流域社会经济与水环境质量耦合协调度分析
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摘要
从经济发展、社会发展、环境保护等方面构建耦合协调评价指标体系,采用熵权法确定指标权重,利用力学平衡模型,对闽江流域各个地区2006～2016年耦合协调程度进行评估.结果表明:三明、南平、福州市的经济发展水平、社会发展水平、环境保护水平总体上均呈现逐年递增的趋势,在空间上大体表现为福州>三明>≈南平.三明、南平、福州等地区的耦合协调度总体上呈现递增趋势,在空间上表现为福州>三明≈南平.从时间变化看,可以将闽江流域耦合协调度划分成3个阶段:阶段Ⅰ (2006～2009年)、阶段Ⅱ (2009～2013年)、阶段Ⅲ (2013～2016年).根据闽江流域各地区耦合协调度偏离方向θ的大小,将闽江流域各地区不同年限的耦合协调发展划分为环境保护滞后型(Ⅰ象限)、经济发展滞后型(Ⅱ象限)、社会发展滞后型(Ⅲ象限),并对不同滞后类型分别提出改进方向.
An indicator system for coupling coordination assessment was constructed based on indices from three aspects: economic development, social development and environmental protection, with weights determined by applying a mechanical balance model based on the information entropy theory. We applied our indicator system to evaluate coupling coordination degree of the Min River basin over the period from 2006 to 2016. The results showed that: the level of economic development, social development and environmental protection in Sanming, Nanping and Fuzhou regions all have increased during this period. Spatially, Fuzhou achieved the greatest improvement, followed by Sanming, then Nanping. The same increasing trend has been found on the coupling coordination degree at all three regions. Spatially, the degree of improvement achieved in each region followed the order of Fuzhou,Sanming, and Nanping. According to the status of the coupling coordination, we divided the research period into three stages: stage Ⅰ(2006～2009), stage Ⅱ(2009～2013) and stage Ⅲ(2013～2016). Within each stage, we categorized the regional coupling coordination into three groups based on the deviation direction θ of the coupling coordination degree in each area of the Min River basin:lagging in environmental protection type(Ⅰ quadrant), lagging in economic development type(Ⅱ quadrant) and lagging in social development type(Ⅲ quadrant), and we also discussed the improvement suggestions for each type in this article.
An indicator system for coupling coordination assessment was constructed based on indices from three aspects: economic development, social development and environmental protection, with weights determined by applying a mechanical balance model based on the information entropy theory. We applied our indicator system to evaluate coupling coordination degree of the Min River basin over the period from 2006 to 2016. The results showed that: the level of economic development, social development and environmental protection in Sanming, Nanping and Fuzhou regions all have increased during this period. Spatially, Fuzhou achieved the greatest improvement, followed by Sanming, then Nanping. The same increasing trend has been found on the coupling coordination degree at all three regions. Spatially, the degree of improvement achieved in each region followed the order of Fuzhou,Sanming, and Nanping. According to the status of the coupling coordination, we divided the research period into three stages: stage Ⅰ(2006～2009), stage Ⅱ(2009～2013) and stage Ⅲ(2013～2016). Within each stage, we categorized the regional coupling coordination into three groups based on the deviation direction θ of the coupling coordination degree in each area of the Min River basin:lagging in environmental protection type(Ⅰ quadrant), lagging in economic development type(Ⅱ quadrant) and lagging in social development type(Ⅲ quadrant), and we also discussed the improvement suggestions for each type in this article.
引文
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[14]张姗姗,张落成,李刚,等.千岛湖流域水质变化与经济发展耦合协调性分析[J].湖泊科学,2014,26(6):948-954.Zhang S S,Zhang L C,Li G,et al.Coordination analysis between water quality and economic development in Lake Qiandao basin[J].Journal of Lake Sciences,2014,26(6):948-954.
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[17]陈能汪,王龙剑,林晖,等.九龙江流域经济发展与河流水质时空关联分析[J].生态与农村环境学报,2012,28(1):19-25.Chen N W,Wang L J,Lin H,et al.A spatio-temporal correlation analysis of water quality and economic growth in the Jiulong River basin[J].Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment,2012,28(1):19-25.
[18]Ren C F,Guo P,Li M,et al.An innovative method for water resources carrying capacity research-metabolic theory of regional water resources[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2016,167:139-146.
[19]项晓敏,金晓斌,杜心栋,等.基于“强度-潜力-难度”综合测度的中国农用地整治实施协调性分析[J].地理研究,2016,35(2):285-298.Xiang X M,Jin X B,Du X D,et al.The coordination of farmland consolidation implementation in China by comprehensive measure of"intensity,potential and difficulty"[J].Geographical Research,2016,35(2):285-298.
[20]叶士琳,曹有挥,蒋自然,等.基于力学平衡模型的长三角港口物流发展协调性研究[J].地理科学,2017,37(11):1624-1631.Ye S L,Cao Y H,Jiang Z R,et al.Coordination of port logistics development based on mechanical model:A case of the Yangtze River Delta Port System[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2017,37(11):1624-1631.
[21]游雪静,张玉珍,苏玉萍,等.闽江流域水体氨氮降解系数实验模拟研究[J].亚热带资源与环境学报,2014,9(1):61-67.You X J,Zhang Y Z,Su Y P,et al.A study on degradation coefficients of ammonia-nitrogen in Minjiang Basin[J].Journal of Subtropical Resources and Environment,2014,9(1):61-67.
[22]程学宁,汤云,卢毅敏.基于多元统计分析的闽江水质时空变化特征[J].水资源与水工程学报,2016,27(6):89-94.Cheng X N,Tang Y,Lu Y M.Spatial and temporal characteristics of water quality using multivariate statistical analysis in Min River[J].Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering,2016,27(6):89-94.
[23]张鹏,逄勇,石成春,等.闽江下游水质变化趋势分析[J].水资源保护,2018,34(1):64-69.Zhang P,Pang Y,Shi C C,et al.Analysis of change trend of water quality in Minjiang River downstream[J].Water Resources Protection,2018,34(1):64-69.
[24]饶清华,曾雨,张江山,等.闽江下游突发性水污染事故时空模拟[J].环境科学学报,2011,31(3):554-559.Rao Q H,Zeng Y,Zhang J S,et al.Time-space simulation for sudden water pollution accidents in the lower reaches of the Minjiang River[J].Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae,2011,31(3):554-559.
[25]李洋,陈卫锋,魏然,等.闽江福州段沉积物中重金属的分布特征及其毒性和生态风险评价[J].环境科学学报,2016,36(5):1792-1799.Li Y,Chen W F,Wei R,et al.Distribution characteristics,toxicity and risk assessment of heavy metals in sediments of Minjiang River in Fuzhou City[J].Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae,2016,36(5):1792-1799.
[26]黄幸然,吴旺旺,胡宝叶,等.闽江水体和生物体中六六六和滴滴涕污染特征和来源解析[J].生态环境学报,2016,25(3):482-488.Huang X R,Wu W W,Hu B Y,et al.Occurrence and source apportionment of HCHs and DDTs in water and organisms in Min River of Fujian,China[J].Ecology and Environment Sciences,2016,25(3):482-488.
[27]方红,陈秀玲,张雪琼,等.闽江福州段与城市内河表层沉积物重金属污染特征研究[J].环境科学学报,2016,36(4):1160-1168.Fang H,Chen X L,Zhang X Q,et al.Heavy metal pollution in the surface sediments from Minjiang River(Fuzhou Section)and urban rivers[J].Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae,2016,36(4):1160-1168.
[28]Xu Y H,Sun Q Q,Yi L,et al.The source of natural and anthropogenic heavy metals in the sediments of the Minjiang River Estuary(SEChina):implications for historical pollution[J].Science of the Total Environment,2014,493:729-736.
[29]Zeng F M,Yang D,Xing X L,et al.Evaluation of Bayesian approaches to identify DDT source contributions to soils in Southeast China[J].Chemosphere,2017,176:32-38.
[2]刘蔚,陈星,范云柱.基于自然-社会环境协调的椒江区水环境承载力研究[J].水电能源科学,2018,36(4):29-32.Liu W,Chen X,Fan Y Z.Study of water environment bearing capacity in Jiaojiang District based on natural and social environment coordination[J].Water Resources and Power,2018,36(4):29-32.
[3]刘臣辉,申雨桐,周明耀,等.水环境承载力约束下的城市经济规模量化研究[J].自然资源学报,2013,28(11):1903-1910.Liu C H,Shen Y T,Zhou M Y,et al.A quantitative study of urban economic scale constrained by water environmental carrying capacity[J].Journal of Natural Resource,2013,28(11):1903-1910.
[4]He Y H,Lin K R,Zhang F,et al.Coordination degree of the exploitation of water resources and its spatial differences in China[J].Science of the Total Environment,2018,644:1117-1127.
[5]王莉芳,陈春雪.城市水环境承载力与经济协调决策模型及应用[J].科技管理研究,2010,30(22):214-218.Wang L F,Chen C X.Decision model and its application of the development of water environment carrying capacity and economy coordination[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2010,30(22):214-218.
[6]崔丹,陈馨,曾维华.水环境承载力中长期预警研究-以昆明市为例[J].中国环境科学,2018,38(3):1174-1184.Cui D,Chen X,Zeng W H.Investigations on the medium-to-long term early warning of water environmental carrying capacity-A case study of Kunming City[J].China Environmental Science,2018,38(3):1174-1184.
[7]汪嘉杨,翟庆伟,郭倩,等.太湖流域水环境承载力评价研究[J].中国环境科学,2017,37(5):1979-1987.Wang J Y,Zhai Q W,Guo Q,et al.Study on water environmental carrying capacity evaluation in Taihu lake Basin[J].China Environmental Science,2017,37(5):1979-1987.
[8]潘安娥,陈丽.湖北省水资源利用与经济协调发展脱钩分析-基于水足迹视角[J].资源科学,2014,36(2):328-333.Pan A E,Chen L.Decoupling and water footprint analysis of the coordinated development between water utilization and the economy in Hubei[J].Resources Science,2014,36(2):328-333.
[9]李宁,张建清,王磊.基于水足迹法的长江中游城市群水资源利用与经济协调发展脱钩分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(11):202-208.Li N,Zhang J Q,Wang L.Decoupling and water footprint analysis of the coordinated development between water utilization and the economy in urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River[J].China Population Resources and Environment,2017,27(11):202-208.
[10]刘明胜,刘青山.基于水足迹视角下的水资源利用与经济协调发展脱钩分析-以贵州省为例[J].中国农村水利水电,2017,(8):86-91.Liu M S,Liu Q S.Decoupling analysis of water resources utilization and economic coordinated development based on water footprinttaking Guizhou Province as an example[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower,2017,(8):86-91.
[11]Tan F F,Bi J.An inquiry into water transfer network of the Yangtze River Economic Belt in China[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2018,176:288-297.
[12]耿润哲,殷培红,马茜.以环境质量改善为目标的贵安新区生态安全格局构建虚拟[J].中国环境科学,2018,38(5):1990-2000.Geng R Z,Yin P H,Ma Q.Simulation research for ecological security pattern construction based on improvement of water and air quality in Gui'an New Area[J].China Environmental Science,2018,38(5):1990-2000.
[13]王圣瑞,张蕊,过龙根,等.洞庭湖水生态风险防控技术体系研究[J].中国环境科学,2017,37(5):1896-1905.Wang S R,Zhang R,Guo L G,et al.Study on the water ecological risk prevention and control technology system of Dongting lake[J].China Environmental Science,2017,37(5):1896-1905.
[14]张姗姗,张落成,李刚,等.千岛湖流域水质变化与经济发展耦合协调性分析[J].湖泊科学,2014,26(6):948-954.Zhang S S,Zhang L C,Li G,et al.Coordination analysis between water quality and economic development in Lake Qiandao basin[J].Journal of Lake Sciences,2014,26(6):948-954.
[15]揣小伟,黄贤金,王婉晶,等.社会经济与水环境质量协调发展研究[J].生态经济,2012,(7):57-61.Chuai X W,Huang X J,Wang W J,et al.The study of the harmonious development between socio-economic and water environmental quality[J].Ecological Economy,2012,(7):57-61.
[16]杨丽花,佟连军.吉林省松花江流域经济发展与水环境质量的动态耦合及空间格局[J].应用生态学报,2013,24(2):503-510.Yang L H,Tong L J.Dynamic coupling and spatial disparity of economic development and water environmental quality in Songhua River Basin of Jilin Province,Northeast China[J].Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2013,24(2):503-510.
[17]陈能汪,王龙剑,林晖,等.九龙江流域经济发展与河流水质时空关联分析[J].生态与农村环境学报,2012,28(1):19-25.Chen N W,Wang L J,Lin H,et al.A spatio-temporal correlation analysis of water quality and economic growth in the Jiulong River basin[J].Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment,2012,28(1):19-25.
[18]Ren C F,Guo P,Li M,et al.An innovative method for water resources carrying capacity research-metabolic theory of regional water resources[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2016,167:139-146.
[19]项晓敏,金晓斌,杜心栋,等.基于“强度-潜力-难度”综合测度的中国农用地整治实施协调性分析[J].地理研究,2016,35(2):285-298.Xiang X M,Jin X B,Du X D,et al.The coordination of farmland consolidation implementation in China by comprehensive measure of"intensity,potential and difficulty"[J].Geographical Research,2016,35(2):285-298.
[20]叶士琳,曹有挥,蒋自然,等.基于力学平衡模型的长三角港口物流发展协调性研究[J].地理科学,2017,37(11):1624-1631.Ye S L,Cao Y H,Jiang Z R,et al.Coordination of port logistics development based on mechanical model:A case of the Yangtze River Delta Port System[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2017,37(11):1624-1631.
[21]游雪静,张玉珍,苏玉萍,等.闽江流域水体氨氮降解系数实验模拟研究[J].亚热带资源与环境学报,2014,9(1):61-67.You X J,Zhang Y Z,Su Y P,et al.A study on degradation coefficients of ammonia-nitrogen in Minjiang Basin[J].Journal of Subtropical Resources and Environment,2014,9(1):61-67.
[22]程学宁,汤云,卢毅敏.基于多元统计分析的闽江水质时空变化特征[J].水资源与水工程学报,2016,27(6):89-94.Cheng X N,Tang Y,Lu Y M.Spatial and temporal characteristics of water quality using multivariate statistical analysis in Min River[J].Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering,2016,27(6):89-94.
[23]张鹏,逄勇,石成春,等.闽江下游水质变化趋势分析[J].水资源保护,2018,34(1):64-69.Zhang P,Pang Y,Shi C C,et al.Analysis of change trend of water quality in Minjiang River downstream[J].Water Resources Protection,2018,34(1):64-69.
[24]饶清华,曾雨,张江山,等.闽江下游突发性水污染事故时空模拟[J].环境科学学报,2011,31(3):554-559.Rao Q H,Zeng Y,Zhang J S,et al.Time-space simulation for sudden water pollution accidents in the lower reaches of the Minjiang River[J].Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae,2011,31(3):554-559.
[25]李洋,陈卫锋,魏然,等.闽江福州段沉积物中重金属的分布特征及其毒性和生态风险评价[J].环境科学学报,2016,36(5):1792-1799.Li Y,Chen W F,Wei R,et al.Distribution characteristics,toxicity and risk assessment of heavy metals in sediments of Minjiang River in Fuzhou City[J].Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae,2016,36(5):1792-1799.
[26]黄幸然,吴旺旺,胡宝叶,等.闽江水体和生物体中六六六和滴滴涕污染特征和来源解析[J].生态环境学报,2016,25(3):482-488.Huang X R,Wu W W,Hu B Y,et al.Occurrence and source apportionment of HCHs and DDTs in water and organisms in Min River of Fujian,China[J].Ecology and Environment Sciences,2016,25(3):482-488.
[27]方红,陈秀玲,张雪琼,等.闽江福州段与城市内河表层沉积物重金属污染特征研究[J].环境科学学报,2016,36(4):1160-1168.Fang H,Chen X L,Zhang X Q,et al.Heavy metal pollution in the surface sediments from Minjiang River(Fuzhou Section)and urban rivers[J].Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae,2016,36(4):1160-1168.
[28]Xu Y H,Sun Q Q,Yi L,et al.The source of natural and anthropogenic heavy metals in the sediments of the Minjiang River Estuary(SEChina):implications for historical pollution[J].Science of the Total Environment,2014,493:729-736.
[29]Zeng F M,Yang D,Xing X L,et al.Evaluation of Bayesian approaches to identify DDT source contributions to soils in Southeast China[J].Chemosphere,2017,176:32-38.
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