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生态工业园中产业链优化及评价研究
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摘要
在生态工业园中以循环经济为指导调整产业结构,构建合适的产业链,能有效的解决经济发展与资源环境之间的矛盾。在实际工作中,规划实施者主要是从管理学和经济学的角度出发,按照产业链的生成机制及相关特性确定产业链的类型及发展规模,而且为了实现经济效益盲目的追求产业链的延伸和拓展,造成资源浪费和环境污染。因此,在生态工业园中,考虑资源及环境约束对产业链进行优化和评价,有重要的意义。
     本文在对生态工业园中产业链优化及评价相关基础理论和研究方法进行阐述和分析的基础上,以工业生态学理论为指导,对产业链影响因素及确定原则进行详细分析。根据生态工业园所在地资源特征及园区产业定位,确定可能在工业园中发展的产业链,建立以资源及环境为约束条件的经济效益和污染物减少为目标的优化模型,并建立考虑污染物排放条件的数据包络模型,对产业链进行定量优化及评价。
     以甘肃省某生态工业园为例,按照一次建成所有产业链及延伸产业链两种情况,确定可能在工业园发展的产业链,并从资源约束和环境约束的角度分情景进行模型计算,并将模型优化的结果与产业政策及工业园规划规模进行对比分析。研究结果表明在资源可利用量及环境容量有限的情况下,适宜发展聚丙烯、二甲醚、电石、醋酸乙烯产业链,并应限制聚氯乙烯、聚乙烯等高耗能、高污染产业链的发展。同时应鼓励风电及光电产业的发展,并考虑矿井疏干水的综合利用,减少电力资源及水资源对工业园的发展限制。
In the eco-industrial park,adjust the industrial structure and build a suitable industrial chain take the circular economy theory as a guide,can effectively solve the contradiction of economic development and resources and the environment. In practical work, the planning practitioners determine the type and scale of the industrial chain according to the mechanism of the industrial chain and related characteristics mainly from the perspective of management and economics, and in order to achieve economic benefits,they blindly pursue the extension and expansion of industrial chain, it can cause resource waste and environmental pollution. Therefore, in industrial park, optimize and evaluate the industrial chain consider the resources and environmental constraints, has an important significance.
     In this paper, we describe and analyze the basic theories and research methods related to the optimization and evaluation of industrial chain in eco-industrial park and take the industrial ecology theory as the instruction.we analyzed influence factors of industrial chain and determine the principle for detailed.According to resource characteristics and the park industry positioning, identify potential industry chain in the industrial park.We establish industry chain optimization model considering resource constraints and environmental constraints and taking economic efficiency and pollutant reduction as the goal,and also establish data envelopment model considering pollutant emission conditions,and then make a quantitative optimize and evaluation of the industrial chain.
     Take some eco-industrial park in Gansu Province as an example, bulid the possible industrial chain in the industrial park in two ways, one is to built all the industrial chain Once and the other is to built the industrial chain in the form of extension,and then make sub-scenario model calculations from the perspective of the resource constraints and environmental constraints, and analyzed the model optimization results with the industrial policies and the planning scale of industrial park. The results show that under the condition of limited of the resource availability and environmental capacity, polypropylene, dimethyl ether, calcium carbide, and vinyl acetate industry chain is suitable for development and should be restricted in the development of energy intensive and highly polluting industry chain such as polyvinyl chloride, polyethylene.In order to reduce the restrictions of power and water resources in industrial park, it should be encouraged the development of wind power and photovoltaic industry, and consider the comprehensive utilization of mine dewatering water.
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