近30年淀山湖地区生态系统服务价值对土地利用变化的响应
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摘要
水源是区域和城市发展的重要保障,研究其生态系统服务的变化及其影响因素对水源跨区域联防联治有重要意义。利用淀山湖地区1984、1993、2006和2014年的遥感影像,通过修正生态系统服务价值当量因子,基于GIS空间分析技术对淀山湖地区1984—1993年、1993—2006年、2006—2014年土地利用变化及生态系统服务价值(Ecosystem Service Value, ESV)进行了分析。结果表明,淀山湖地区林地面积和建筑用地面总体呈增加趋势,而耕地面积和水体面积呈下降趋势。ESV结果显示,1984—2014期间水体ESV减少了2.15亿元,耕地的ESV减少了2.41亿元,林地的ESV增加了2.50亿元。各土地利用类型ESV敏感性指数均小于1,说明研究区生态系统服务价值是缺乏弹性的。在乡镇尺度,仅朱家角镇和锦溪镇ESV呈现净增长;在省市级尺度,江苏省境内的总土地单位面积ESV减少,而上海市境内的总土地单位面积ESV增加。驱动力分析表明,自然因素和社会经济因素均对ESV有影响,人口密度、区域总产值与ESV存在显著相关性。可见,土地利用方式的改变显著影响生态系统服务价值,合理的土地利用将有利于提高总土地单位面积生态系统服务价值。
Water resources are an important guarantee for the development of regions and cities. Understanding the changes in ecosystem services and their driving forces, therefore, is of great significance in the management of water resources across regions. By utilizing remote sensing images of Dianshan Lake area in 1984, 1993, 2006 and 2014, land-use change and ecosystem service value(ESV) were analyzed by revising the ESV coefficient of different types of land use. The results showed that the areas of woodland and construction land tended to increase, while those of arable land and water bodies tended to decrease between 1984 and 2014. Results from the ESV analysis showed that the ESV of water bodies and arable land decreased by 215 and 241 million yuan, respectively, while the ESV of woodland increased by 250 million yuan. The ESV sensitivity index of each land-use type was less than 1, indicating that the ESV of the study area was inelastic. On the township scale, the ESV analysis showed a net increase only in Zhujiajiao and Jinxi Towns. At the provincial and municipal scales, the total ESV perunitarea of Jiangsu Province decreased, while the total ESV per unit area of Shanghai increased. The driving force analysis showed that both natural and socio-economic factors had an impact on the ESV. Moreover, there was a significant correlation between population density and ESV and between total regional economic output and ESV. Our results suggest that changes in land use have an important impact on the ESV. An optimal land-use pattern would help to increase the total ESV across regions.
Water resources are an important guarantee for the development of regions and cities. Understanding the changes in ecosystem services and their driving forces, therefore, is of great significance in the management of water resources across regions. By utilizing remote sensing images of Dianshan Lake area in 1984, 1993, 2006 and 2014, land-use change and ecosystem service value(ESV) were analyzed by revising the ESV coefficient of different types of land use. The results showed that the areas of woodland and construction land tended to increase, while those of arable land and water bodies tended to decrease between 1984 and 2014. Results from the ESV analysis showed that the ESV of water bodies and arable land decreased by 215 and 241 million yuan, respectively, while the ESV of woodland increased by 250 million yuan. The ESV sensitivity index of each land-use type was less than 1, indicating that the ESV of the study area was inelastic. On the township scale, the ESV analysis showed a net increase only in Zhujiajiao and Jinxi Towns. At the provincial and municipal scales, the total ESV perunitarea of Jiangsu Province decreased, while the total ESV per unit area of Shanghai increased. The driving force analysis showed that both natural and socio-economic factors had an impact on the ESV. Moreover, there was a significant correlation between population density and ESV and between total regional economic output and ESV. Our results suggest that changes in land use have an important impact on the ESV. An optimal land-use pattern would help to increase the total ESV across regions.
引文
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[26] 陈阳,张建军,杜国明,付梅臣,刘凌露.三江平原北部生态系统服务价值的时空演变.生态学报,2015,35(18):6157- 6164.
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[28] 国家发展改革委,住房城乡建设部.国家发展改革委关于印发长江三角洲城市群发展规划的通知.(2016-06-01) [2018-06- 28].http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/zcfb/zcfbghwb/201606/t20160603_806390.html.
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[30] 徐涵,潘磊,葛幼松.水源保护区生态补偿机制的探讨——以上海市淀山湖地区为例.辽宁农业科学,2015,(2):58- 61.
[31] 宋开山,刘殿伟,王宗明,张柏,金翠,李方,刘焕军.1954年以来三江平原土地利用变化及驱动力.地理学报,2008,63(1):93- 104.
[32] 刘纪远,布和敖斯尔.中国土地利用变化现代过程时空特征的研究——基于卫星遥感数据.第四纪研究,2000,20(3):229- 239.
[33] 谢高地,鲁春霞,冷允法,郑度,李双成.青藏高原生态资产的价值评估.自然资源学报,2003,18(2):189- 196.
[34] 谢高地,甄霖,鲁春霞,肖玉,陈操.一个基于专家知识的生态系统服务价值化方法.自然资源学报,2008,23(5):911- 919.
[35] Kreuter U P,Harris H G,Matlock M D,Lacey R E.Change in ecosystem service values in the San Antonio area,Texas.Ecological Economics,2001,39(3):333- 346.
[36] 周艳,黄贤金,徐国良,李建豹.长三角城市土地扩张与人口增长耦合态势及其驱动机制.地理研究,2016,35(2):313- 324.
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[38] Zhang Z M,Gao J F,Gao Y N.The influences of land use changes on the value of ecosystem services in Chaohu Lake Basin,China.Environmental Earth Sciences,2015,74(1):385- 395.
[39] 徐昔保,陈爽,杨桂山.长三角地区1995—2007年生态资产时空变化.生态学报,2012,32(24):7667- 7675.
[40] Li C,Zheng H,Li S Z,Chen X S,Li J,Zeng W H,Liang Y C,Polasky S,Feldman M W,Ruckelshaus M,Ouyang Z Y,Daily G C.Impacts of conservation and human development policy across stakeholders and scales.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2015,112(24):7396- 7401.
[41] Nelson E,Mendoza G,Regetz J,Polasky S,Tallis H,Cameron D R,Chan K M A,Daily G C,Goldstein J,Kareiva P M,Lonsdorf E,Naidoo R,Ricketts T H,Shaw M R.Modeling multiple ecosystem services,biodiversity conservation,commodity production,and tradeoffs at landscape scales.Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment,2009,7(1):4- 11.
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[2] Byrd K B,Flint L E,Alvarez P,Casey C F,Sleeter B M,Soulard C E,Flint A L,Sohl T L.Integrated climate and land use change scenarios for California rangeland ecosystem services:wildlife habitat,soil carbon,and water supply.Landscape Ecology,2015,30(4):729- 750.
[3] Darvill R,Lindo Z.The inclusion of stakeholders and cultural ecosystem services in land management trade-off decisions using an ecosystem services approach.Landscape Ecology,2016,31(3):533- 545.
[4] Schuch G,Serrao-Neumann S,Morgan E,Choy D L.Water in the city:green open spaces,land use planning and flood management - an Australian case study.Land Use Policy,2017,63:539- 550.
[5] Ogden F L,Stallard R F.Land use effects on ecosystem service provisioning in tropical watersheds,still an important unsolved problem.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2013,110(52):E5037-E5037.
[6] Tolessa T,Senbeta F,Kidane M.The impact of land use/land cover change on ecosystem services in the central highlands of Ethiopia.Ecosystem Services,2017,23:47- 54.
[7] Brahma B,Pathak K,Lal R,Kurmi B,Das M,Nath P C,Nath A J,Das A K.Ecosystem carbon sequestration through restoration of degraded lands in Northeast India.Land Degradation & Development,2018,29(1):15- 25.
[8] Langerwisch F,Václavík T,von Bloh W,Vetter T,Thonicke K.Combined effects of climate and land-use change on the provision of ecosystem services in rice agro-ecosystems.Environmental Research Letters,2018,13(1):015003.
[9] Hill M J,Biggs J,Thornhill I,Briers R A,Gledhill D G,White J C,Wood P J,Hassall C.Urban ponds as an aquatic biodiversity resource in modified landscapes.Global Change Biology,2016,23(3):986- 999.
[10] Weiner C N,Werner M,Linsenmair K E,Bluthgen N.Land-use impacts on plant-pollinator networks:interaction strength and specialization predict pollinator declines.Ecology,2014,95(2):466- 474.
[11] Moser D,Dullinger S,Mang T,Hülber K,Essl F,Frank T,Hulme P E,Grabherr G,Pascher K.Changes in plant life-form,pollination syndrome and breeding system at a regional scale promoted by land use intensity.Diversity and Distributions,2015,21(11):1319- 1328.
[12] Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA).Ecosystems and Human Well-Being:Current State and Trends.Washington,DC:Island Press,2005.
[13] F?rster J,Barkmann J,Fricke R,Hotes S,Kleyer M,Kobbe S,Kübler D,Rumbaur C,Siegmund-Schultze M,Seppelt R,Settele J,Spangenberg J H,Tekken V,Václavík T,Wittmer H.Assessing ecosystem services for informing land-use decisions:a problem-oriented approach.Ecology and Society,2015,20(3):31.
[14] Yi H C,Güneralp B,Filippi A M,Kreuter U P,Güneralp .Impacts of land change on ecosystem services in the San Antonio river basin,Texas,from 1984 to 2010.Ecological Economics,2017,135:125- 135.
[15] de Groot R,Brander L,van der Ploeg S,Costanza R,Bernard F,Braat L,Christie M,Crossman N,Ghermandi A,Hein L,Hussain S,Kumar P,McVittie A,Portela R,Rodriguez L C,ten Brink P,van Beukering P.Global estimates of the value of ecosystems and their services in monetary units.Ecosystem Services,2012,1(1):50- 61.
[16] Arowolo A O,Deng X Z,Olatunji O A,Obayelu A E.Assessing changes in the value of ecosystem services in response to land-use/land-cover dynamics in Nigeria.Science of the Total Environment,2018,636:597- 609.
[17] Richardson L,Loomis J,Kroeger T,Casey F.The role of benefit transfer in ecosystem service valuation.Ecological Economics,2015,115:51- 58.
[18] Costanza R,d’Arge R,de Groot R,Farber S,Grasso M,Hannon B,Limburg K,Naeem S,O’Neill R V,Paruelo J,Raskin R G,Sutton P,van den Belt M.The value of the world′s ecosystem services and natural capital.Nature,1997,387(6630):253- 260.
[19] Costanza R,de Groot R,Sutton P,van der Ploeg S,Anderson S J,Kubiszewski I,Farber S,Turner R K.Changes in the global value of ecosystem services.Global Environmental Change,2014,26:152- 158.
[20] 谢高地,张彩霞,张雷明,陈文辉,李士美.基于单位面积价值当量因子的生态系统服务价值化方法改进.自然资源学报,2015,30(8):1243- 1254.
[21] 王军,顿耀龙.土地利用变化对生态系统服务的影响研究综述.长江流域资源与环境,2015,24(5):798- 808.
[22] Estoque R C,Murayama Y.Examining the potential impact of land use/cover changes on the ecosystem services of Baguio city,the Philippines:a scenario-based analysis.Applied Geography,2012,35(1/2):316- 326.
[23] 李哲,张飞,Kung H T,张月,井云清.1998—2014年艾比湖湿地自然保护区生态系统服务价值及其时空变异.生态学报,2017,37(15):4984- 4997.
[24] 刘海,殷杰,林苗,陈晓玲.基于GIS的鄱阳湖流域生态系统服务价值结构变化研究.生态学报,2017,37(8):2575- 2587.
[25] 魏慧,赵文武,张骁,王新志.基于土地利用变化的区域生态系统服务价值评价——以山东省德州市为例.生态学报,2017,37(11):3830- 3839.
[26] 陈阳,张建军,杜国明,付梅臣,刘凌露.三江平原北部生态系统服务价值的时空演变.生态学报,2015,35(18):6157- 6164.
[27] 王航,秦奋,朱筠,张传才.土地利用及景观格局演变对生态系统服务价值的影响.生态学报,2017,37(4):1286- 1296.
[28] 国家发展改革委,住房城乡建设部.国家发展改革委关于印发长江三角洲城市群发展规划的通知.(2016-06-01) [2018-06- 28].http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/zcfb/zcfbghwb/201606/t20160603_806390.html.
[29] 冯永玖,韩震.基于遥感的黄浦江沿岸土地利用时空演化特征分析.国土资源遥感,2010,(2):91- 96.
[30] 徐涵,潘磊,葛幼松.水源保护区生态补偿机制的探讨——以上海市淀山湖地区为例.辽宁农业科学,2015,(2):58- 61.
[31] 宋开山,刘殿伟,王宗明,张柏,金翠,李方,刘焕军.1954年以来三江平原土地利用变化及驱动力.地理学报,2008,63(1):93- 104.
[32] 刘纪远,布和敖斯尔.中国土地利用变化现代过程时空特征的研究——基于卫星遥感数据.第四纪研究,2000,20(3):229- 239.
[33] 谢高地,鲁春霞,冷允法,郑度,李双成.青藏高原生态资产的价值评估.自然资源学报,2003,18(2):189- 196.
[34] 谢高地,甄霖,鲁春霞,肖玉,陈操.一个基于专家知识的生态系统服务价值化方法.自然资源学报,2008,23(5):911- 919.
[35] Kreuter U P,Harris H G,Matlock M D,Lacey R E.Change in ecosystem service values in the San Antonio area,Texas.Ecological Economics,2001,39(3):333- 346.
[36] 周艳,黄贤金,徐国良,李建豹.长三角城市土地扩张与人口增长耦合态势及其驱动机制.地理研究,2016,35(2):313- 324.
[37] 上海市人民政府.上海市人民政府关于修改《上海市黄浦江上游水源保护条例实施细则》的决定.新法规月刊,1996,(9):39- 41.
[38] Zhang Z M,Gao J F,Gao Y N.The influences of land use changes on the value of ecosystem services in Chaohu Lake Basin,China.Environmental Earth Sciences,2015,74(1):385- 395.
[39] 徐昔保,陈爽,杨桂山.长三角地区1995—2007年生态资产时空变化.生态学报,2012,32(24):7667- 7675.
[40] Li C,Zheng H,Li S Z,Chen X S,Li J,Zeng W H,Liang Y C,Polasky S,Feldman M W,Ruckelshaus M,Ouyang Z Y,Daily G C.Impacts of conservation and human development policy across stakeholders and scales.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2015,112(24):7396- 7401.
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