用户名: 密码: 验证码:
基于GIS的地震热红外过程研究
详细信息    本馆镜像全文|  推荐本文 |  |   获取CNKI官网全文
摘要
地震作为一种快速构造运动,因其显著的破坏性对生命活动尤其是人类产生不同程度的危害性。地震的突发性和难以预见性使现代科学技术对于地震的认识主要停留在震后的数据分析上,前人已取得一系列重要成果,但对于地震活动整体过程的研究仍然比较难以深入。而地震孕育的演化过程研究是进一步认识地震活动规律的关键。地震的热红外过程作为地震发生的重要前兆,将热红外过程与构造活动联系起来,是一种地震研究的新的思路。GIS技术具有强大的地理数据处理能力。本文首创性的提出基于地理信息系统,尝试对于地震热红外过程进行研究。提出了一个完整的基于GIS的热红外过程研究方案并在研究过程中创新改进研究方法,进行基础数据的接收与处理,地理信息系统技术、计算机软件系统平台下的多源信息复合,背景场的选择与分析,热红外过程的解译,科学规律的总结与趋势分析。
     全文分为六个部分。第一部分为绪论部分,通过对选题背景的陈述,分别回顾了国内外的相关研究历程,对不同研究人员的学术观点进行了综述,结合GIS技术的介绍,对选题意义与应用价值加以说明,并对采用的技术方法进行简述。
     第二部分,对地震宏观研究的区域进行自然地理、人口经济方面的论述,结合区域地质背景与地震构造活动状况加以分析,论证选择华北地区作为背景场是因为该区域为地震可能危害性最大区域,具有典型性,并为后文的具体震例分析做出宏观背景铺垫。
     第三部分,采用自主接收的NCEP/NOAA连续数据,研究对该逐日数据进行一系列具体的处理,以生成反映热红外过程的图像。
     第四部分,通过使用目前流行的地理信息系统平台软件,研究在地理信息技术下对多源信息进行复合,实现各种信息叠置后的可视化表达。
     第五部分,在结合华北历史地震活动格局的基础上,计算了连续多周期的构造应力大小,对近期发生于河南周口地区的Ms4.7地震进行具体的热红外时空变化过程分析,并进行余震区长短轴的反演计算,在多源地理信息复合下实现趋势查询分析。
     第六部分,根据前文例证分析,得到了相应的结果。
     本文的研究取得了以下主要进展与创新性成果:
     (1)以中国大陆人口经济与地震频率比最高的华北地区作为背景,以其近期发生的震例作为具体例证进行分析,获得了地震热红外过程的新证据。前后的热红外过程温度变化图像结果显示在地震发生前后的一段时间内,即应力连续变化周期中,确实存在显著的异常增温,这种状况是一个连续演变的过程,而不仅仅是一个随机的现象。
     (2)改进了热红外数据的接收方式与数据处理方法,使数据接收由实时不间断转为定时,处理方法实现了批处理化。以主流GIS平台为依托,实现多源地理信息的复合。
     (3)热红外过程温度变化分析显示断层活动、辐射平衡与地震活动三者之间存在一定的关系。地表交换地下与空中二者的能量,遵循能量守恒定律,地表以长波向外辐射能量,接收太阳短波辐射,以维持能量平衡。断层活动引起的地表热红外辐射变化,会打破这种辐射平衡。地震往往是判断断层是否活动的标志,有可能从辐射平衡来考虑断层活动以及地震发生。
     (4)地震发生在构造应力变幅较大的周期内,是一个连续的积累能量的过程,在宏观上产生了异常增温的前兆。岩石破裂后,能量集聚再调整,能反映地震活动过程中的地质构造活动的演化。
     (5)异常增温区等温线的分布随时间推移出现分散、集中、分散的规律。等温线与断层产生显著正交,沿断裂带、缝合线等构造变化区域,等温线梯度分布。异常增温区再调整出现面积的增减,局部面积消失或扩大,对于主震震后反演余震区的大小,确定余震可能发生的方位具有指导,可以以能量积累区反演计算余震区长短轴。
     (6)区域地震与大背景场的地震具有一定的相关性与同步性。通过地理信息与热红外信息的影像数据库叠置管理,实现了分级区域基础单元的热红外异常实时查询。
     本文最后对这种另辟蹊径的研究方向今后的发展做了展望:结合各地正在开展的数字区域建设,有条件的逐步引入海量地理信息数据,实现实时动态的地震热红外过程监测、趋势预报,以真正发挥其应用价值,造福人类万物。
Earthquake as a rapid tectonic movement, its significant activities are especially destructive of human life have different degrees of harm. Earthquake predictability of sudden and difficult to make modern science and technology knowledge of the main stay for the earthquake after the earthquake data analysis, the previous series of important results have been achieved, but the whole process of seismic activity is still more difficult to depth. The evolution of earthquake preparation is to further understanding of the key laws of seismic activity. Earthquake earthquake thermal infrared process as an important precursor, the thermal infrared link with tectonic activity, is a seismic study new ideas. GIS technology is a powerful geographical data processing capabilities.Propose a complete process of thermal infrared-based GIS research program and the process of innovation and improvement in research methods.
     Paper is divided into six parts. The first part is introduction, a statement by the research background, respectively, reviewed the history of relevant research at home and abroad, researchers of different academic perspectives are reviewed, combined with GIS technology introduction and application of the significance of the topic to illustrate the value of,and brief technical methods used.
     The second part, the study of seismic macro-geographical areas and population discussion of the economy, combined with the regional geological setting and seismic structure to analyze the status of activities, demonstration chosen as the background field in North China since the earthquake in the region may be hazardous for the largest area, is typical, and later make a specific analysis of the macro background of earthquake cases bedding.
     The third part, the use of self-received NCEP/NOAA continuous data, research data, the daily number of specific processing to generate the process of reflecting thermal infrared images.
     The fourth part, through the use of popular geographic information system platform software, geographic information technology research in multi-source information under the compound, after the overlay to achieve a variety of information visualization.
     The fifth part, in combination with the historical seismic activity in North China based on the pattern calculated for a number of cycles the size of tectonic stress, in ZhouKou of recent earthquakes in the region Ms4.7 specific temporal and spatial variation of thermal infrared process analysis.
     The sixth part, according to analysis of the preceding example, in the complex multi-source geographic information obtained under the following result.
     This research has made major progress and innovation of the following results.
     (1)The highest frequency of earthquakes in North China as the background,with its recent earthquake cases occurred in the analysis as a specific example,the earthquake thermal infrared obtain new evidence of the process. Before and after the process, the thermal infrared images show that temperature changes before and after the earthquake for some time that the stress of continuous change cycle.The existence of the abnormal temperature increase significantly, this situation is a continuous process of evolution, not just a random phenomenon.
     (2)Improving methods of thermal infrared data reception and data processing to make real-time continuous data reception into the timing of treatment to achieve a batch.Using general GIS platform to achieve complex multi-source geographic information.
     (3)Temperature variation of thermal infrared analysis shows that fault activity, the radiation balance and seismic activity relationship exist between the three. Both ground and air surface exchange of energy, follow the law of conservation of energy, surface energy as long wave radiation out to receive solar radiation, in order to maintain energy balance. Fault-induced changes in surface thermal infrared radiation, it will break the radiation balance. To determine whether the fault earthquake activity is often a sign, it is possible to consider the radiation balance from the fault activity and earthquakes.
     (4)Tectonic earthquake occurred in the larger cycle of stress amplitude, is a continuous process of accumulation of energy in the macro to generate a precursor to the abnormal warming. Rock burst, the energy concentration adjust to reflect the seismic activity during the evolution of tectonic activity.
     (5)Abnormal temperature distribution area isotherms appear scattered over time, centralized, decentralized rule. Isotherm with a significant orthogonal faults along the fault zone, suture lines, and structural changes in the regional, gradient of the isotherms. Abnormal area and then adjust the temperature change in the area appear, disappear or expand the local area, after the inversion for the main aftershock epicentral area the size of the aftershocks may occur to determine the orientation of a guide. It can be calculated inversion energy accumulation zone of the length of the aftershock Axis.
     (6)Background of regional seismic and seismic field has a certain relevance and synchronization. Through the geographic information and thermal infrared information superimposed image database management, it achieve to query the thermal infrared anomaly real-time on a classification unit.
     Finally, the research direction of this another way to do the prospect of future development, mainly with the number of regions around the ongoing construction of the gradual introduction of conditional mass of GIS data, real-time dynamic earthquake thermal infrared process monitoring, to really play the value of the benefit of all mankind.
引文
[1]Parsons B,Scater J.GAn analysis of the variation of Ocean floor bathymetry and heat f low with age[J].Geophysical Research,1977,82(B5):802-827.
    [2]Solater J.G,Jaupart C,Galson D.The heat flow through Ocean and Continental Crust and the heat loss from the Earth[J].Reviews Geophy.Space Physics,1980,18(1):269-311.
    [3]高旭,马宗晋.近期华北地区的三次震情事件[J].地震,1982,2(1):15-18.
    [4]马宗晋.论全球地震构造系统[J].地球科学,1982,18(3):31-46.
    [5]马宗晋.从中国九大地震谈大陆地震预报的程序(综述)[J].国际地震动态,1982,6(6):5-6.
    [6]丁国瑜.中国岩石圈动力学概论[M].北京:地震出版社,1999,600.
    [7]王鸿桢,刘本培.地史学教程[M].北京:地质出版社,1980,10-12.
    [8]孙枢,从柏林,李继亮.豫陕中-晚元古代沉积盆地.地质科学,1981,26(4):314-322.
    [9]马宗晋,傅征祥.1966-1976年中国九大地震[M]北京:地震出版社,1982,28-40.
    [10]全国地震综合分析预报清理攻关组.地震综合预报探索二十年[J].中国地震,1986,2(4):15-20.
    [11]范新岗,汤懋苍.大地震前后地温、降水及浅层热流通量场的结构特征[J].地球物理学报,1994,37(S2):192-203.
    [12]强祖基,马蔼乃,曾佐勋,等.卫星热红外地震短临预测方法研究[J].地学前缘,2010,17(5):254-262.
    [13]秦福莹.热红外遥感地表温度反演方法应用与对比分析研究[D].呼和浩特:内蒙古师范大学,2008.
    [14]Jarvis C H,N A Stuart.Comparison among strategies for interpolating maximum and minimum daily air temperatures.Part Ⅱ:The interaction between number of guiding wariabl es and the type of interpolation method[J].Journal of Applied Meteorology,2001,40(6):1075-1084.
    [15]康春丽,刘德富,陈艳,等.长波辐射(OLR)信息预测华北地震的方法研究[J].西北地震学报,2006,28(1):59-63.
    [16]Mogi K.Fundamental studies on earthquake prediction[M].Pre at ISCSEP,Beijing,1982,1 6-29.
    [17]Tronin.A.A.Satellite thermal survey application for earthquake prediction. In:Hayakaw a, M. (Ed.),Atmospheric and Ionospheric Electromagnetic Phenomena Associated with Earth quakes. TERRAPUB,Tokyo,717-746.
    [18]L.L.Morzova.Manifestations of the Lithosphere-Atmosphere Coupling at Strong Earthqu ake in Asia.Izvestia[J],Physics of the Solid Earth,1996,32(5):453-458.
    [19]L.L.Morzova.Dynamics of Cloud Anomalies above Faults in Periods of Natural and I nduced Seismicity[J].Physics of the Solid Earth,1997,33(9):778-779.
    [20]L.L.Morzova. Satellite meteorological images as carriers of information on seismic proc esses[J]. Geology of Pacific Ocean,2000,(15):439-446.
    [21]Ouzounov D,Freund F.Mid-infrared emission prior to strong earthquakes analyzed by r emotesensing data[J].Advances in Space Research,2004,33:268-273.
    [22]Ouzounov D,Bryannt N,Logan T,et al.Satellite thermal IR phenomena associated with some of the major earthquakes in 1999-2003[J].Physics and Chemistry of the Earth,2006,(3 1):154-163.
    [23]Pulinets S A,Ouzounov D,Karelin A V,et al.The physical nature of thermal anomalies observed before strong earthquakes [J]. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth,2006,(31):143-15 3.
    [24]Paul W. Burtona,Yebang Xu,Changyuan Qin,et al. A catalogue of seismicity in Greece and the adjacent areas for the twentieth century[J].Tectonophysics,2004,(390):117-127.
    [25]Bradley R. Hacker, Torgeir B. Andersen, Scott Johnston,et al. High-temperature defor mation during continental-margin subduction & exhumation:The ultrahigh-pressure Western Gneiss Region of Norway[J].Tectonophysics,2010,(480):149-171.
    [26]N.Genzano,C.Aliano,C. Filizzola,et al. A robust satellite technique for monitoring seis mically active areas:The case of Bhuj-Gujarat earthquake[J]. Tectonophysics,2007,(431):197-210.
    [27]Amy Brown,Gary Gibson.A multi-tiered earthquake hazard model for Australia[J].Tecto nophysics,2004(390):25-43.
    [28]Paul Mann,Asahiko Taira. Global tectonic significance of the Solomon Islands and On tong Java Plateau convergent zone[J].Tectonophysics,2004(389):137-190.
    [29]强祖基,徐秀登,赁常恭.卫星热红外异常—临震前兆[J].科学通报,1990,35(17):1324-1327.
    [30]Qiang Zu-ji,Dian Chang-gong,Wang Xuang-ji.Satellite Infrared Anomalous Temperature Increase And Impending Earthquake Precursor[J].Chinese Science Bulletin,37(19):1642-164 6.
    [31]徐秀登,强祖基,赁常恭.突发性地面增温与临震前兆—以1988年澜沧,耿马7.6,7.2级地震为例[J].地震地质,1990,12(3):243-250.
    [32]徐秀登,强祖基,赁常恭.临震卫星热红外异常与地面增温异常[J].科学通报,1991,36(4):291-294.
    [33]强祖基,赁常恭,李玲芝,等.卫星热红外图像亮温异常—短临震兆[J].中国科学D,1998,28(6):564-573.
    [34]Qiang Zuji,Dian Changgong,Li Lingzhi.Satellitic thermal infrared brightness temperatur e anomaly image—short-term and impending earthquake precursors [J]. SCIENCE IN CHINA (Series D),1999,4(3):313-324.
    [35]徐秀登,徐向民.地震前红外异常的基本特征与成因机理[J].西北地震学报,2001,23(3):310-312.
    [36]赁常恭,王宣吉,强祖基.卫星热红外异常增温与常熟临震前兆[J].科学通报,1992,37(9):821-824.
    [37]黄广思.地温遥感预报地震的原理和方法[J].大地测量与地球动力学(地壳形变与地震),1993,13(1):23-28.
    [38]陈梅花.卫星遥感的热信息与地震活动的关系研究[D].北京:中国地震局地质研究所,2005.
    [39]刘德富,罗灼礼,彭克银.强烈地震前的OLR异常现象[J].地震,1997,17(2):126-132.
    [40]叶民权,吴其勇,杨忠东.卫星热红外异常与强震关系研究实例[J].科学通报,1994,39(22):60-63.
    [41]孔令昌,强祖基.台湾海峡7.3级强震前的热红外增温异常[J].地震学刊,1997,17(3):39-50.
    [42]徐秀登,钟韵.南黄海6.1级地震前热红外异常[J].地震学刊,2002,22(4):1-6.
    [43]吕琪琦,丁鉴海,崔承禹,等.张北6.2级地震前的卫星热红外异常[J].地震,1998,18(3):240-244.
    [44]邓志辉,王煜,陈梅花,等.中国大陆儿次强地震活动的卫星红外异常分析[J].地震地质,2003,25(2):327-337.
    [45]刘放,程万正,但尚铭.卫星遥感热红外辐射信息与云南永胜6.0级地震[J].地震研究,2003,26(4):120-124.
    [46]张元生,沈文荣,徐辉.新青8.1级地震前卫星热红外异常[J].西北地震学报,2002,24(1):1-4.
    [47]康春丽,陈正位,陈立泽,等.昆仑山口西8.1级地震的卫星热红外前兆特征分析[J].西北地震学报,2003,25(1):12-15.
    [48]陈梅花,邓志辉,贾庆华.地震前卫星红外异常与发震断裂的关系研究——以2001年昆仑山8.1级地震为例[J].地震地质,2003,25(1):100-108.
    [49]郭卫英,单新建,马瑾.对2001年昆仑山口西8.1级地震前断层带红外增温异常的讨论[J].地震地质,2004,26(3):548-556.
    [50]陈梅花,邓志辉,杨竹转,等.2004年印度尼西亚9级大地震前的潜热通量异常[J].科学通报,2006,51(1):118-120.
    [51]马未宇.汶川地震前的NCEP异常现象[J].科技导报,2008,26(10):37-39.
    [52]徐秀登,强祖基,赁常恭.卫星热红外图像与震兆异常—澜沧地震前热红外图像的启示[J].遥感学报,1991,6(4):261-266.
    [53]邬伦,刘瑜.地理信息系统——原理方法和应用[M].北京:科学出版社,2001,15-28.
    [54]陆守一,唐小明,王国胜.地理信息系统实用教程[M].北京:中国林业出版社,1998,30-37.
    [55]张超,陈丙咸,邬伦.地理信息系统原理及方法[M].北京:高等教育出版社,1995,8-10.
    [56]吴信才.地理信息系统原理及方法[M].北京:电子工业出版社,2001,12-16.
    [57]赵济,陈传康.中国地理[M].北京:高等教育出版社,424-477.
    [58]宋治平,薛艳.华北中强地震前兆特征研究[M].上海:上海科学技术出版社,2009,7-46..
    [59]傅征祥.板块构造与地震活动性[M].北京:地震出版社,2009,24-51.
    [60]王正哲.震前低空大气层热红外增温异常机理研究[D].北京:中国地震局地质研究所,2002.
    [61]N. Pergola,C. Aliano,I. Coviello,et al.Using RST approach and EOS-MODIS radiances for monitoring seismically active regions:a study on the 6 April 2009 Abruzzo earthquak e[J].Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences,2010,(10),239-249.
    [62]孟凡影.基于MODIS数据的地表温度反演方法——以吉林省西部为例[D].长春:东北师范大学,2007.
    [63]M. Lisi,C. Filizzola,N. Genzano,et al. A study on the Abruzzo 6 April 2009 earthqua ke by applying the RST approach to 15 years of AVHRR TIR observations[J].Natural Haz ards and Earth System Sciences,2010,10,395-406.
    [64]刘大海,宋立玲.利用R2V矢量化地形图[J].黑龙江水利科技,2009,37(1):94-95.
    [65]李新,程国栋,卢玲.青藏高原气温分布的空间插值方法比较[J].地球科学进展,2000,15(3):260-265.
    [66]Price D T,D W Mckenney,I A Nalder,et al.A comparision of two statistical methods f or spatial interpolation of Canadian monthly mean climate date[J].Agri Forest Meteor,2000, 101(2):81-94.
    [67]侯俊杰.深入浅出MFC[M]武汉:华中科技大学出版社,2001:1-20.
    [68]郭广猛.1998年张北地震前的大气增温异常[J].科技导报,2010,28(14):98-100.
    [69]Andrew A. Tronina, Masashi Hayakawa, Oleg A. Molchanovc,et al.Thermal IR satellit e data application for earthquake research in Japan and China[J].Journal of Geodynamics,2 002(33):519-534.
    [70]吴立新,刘善军,吴育华等.遥感-岩石力学(Ⅰ):非连续组合断层破裂的热红外辐射规律及其构造地震前兆意义[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2004,23(1):24-30.
    [71]吴立新,刘善军,吴育华,等.遥感-岩石力学(Ⅱ):断层双剪黏滑的热红外辐射规律及其构造地震前兆意义[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2004,23(2):192-198.
    [72]吴立新,刘善军,许向红,等.遥感-岩石力学(Ⅲ):交汇断层黏滑的热红外辐射与声发射规律及其构造地震前兆意义[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2004,23(3):401-407.
    [73]Andrew A.Tronin,Masashi Hayakawa.Thermal satellite data application for earthquake research in Japan and China[J].Journal of Geodynamics,2002,(33):519-534.
    [74]Friedemann T.Freund.Rocks That Crackle and Sparkle and Glow:Strange Pre-Earthquak e Phenomena[J].Journal of Scientific Exploration,2003,17(1):37-71.
    [75]马未宇.基于NCEP卫星红外增温异常与天体引潮力的地震短临预测应用研究[D].杭州:浙江大学,2006.
    [76]周波,张正煜,瞿有甜,等.文安地震前天体引潮力和NCEP的异常现象[J].地理信息世界,2009,15(2):67-70.
    [77]陈闻晨,马未宇,张正煜,等.吉林Ms4.3微地震天体引潮力和温度变化过程初探[J].遥感信息,2010,25(3):35-37.
    [78]马晓静,邓志辉,陈梅花,等.从红外亮温与大地热流的关系看地震前的热红外异常[J].中国地球物理,2009,(22):737.
    [79]Mcnutt,S.R.,Beavan,R.J..Volcanic earthquakes at Pavlof volcano correlated with the ear th tide[J].Nature,1981,(294):615-618.
    [80]薛艳,宋治平,宋先月,等.地震孕育过程中形变趋势变化形态的理论分析[J].中国地震,2003,19(3)306-314.
    [81]中国地震局监测预报司.强地震中期预测新技术物理基础及其应用研究[M].北京:地震出版社,2008,15-16.

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700