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面向流域的城市化水文效应研究
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摘要
全球城市化的加速发展对城市水系以及所在流域的自然水文循环造成严重的干扰、破坏,由此引发的淡水资源短缺、洪涝灾害频繁、水体污染、河道断流、湿地萎缩、荒漠化扩展、地下水超采、海水入侵、水土流失以及河流生态系统破坏等问题往往综合并发,城市化水文效应已经成为全球气候与环境变化领域研究的前沿和热点问题之一。
     目前城市化水文效应的理论和案例研究多数是就城市论城市,从城市本身的角度来解决问题。以供水工程、水环境净化工程、防洪排涝工程三大工程的为核心的城市水文效应的应对策略并没有从根本上解决城市化导致的水问题,而是将问题向流域其他地方甚至其它流域转移。基于城市单点尺度对城市化水文效应研究的不足和缺陷,本文提出从流域尺度研究城市化水文效应的思路,关注城市化对流域自然水循环基本功能的干扰和破坏状况。面向流域的城市化水文效应研究以统筹流域“点-线-面”不同尺度之间、降水在“径流-蒸发-存储-下渗”各环节之间分配比例、上游与下游之间、社会用水与生态环境需水之间的相互关系为基础,通过城市发展的水资源与水环境约束,服务于流域科学的城市化和城镇体系发展规划,服务于城市化进程中流域水文循环的补偿和修复。
     基于流域自然水循环和社会水循环的相互作用过程,深化了流域健康水循环的内涵。流域健康水循环反映的是人类对于流域水系结构和功能发挥的认可程度,应该同时拥有理想的社会功能和自然功能。流域水循环健康的标志应该是:在流域水系自然功能和社会功能均衡发挥情况下,流域水系具有持续的流动性、良好的水质和良好的水生态系统。其健康状态的评判指标包括水文特征参数、河网结构、水文区位指数、水质等。
     基于对城市化特征及流域水系功能的认识,构建了城市化与流域自然水循环耦合的“压力—状态—反应”概念模型。将与流域自然水循环相耦合的城市化过程分解为城市人口、经济规模扩张,城市给排水系统扩张,城市空间扩张及城市数量增长,城市之间的相互关系等四个方面。进而分别构建各要素与流域自然水循环相互耦合的概念模型。提出干旱指数、城市化水平、经济发展阶段、土地利用强度、建设用地比例、水文有序性、水资源开发利用率、河段的水文区位指数、水质、植被覆盖等10个具有通用性的面向流域的城市化水文效应评判指标,采用分级评价的方法对各指标进行赋值,并构建综合评价的数学表达式。城市化进程中流域水循环健康状态指数值<0.2时,流域水循环为极端病态,0.2~0.4为病态,0.4~0.6为亚健康状态,0.6~0.8为健康状态,0.8~1为很健康。
     以沂沭泗流域为例,从城市节点、子流域、流域整体三个尺度分析了不同城市化阶段的城市化水文效应,估算了不同城市化水平下的流域水循环健康状态指数。分析表明:在城市节点尺度上,城市化水文效应集中表现为水资源紧张、水污染和城市洪涝灾害。而在流域尺度上,城市化水文效应更突出于对流域自然水循环基本水文和生态功能的破坏和干扰。从城市化的初级阶段、加速发展的起步阶段到加速发展的中期阶段,反映城市化水文效应的流域水循环综合健康指数值处于下降趋势。针对不同尺度、不同城市化阶段城市化水文效应的特点和程度,提出了面向流域水循环补偿和修复的城市化水文效应整治策略。
With the accelerative development of global urbanization, urban river system and natural hydrological cycle have been disturbed and destroyed. These disturbances and destruction result in a series of water eco- environment problems, such as fresh water shortage, flooding disaster frequency, water pollution, river discontinuous flow, wetlands decrease, desertification expansion, groundwater overexploitation, seawater intrusion, water loss and soil erosion, river ecosystem destroyed, etc. The hydrological effects of urbanization have been one of the leading edge and hot issue in the global climate and environment change fields.
     Now, researches on the theory and cases studies on hydrological effects of urbanization are mainly conducted from viewpoint of the urban itself. The problem-solving strategies on hydrological effects of urbanization focus on engineering methods which involves the water supply, water purification, flood and waterlog controlling engineering. However, these engineering measures could not really resolve the water problems produced by urbanization, only transformed the urban water problems to the other regions of the basin or other basins. Have recognized of the defects of present research perspective, author of this dissertation proposes a new research idea on hydrological effects of urbanization at basin scale, whose focus is put on the disturbed natural hydrological cycle during urbanization in a basin. In the study on basin-oriented hydrological effects of urbanization many different kinds of relationships should comprehensively be consider, including research scales from nodes to lines to areas, the distributed proportion of precipitation among the“runoff-evaporation-storage-infiltration”, between the upper and the lower reaches, between the society water requirement and ecological water requirement, etc. Study results could be used for establishment of scientific urbanization model and urban system planning at a basin scale, and for the rehabilitation and eco- compensation to natural hydrological cycle during urbanization.
     Based on an analysis of the interaction processes between natural and social hydrological cycle, the dissertation deepens the concept of healthy hydrological cycle. The healthy hydrological cycle reflects human recognition degree to the structure and function of the river system. Both the social and natural functions of a river system should be ensured at the same time. Sustaining fluidity of a river system, well water quality and water ecosystem are the main signs of a healthy hydrological cycle. The evaluation indexes of healthy hydrological cycle include hydrological characteristic parameters, river system structure, hydrological location index and water quality etc.
     Based on the characters of urbanization and the function of river system, this dissertation puts forward the pressured-state–response coupling mechanism model between urbanization and natural hydrological cycle. The urbanization process relevant to the natural hydrological cycle could been understood from 4 aspects, namely the amount of urban population and economy increasing, urban water supply-drainage system expanding, urban space expanding and city number increasing, the interaction of the cities. Then, a concept model for the coupling mechanism and its evaluation index between natural hydrological cycle and every aspect of urbanization is discussed. The evaluation index system includes 10 common indicators as following: drought index, urbanization level, stage of economic deployment, land-use intensity, proportion of construction land, hydrology orderliness, proportion of water resources development and utilization, hydrological location index, water quality, damage degree of vegetation cover. Using the grade assessment method assign to each index, a mathematical expression for synthetically evaluation of the healthy state of hydrological cycle during urbanization can be obtained. Research results illustrate that the hydrological cycle is extreme diseased, if the exponential valuation is below 0.2; while diseased, if the exponential valuation ranges from 0.2 to 0.4, sub-healthy, if the exponential valuation ranges from 0.4 to 0.6, healthy, if the exponential valuation ranges from 0.6 to 0.8, very healthy, if the exponential valuation ranges from 0.8 to1.
     Taking YiShuSi basin as the study region, this dissertation deals with the hydrological effects of urbanization in this region at different scale: urban node, sub-basin, whole basin, analyzes the damaged natural hydrological cycle, and evaluates the healthy hydrological cycle index in different urbanization stages. The results show that the main hydrological effects of urbanization express as the water scarcity, water quality and flooding disaster at urban node scale, however, at basin scale, hydrological effects of urbanization more manifest as disturbance and damage to the basis hydrological cycle and ecological function of natural hydrological cycle. From the primary urbanization stage to start-up of accelerative urbanization stage, then to the middle of accelerative urbanization stage, the healthy hydrological cycle index during urbanization trends to decline. In connection with the characteristics and disturbance degree at different scale and different urbanization level, different management strategies of urbanization hydrological effect are put forward in this dissertation based on the eco-compensation and rehabilitation of hydrological cycle.
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