陕北安塞县生态与经济系统耦合协调发展
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摘要
协调生态环境与社会经济的均衡发展,是实现县域可持续发展的重要因素。以延安市安塞县为对象,基于社会经济与生态环境的数据,构建安塞县社会经济系统与生态环境系统的指标体系,利用熵权法计算社会-经济-环境综合评价指数,在此基础上利用耦合协调度模型、剪刀差方法和耦合度模型分析了社会经济系统与生态环境系统的耦合协调状态、发展速度差异以及耦合度演变趋势。结果表明:1996—2013年间,安塞县社会经济系统综合评价指数稳定上升,自然生态系统综合水平呈现波动下降趋势,前者发展速度总体上快于后者;耦合协调度指数由0.33增长至0.59,反映了该区域社会经济与生态环境的关系不断改善,较好地实现了二者的协调;剪刀差在0. 032水平范围内波动上升,说明二者发展趋势之间的差异逐渐增大;安塞县社会经济与生态环境的耦合度分布于45°<β<90°范围内,二者处于协调发展阶段,耦合度β表现为先下降后上升,说明经济与环境之间的矛盾开始显露。研究表明,安塞县应着力加强生态建设的固基和推进作用,缓解社会经济和生态环境的矛盾,实现二者的协调发展。
Coordinated development between the ecological environment and socioeconomy is of great importance for local sustainable development. The present study investigated the coupling between socioeconomy and ecological environments using the coupling coordination degree model, scissors difference, and coupling degree model based on the economic and ecological data from Ansai County, Northern Shaanxi Province. A comprehensive assessment index of the socioeconomic environment was also established by the entropy method. Results showed that the comprehensive assessment index of socioeconomic systems increased from 1996 to 2013, and that of ecosystem decreased with fluctuation. This result indicates that eco-environmental development lagged behind the socioeconomic development. The degree of coupling coordination increased from 0.33 to 0.59, reflecting an improvement in the relationship between the socioeconomy and the ecological environment in the region, and a favorable coordination between them. The scissors difference fluctuated within the range of 0.032, indicating an increased difference in the development of socioeconomy and ecology. Coupling between the socioeconomic and ecological development in Ansai ranged from 45° to 90° and the beta-coupling rose initially and declined thereafter this result suggests a contradiction between the economy and environment. Our results indicate that efforts should be made to strengthen the promoting effect of ecological construction, alleviate the contradiction between the social economy and ecological environment, and realize the coordinated development of the socioeconomic system and ecological systems.
Coordinated development between the ecological environment and socioeconomy is of great importance for local sustainable development. The present study investigated the coupling between socioeconomy and ecological environments using the coupling coordination degree model, scissors difference, and coupling degree model based on the economic and ecological data from Ansai County, Northern Shaanxi Province. A comprehensive assessment index of the socioeconomic environment was also established by the entropy method. Results showed that the comprehensive assessment index of socioeconomic systems increased from 1996 to 2013, and that of ecosystem decreased with fluctuation. This result indicates that eco-environmental development lagged behind the socioeconomic development. The degree of coupling coordination increased from 0.33 to 0.59, reflecting an improvement in the relationship between the socioeconomy and the ecological environment in the region, and a favorable coordination between them. The scissors difference fluctuated within the range of 0.032, indicating an increased difference in the development of socioeconomy and ecology. Coupling between the socioeconomic and ecological development in Ansai ranged from 45° to 90° and the beta-coupling rose initially and declined thereafter this result suggests a contradiction between the economy and environment. Our results indicate that efforts should be made to strengthen the promoting effect of ecological construction, alleviate the contradiction between the social economy and ecological environment, and realize the coordinated development of the socioeconomic system and ecological systems.
引文
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[14] 左其亭,陈嘻.社会经济—生态环境耦合系统动力学模型.上海环境科学,2001,20(12):592- 594.
[15] 宋红丽,薛惠锋,张哲,李献峰.经济—环境系统影响因子耦合度分析.河北工业大学学报,2008,37(3):84- 89.
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[17] 陈源泉,高旺盛.基于农业生态服务价值的农业绿色GDP核算——以安塞县为例.生态学报,2007,27(1):250- 259.
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[19] 焦峰,温仲明,石辉,王飞,张晓萍,杨勤科,李锐.黄土丘陵沟壑区安塞县土地结构.山地学报,2004,22(4):406- 410.
[20] 梅花,王继军,高亮,张楠,崔绍芳.安塞县农业资源-产业耦合系统对水土保持的响应分析.干旱地区农业研究,2013,31(5):150- 155,226- 226.
[21] 张青峰,吴发启,王力,王健.黄土高原生态与经济系统耦合协调发展状况.应用生态学报,2011,22(6):1531- 1536.
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[23] 姜磊,柏玲,吴玉鸣.中国省域经济、资源与环境协调分析——兼论三系统耦合公式及其扩展形式.自然资源学报,2017,32(5):788- 799.
[24] 许振宇,贺建林.湖南省生态经济系统耦合状态分析.资源科学,2007,30(2):185- 191.
[25] 黄金川,方创琳.城市化与生态环境交互耦合机制与规律性分析.地理研究,2003,22(2):211- 220.
[26] 李亮.评价中权系数理论与方法比较[D].上海:上海交通大学,2009.
[27] 原琳娜,李富佳,董锁成,刘鑫,马蓓蓓.西安市生态环境与经济发展的耦合关系.地域研究与开发,2016,35(3):128- 132.
[28] 党建华,瓦哈甫·哈力克,张玉萍,邓宝山,麦尔哈巴·麦提尼亚孜.吐鲁番地区人口-经济-生态耦合协调发展分析.中国沙漠,2015,35(1):260- 266.
[29] 廖重斌.环境与经济协调发展的定量评判及其分类体系——以珠江三角洲城市群为例.热带地理,1999,19(2):171- 177.
[30] 王明全,王金达,刘景双,顾康康.吉林省西部生态支撑能力与社会经济发展的动态耦合.应用生态学报,2009,20(1):170- 176.
[31] 韩瑞玲,佟连军,佟伟铭,于建辉.沈阳经济区经济与环境系统动态耦合协调演化.应用生态学报,2011,22(10):2673- 2680.
[32] 熊建新,陈端吕,彭保发,邓素婷,谢雪梅.洞庭湖区生态承载力系统耦合协调度时空分异.地理科学,2014,34(9):1108- 1116.
[33] 李波,张吉献.中原经济区城镇化与生态环境耦合发展时空差异研究.地域研究与开发,2015,34(3):143- 147.
[34] 宋超山,马俊杰,杨风,马营.城市化与资源环境系统耦合研究——以西安市为例.干旱区资源与环境,2010,24(5):85- 90.
[35] 刘耀彬,李仁东,宋学锋.中国区域城市化与生态环境耦合的关联分析.地理学报,2005,60(2):237- 247.
[36] 魏媛,王晓颖,吴长勇,晏银美.喀斯特山区经济发展与生态环境耦合协调性评价——以贵州省为例.生态经济,2018,34(10):69- 75.
[37] 张丽,曹建.乌鲁木齐市经济系统与生态环境系统耦合协调发展研究.新疆财经,2018,(5):5- 14.
[38] 鹿晨昱,王春娟,张子龙,李恒吉,逯承鹏,薛冰.陇东黄土高原地区资源消耗、环境污染与经济增长的耦合关系——以庆阳市为例.生态学杂志,2015,34(9):2681- 2690.
[2] 江红莉,何建敏.区域经济与生态环境系统动态耦合协调发展研究——基于江苏省的数据.软科学,2010,24(3):63- 68.
[3] 李双江,胡亚妮,崔建升,沈洪艳.石家庄经济与人居环境耦合协调演化分析.干旱区资源与环境,2013,27(4):8- 15.
[4] 张丽君,刘佳骏.内蒙古自治区社会、资源、生态与经济协调发展研究.中央民族大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2009,36(1):61- 67.
[5] 乔标,方创琳.城市化与生态环境协调发展的动态耦合模型及其在干旱区的应用.生态学报,2005,25(11):3003- 3009.
[6] 李湘梅,周敬宣,张娴,肖人彬.城市生态系统协调发展仿真研究——以武汉市为例.环境科学学报,2008,28(12):2605- 2613.
[7] Copeland B R,Taylor M S.Trade,growth,and the environment.Journal of Economic Literature,2004,42(1):7- 71.
[8] Dinda S.Environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis:a survey.Ecological Economics,2004,49(4):431- 455.
[9] 刘耀彬,李仁东,宋学锋.中国城市化与生态环境耦合度分析[J].自然资源学报,2005,20(1):105- 112.
[10] 吴玉鸣,张燕.中国区域经济增长与环境的耦合协调发展研究.资源科学,2008,30(1):25- 30.
[11] 袁绪英,曾菊新,吴宜进.滠水河流域经济环境协调发展系统动力学模拟.地域研究与开发,2011,30(6):84- 88,101- 101.
[12] Yue D X,Xu X F,Li Z Z,Hui C,Li W L,Yang H Q,Ge J P.Spatiotemporal analysis of ecological footprint and biological capacity of Gansu,China 1991- 2015:down from the environmental cliff[J].Ecological Economics,2006,58(2):393- 406.
[13] 符海月,李满春,毛亮,刘永学.基于生态足迹的土地利用规划生态成效定量分析——以河北省廊坊市为例.自然资源学报,2007,22(2):225- 235.
[14] 左其亭,陈嘻.社会经济—生态环境耦合系统动力学模型.上海环境科学,2001,20(12):592- 594.
[15] 宋红丽,薛惠锋,张哲,李献峰.经济—环境系统影响因子耦合度分析.河北工业大学学报,2008,37(3):84- 89.
[16] 任志远,徐茜,杨忍.基于耦合模型的陕西省农业生态环境与经济协调发展研究.干旱区资源与环境,2011,25(12):14- 19.
[17] 陈源泉,高旺盛.基于农业生态服务价值的农业绿色GDP核算——以安塞县为例.生态学报,2007,27(1):250- 259.
[18] 李奇睿,王继军,郭满才.基于结构方程模型的安塞县商品型生态农业系统耦合关系.农业工程学报,2012,28(16):240- 247.
[19] 焦峰,温仲明,石辉,王飞,张晓萍,杨勤科,李锐.黄土丘陵沟壑区安塞县土地结构.山地学报,2004,22(4):406- 410.
[20] 梅花,王继军,高亮,张楠,崔绍芳.安塞县农业资源-产业耦合系统对水土保持的响应分析.干旱地区农业研究,2013,31(5):150- 155,226- 226.
[21] 张青峰,吴发启,王力,王健.黄土高原生态与经济系统耦合协调发展状况.应用生态学报,2011,22(6):1531- 1536.
[22] Yuan C Q,Liu S F,Xie N M.The impact on Chinese economic growth and energy consumption of the Global Financial Crisis:an input-output analysis.Energy,2010,35(4):1805- 1812.
[23] 姜磊,柏玲,吴玉鸣.中国省域经济、资源与环境协调分析——兼论三系统耦合公式及其扩展形式.自然资源学报,2017,32(5):788- 799.
[24] 许振宇,贺建林.湖南省生态经济系统耦合状态分析.资源科学,2007,30(2):185- 191.
[25] 黄金川,方创琳.城市化与生态环境交互耦合机制与规律性分析.地理研究,2003,22(2):211- 220.
[26] 李亮.评价中权系数理论与方法比较[D].上海:上海交通大学,2009.
[27] 原琳娜,李富佳,董锁成,刘鑫,马蓓蓓.西安市生态环境与经济发展的耦合关系.地域研究与开发,2016,35(3):128- 132.
[28] 党建华,瓦哈甫·哈力克,张玉萍,邓宝山,麦尔哈巴·麦提尼亚孜.吐鲁番地区人口-经济-生态耦合协调发展分析.中国沙漠,2015,35(1):260- 266.
[29] 廖重斌.环境与经济协调发展的定量评判及其分类体系——以珠江三角洲城市群为例.热带地理,1999,19(2):171- 177.
[30] 王明全,王金达,刘景双,顾康康.吉林省西部生态支撑能力与社会经济发展的动态耦合.应用生态学报,2009,20(1):170- 176.
[31] 韩瑞玲,佟连军,佟伟铭,于建辉.沈阳经济区经济与环境系统动态耦合协调演化.应用生态学报,2011,22(10):2673- 2680.
[32] 熊建新,陈端吕,彭保发,邓素婷,谢雪梅.洞庭湖区生态承载力系统耦合协调度时空分异.地理科学,2014,34(9):1108- 1116.
[33] 李波,张吉献.中原经济区城镇化与生态环境耦合发展时空差异研究.地域研究与开发,2015,34(3):143- 147.
[34] 宋超山,马俊杰,杨风,马营.城市化与资源环境系统耦合研究——以西安市为例.干旱区资源与环境,2010,24(5):85- 90.
[35] 刘耀彬,李仁东,宋学锋.中国区域城市化与生态环境耦合的关联分析.地理学报,2005,60(2):237- 247.
[36] 魏媛,王晓颖,吴长勇,晏银美.喀斯特山区经济发展与生态环境耦合协调性评价——以贵州省为例.生态经济,2018,34(10):69- 75.
[37] 张丽,曹建.乌鲁木齐市经济系统与生态环境系统耦合协调发展研究.新疆财经,2018,(5):5- 14.
[38] 鹿晨昱,王春娟,张子龙,李恒吉,逯承鹏,薛冰.陇东黄土高原地区资源消耗、环境污染与经济增长的耦合关系——以庆阳市为例.生态学杂志,2015,34(9):2681- 2690.
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