中国农业土壤中铜和镍的生态阈值研究
摘要
利用基于中国土壤的铜和镍的毒理学数据,通过大量的理论研究和计算分析,验证了铜和镍的毒性预测模型种间外推的可行性,建立了土壤中铜和镍的两种毒性阈值EC50和EC10的量化关系。基于物种敏感性分布法并结合铜和镍的毒性预测模型,利用BurⅢ分布拟合了中国土壤中铜和镍的物种敏感性分布曲线,并利用铜和镍的物种敏感性分布曲线推导了能够保护95%物种的铜以及镍的HC5浓度值,利用淋洗—老化因子对其校正获得老化HC5值,即铜、以及镍的生态阈值。探讨了土壤性质对铜和镍的生态阈值的影响并建立了基于土壤性质的铜和镍的生态阈值预测模型。同时提出了基于外源添加铜、以及镍的预测无效应总浓度(PNECtotal)的量化表达,对我国现行的铜和镍的土壤环境质量标准提出修订建议。
Theoretical research and computational analysis were carried out based on toxicity data for copper and nickel from Chinese soil. The results provided quantitative evidence to support cross-species extrapolation of copper and nickel toxicity prediction models and obtained the quantitative equations of EC10and EC50for copper and nickel. The species sensitivity distribution (SSD) curves for copper and nickel were fitted with Bur Ⅲ based on toxicity data. Also the toxicity prediction models for copper and nickel were utilized to normalize toxicity data. The5%hazardous concentration for copper and nickel were derived from the SSD curves and the agedHC5, i.e. the ecological thresholds for copper and nickel in soil were obtained by correcting the HC5values with leaching-aging factors. The effects of soil properties on the magnitude of agedHC5values for copper and nickel were studied and the predictive models for agedHC5based on soil properties were developed. The equations for calculating predicted no effect concentration values based on total copper and nickel were established and the recommendation for updating the Chinese current soil environmental quality standards were proposed.
Theoretical research and computational analysis were carried out based on toxicity data for copper and nickel from Chinese soil. The results provided quantitative evidence to support cross-species extrapolation of copper and nickel toxicity prediction models and obtained the quantitative equations of EC10and EC50for copper and nickel. The species sensitivity distribution (SSD) curves for copper and nickel were fitted with Bur Ⅲ based on toxicity data. Also the toxicity prediction models for copper and nickel were utilized to normalize toxicity data. The5%hazardous concentration for copper and nickel were derived from the SSD curves and the agedHC5, i.e. the ecological thresholds for copper and nickel in soil were obtained by correcting the HC5values with leaching-aging factors. The effects of soil properties on the magnitude of agedHC5values for copper and nickel were studied and the predictive models for agedHC5based on soil properties were developed. The equations for calculating predicted no effect concentration values based on total copper and nickel were established and the recommendation for updating the Chinese current soil environmental quality standards were proposed.
引文
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