(a·户)。
Using choice experiments, this article did research on public preference and willingness to pay for the Hei River basin ecosystem service, and did empirical analysis on consumers' preference heterogeneity on both continuous and discrete view with Mixed logit model and latent class model. The results show that: 1)Residents in the Heihe River Basin have significant heterogeneous preference on watershed ecosystem service improvements, and residents achieve most utility from water quality improvements. Eco-oriented consumers have significant preference on average sand blowing weather, and entertainment consumers have significant preference on watershed leisure and entertainment condition improvements. 2) Residents in the Heihe River Basin are willing to pay for water quality, east extension sea area, and leisure and entertainment condition improvements, and the largest willingness to pay goes to water quality improvements[133.91 yuan/(year · household)]. 3) Residents in the Heihe River Basin are willing to pay 473.16 yuan/(year · household)for the watershed ecosystem service improvements.
Using choice experiments, this article did research on public preference and willingness to pay for the Hei River basin ecosystem service, and did empirical analysis on consumers' preference heterogeneity on both continuous and discrete view with Mixed logit model and latent class model. The results show that: 1)Residents in the Heihe River Basin have significant heterogeneous preference on watershed ecosystem service improvements, and residents achieve most utility from water quality improvements. Eco-oriented consumers have significant preference on average sand blowing weather, and entertainment consumers have significant preference on watershed leisure and entertainment condition improvements. 2) Residents in the Heihe River Basin are willing to pay for water quality, east extension sea area, and leisure and entertainment condition improvements, and the largest willingness to pay goes to water quality improvements[133.91 yuan/(year · household)]. 3) Residents in the Heihe River Basin are willing to pay 473.16 yuan/(year · household)for the watershed ecosystem service improvements.
引文
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[3]宋先松,石培基,毛笑文.黑河流域生态用水与产业发展研究--以张掖市为例[J].干旱区研究,2004,21(4):323-326.[Song Xiansong,Shi Peiji,Mao Xiaowen.Study on the industrial regulation under the province of water consumption for the ecology in the Hei river watershed:A case study in Zhangye city,Gansu province.Arid Zone Research,2004,21(4):323-326.]
[4]刘海,殷杰,林苗,等.基于GIS的鄱阳湖流域生态系统服务价值结构变化研究[J].生态学报,2017,37(8):2575-2587.[Liu Hai,Yin Jie,Lin Miao et al.Sustainable development evaluation of the Poyang Lake Basin based on ecological service value and structure analysis.Acta Ecologica Sinica,2017,37(8):2575-2587.]
[5]谢高地,鲁春霞,冷允法,等.青藏高原生态资产的价值评估[J].自然资源学报,2003,18(2):189-196.[Xie Gaodi,Lu Chunxia,Leng Yunfa et al.Ecological assets valuation of the Tibet Plateau.Journal of Natural Resources,2003,18(2):189-196.]
[6]王原,陆林,赵丽侠.1976-2007年纳木错流域生态系统服务价值动态变化[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(11):154-159.[Wang Yuan,Lu Lin,Zhao Lixia.Dynamics of ecosystem services value of Namtso Basin in 1976-2007.China Population,Resources and Environment,2014,24(11):154-159.]
[7]闫人华,高俊峰,黄琪,等.太湖流域圩区水生态系统服务功能价值[J].生态学报,2015,35(15):5197-5206.[Yan Renhua,Gao Junfeng,Huang Qi et al.The assessment of aquatic ecosystem services for polder in Taihu Basin.Acta Ecologica Sinica,2015,35(15):5197-5206.]
[8]Burton M,Marsh S,Patterson J.Community attitudes towards water management in the Moore Catchment,Western Australia[J].Agricultural Systems,2007,92(1):157-178.
[9]史恒通,赵敏娟.基于选择试验模型的生态系统服务支付意愿差异及全价值评估-以渭河流域为例[J].资源科学,2015,37(2):351-359.[Shi Hengtong,Zhao Minjuan.Willingness to pay differences across ecosystem servicesand total economic valuation based onchoice experiments approach.Resources Science,2015,37(2):351-359.]
[10]Hanley N,Wright R E,Begona A F.Estimating the economic value of improvements in river ecology using choice experiments:An application to the water framework directive[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2006,78:183-193.
[11]Brouwer R,Martin-Ortega J,Berbel J.Spatial preference heterogeneity:A choice experiment[J].Land Economics,2010,86(3):552-568.
[12]史恒通,赵敏娟.生态系统服务功能偏好异质性研究--基于渭河流域水资源支付意愿的分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2016,30(8):36-40.[Shi Hengtong,Zhao Minjuan.Preference heterogeneity of ecosystem service function:A case study for environmental improvements of Wei River Basin.Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2016,30(8):36-40.]
[13]杨欣,Michael Burton,张安录.基于潜在分类模型的农田生态补偿标准研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(7):27-36.[Yang Xin,Michael Burton,Zhang Anlu.Estimation of farmland eco-compensation criteria nased on latent class model:Acase of a discrete choice experiment.China Population,Recourses and Environment,2016,26(7):27-36.]
[14]Kosenius A K.Heterogeneous preferences for water quality attributes:The case of eutrophication in the gulf of Finland,the Baltic Sea[J].Ecological Economics,2010,69:528-538.
[15]Hensher D A,Rose J M,Greene W H.Applied choice analysis,1sted[M].Cambridge:Cambridge Univrsity Press,2005.
[16]Freeman A M.The measurement of environmental and resource values:Theory and methods[M].Washington D C:Resource for the future,2003.
[17]TEEB.The economics of ecosystems and biodiversity for local and regional policy makers[M].London:Pushpam Kumar.Earthscan,2010.
[18]Alpizar F,Carlsson F,Martinsson P.Using choice experiments fornon-market valuation[J].Economic Issues,2003,8(1):83-110.
[19]Lancaster K J.A new approach to consumer theory[J].The Journal of Political Economy,1966,74(1):132-157.
[20]Daniel L.Mcfadden.Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice analysis[J].Frontiers in Econometrics,1974.
[21]Ben-Akiva M E,Lerman S R.Discrete choice analysis:Theory and application to predict travel demand[J].Journal of the Operational Research Society,1987(4):370-371.
[22]David Hoyos.The state of the art of environmental valuation with discrete choice experiments[J].Ecological Economics,2010,69:1595-1630.
[23]De Groot R,VAN DER PERK J,CHIESURA Ae't et al.Ecological functions and socioeconomic values of critical natural capital as a measure for ecological integrity and environmental health[M].Netherlands:Springer,2000:191-214.
[24]Boxall P C,Adomowicz W L.Understanding heterogeneous preference in random utility models:A latent class approach[J].Environmental and Resource Economics,2002,23(4):421-446.
[25]翟国梁,张世秋,Kontoleon Andreas,等.选择实验的理论和应用--以中国退耕还林为例[J].北京大学学报(自然科学版),2007,43(2):235-239.[Zhai Guoliang,Zhang Shiqiu,Kontoleon Andreas et al.Theory and practice of choice experiment:A case study on China’ssloping land conversion program.Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis,2007,43(2):235-239.]
[26]金建君,江冲.选择试验模型法在耕地资源保护中的应用--以浙江省温岭市为例[J].自然资源学报,2011,26(10):1750-1757.[Jin Jianjun,Jiang Chong.Choice experiment method and its application to cultivated landprotection-A case Study in Wenling city of Zhejiang province.Journal of Natural Resources,2011,26(10):1750-1757.]
(1)黄河勘测规划设计有限公司.黑河流域综合规划环境影响报告
[2]史恒通.渭河流域粮食作物虚拟水贸易研究--基于非市场价值的视角[D].杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2016.[Shi Hengtong.Virtual water trade of crops in the Wei River Basin:Based on the view of non-market value.Yangling:Northwest Agricultural and Forestry University,2016.]
[3]宋先松,石培基,毛笑文.黑河流域生态用水与产业发展研究--以张掖市为例[J].干旱区研究,2004,21(4):323-326.[Song Xiansong,Shi Peiji,Mao Xiaowen.Study on the industrial regulation under the province of water consumption for the ecology in the Hei river watershed:A case study in Zhangye city,Gansu province.Arid Zone Research,2004,21(4):323-326.]
[4]刘海,殷杰,林苗,等.基于GIS的鄱阳湖流域生态系统服务价值结构变化研究[J].生态学报,2017,37(8):2575-2587.[Liu Hai,Yin Jie,Lin Miao et al.Sustainable development evaluation of the Poyang Lake Basin based on ecological service value and structure analysis.Acta Ecologica Sinica,2017,37(8):2575-2587.]
[5]谢高地,鲁春霞,冷允法,等.青藏高原生态资产的价值评估[J].自然资源学报,2003,18(2):189-196.[Xie Gaodi,Lu Chunxia,Leng Yunfa et al.Ecological assets valuation of the Tibet Plateau.Journal of Natural Resources,2003,18(2):189-196.]
[6]王原,陆林,赵丽侠.1976-2007年纳木错流域生态系统服务价值动态变化[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(11):154-159.[Wang Yuan,Lu Lin,Zhao Lixia.Dynamics of ecosystem services value of Namtso Basin in 1976-2007.China Population,Resources and Environment,2014,24(11):154-159.]
[7]闫人华,高俊峰,黄琪,等.太湖流域圩区水生态系统服务功能价值[J].生态学报,2015,35(15):5197-5206.[Yan Renhua,Gao Junfeng,Huang Qi et al.The assessment of aquatic ecosystem services for polder in Taihu Basin.Acta Ecologica Sinica,2015,35(15):5197-5206.]
[8]Burton M,Marsh S,Patterson J.Community attitudes towards water management in the Moore Catchment,Western Australia[J].Agricultural Systems,2007,92(1):157-178.
[9]史恒通,赵敏娟.基于选择试验模型的生态系统服务支付意愿差异及全价值评估-以渭河流域为例[J].资源科学,2015,37(2):351-359.[Shi Hengtong,Zhao Minjuan.Willingness to pay differences across ecosystem servicesand total economic valuation based onchoice experiments approach.Resources Science,2015,37(2):351-359.]
[10]Hanley N,Wright R E,Begona A F.Estimating the economic value of improvements in river ecology using choice experiments:An application to the water framework directive[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2006,78:183-193.
[11]Brouwer R,Martin-Ortega J,Berbel J.Spatial preference heterogeneity:A choice experiment[J].Land Economics,2010,86(3):552-568.
[12]史恒通,赵敏娟.生态系统服务功能偏好异质性研究--基于渭河流域水资源支付意愿的分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2016,30(8):36-40.[Shi Hengtong,Zhao Minjuan.Preference heterogeneity of ecosystem service function:A case study for environmental improvements of Wei River Basin.Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2016,30(8):36-40.]
[13]杨欣,Michael Burton,张安录.基于潜在分类模型的农田生态补偿标准研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(7):27-36.[Yang Xin,Michael Burton,Zhang Anlu.Estimation of farmland eco-compensation criteria nased on latent class model:Acase of a discrete choice experiment.China Population,Recourses and Environment,2016,26(7):27-36.]
[14]Kosenius A K.Heterogeneous preferences for water quality attributes:The case of eutrophication in the gulf of Finland,the Baltic Sea[J].Ecological Economics,2010,69:528-538.
[15]Hensher D A,Rose J M,Greene W H.Applied choice analysis,1sted[M].Cambridge:Cambridge Univrsity Press,2005.
[16]Freeman A M.The measurement of environmental and resource values:Theory and methods[M].Washington D C:Resource for the future,2003.
[17]TEEB.The economics of ecosystems and biodiversity for local and regional policy makers[M].London:Pushpam Kumar.Earthscan,2010.
[18]Alpizar F,Carlsson F,Martinsson P.Using choice experiments fornon-market valuation[J].Economic Issues,2003,8(1):83-110.
[19]Lancaster K J.A new approach to consumer theory[J].The Journal of Political Economy,1966,74(1):132-157.
[20]Daniel L.Mcfadden.Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice analysis[J].Frontiers in Econometrics,1974.
[21]Ben-Akiva M E,Lerman S R.Discrete choice analysis:Theory and application to predict travel demand[J].Journal of the Operational Research Society,1987(4):370-371.
[22]David Hoyos.The state of the art of environmental valuation with discrete choice experiments[J].Ecological Economics,2010,69:1595-1630.
[23]De Groot R,VAN DER PERK J,CHIESURA Ae't et al.Ecological functions and socioeconomic values of critical natural capital as a measure for ecological integrity and environmental health[M].Netherlands:Springer,2000:191-214.
[24]Boxall P C,Adomowicz W L.Understanding heterogeneous preference in random utility models:A latent class approach[J].Environmental and Resource Economics,2002,23(4):421-446.
[25]翟国梁,张世秋,Kontoleon Andreas,等.选择实验的理论和应用--以中国退耕还林为例[J].北京大学学报(自然科学版),2007,43(2):235-239.[Zhai Guoliang,Zhang Shiqiu,Kontoleon Andreas et al.Theory and practice of choice experiment:A case study on China’ssloping land conversion program.Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis,2007,43(2):235-239.]
[26]金建君,江冲.选择试验模型法在耕地资源保护中的应用--以浙江省温岭市为例[J].自然资源学报,2011,26(10):1750-1757.[Jin Jianjun,Jiang Chong.Choice experiment method and its application to cultivated landprotection-A case Study in Wenling city of Zhejiang province.Journal of Natural Resources,2011,26(10):1750-1757.]
(1)黄河勘测规划设计有限公司.黑河流域综合规划环境影响报告
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